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We formulate a discrete-time Bayesian stochastic volatility model for high-frequency stock-market data that directly accounts for microstructure noise, and outline a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for parameter estimation. The methods…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-02 Georgi Dinolov , Abel Rodriguez , Hongyun Wang

This article studies nonparametric methods to estimate the co-integrated volatility for multi-dimensional L\'evy processes with high frequency data. We construct a spectral estimator for the co-integrated volatility and prove minimax rates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-24 Katerina Papagiannouli

We propose a distributionally robust approach to risk-sensitive estimation of an unknown signal x from an observed signal y. The unknown signal and observation are modeled as random vectors whose joint probability distribution is unknown,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Feras Al Taha , Eilyan Bitar

Variational autoencoders (VAEs), as well as other generative models, have been shown to be efficient and accurate for capturing the latent structure of vast amounts of complex high-dimensional data. However, existing VAEs can still not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-25 Alfredo Nazabal , Pablo M. Olmos , Zoubin Ghahramani , Isabel Valera

A class of improved estimators is proposed for N-point correlation functions of galaxy clustering, and for discrete spatial random processes in general. In the limit of weak clustering, the variance of the unbiased estimator converges to…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 István Szapudi , Alexander S. Szalay

We consider covariance parameter estimation for a Gaussian process under inequality constraints (boundedness, monotonicity or convexity) in fixed-domain asymptotics. We address the estimation of the variance parameter and the estimation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-04 François Bachoc , Agnès Lagnoux , Andrés F. López-Lopera

This paper studies the MINLIP estimator for the identification of Wiener systems consisting of a sequence of a linear FIR dynamical model, and a monotonically increasing (or decreasing) static function. Given $T$ observations, this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-06-25 Kristiaan Pelckmans

The log-likelihood of a generative model often involves both positive and negative terms. For a temporal multivariate point process, the negative term sums over all the possible event types at each time and also integrates over all the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Hongyuan Mei , Tom Wan , Jason Eisner

In an efficient stock market, the log-returns and their time-dependent variances are often jointly modelled by stochastic volatility models (SVMs). Many SVMs assume that errors in log-return and latent volatility process are uncorrelated,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-10 Sujay Mukhoti , Pritam Ranjan

We propose and study a maximum likelihood estimator of stochastic frontier models with endogeneity in cross-section data when the composite error term may be correlated with inputs and environmental variables. Our framework is a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-02 Samuele Centorrino , María Pérez-Urdiales

The mean-variance hedging (MVH) problem is studied in a partially observable market where the drift processes can only be inferred through the observation of asset or index processes. Although most of the literatures treat the MVH problem…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-26 Masaaki Fujii , Akihiko Takahashi

Standard variational lower bounds used to train latent variable models produce biased estimates of most quantities of interest. We introduce an unbiased estimator of the log marginal likelihood and its gradients for latent variable models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Yucen Luo , Alex Beatson , Mohammad Norouzi , Jun Zhu , David Duvenaud , Ryan P. Adams , Ricky T. Q. Chen

Constrained approaches to maximum likelihood estimation in the context of finite mixtures of normals have been presented in the literature. A fully data-dependent constrained method for maximum likelihood estimation of clusterwise linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-11 Roberto Di Mari , Roberto Rocci , Stefano Antonio Gattone

This paper proposes a new integrated variance estimator based on order statistics within the framework of jump-diffusion models. Its ability to disentangle the integrated variance from the total process quadratic variation is confirmed by…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-23 Luca Spadafora , Francesca Sivero , Nicola Picchiotti

We develop a framework for composite likelihood estimation of parametric continuous-time stationary Gaussian processes. We derive the asymptotic theory of the associated maximum composite likelihood estimator. We implement our approach on a…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Mikkel Bennedsen , Kim Christensen , Peter Christensen

This work proposes a unified framework for efficient estimation under latent space modeling of heterogeneous networks. We consider a class of latent space models that decompose latent vectors into shared and network-specific components…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-10 Yuang Tian , Jiajin Sun , Yinqiu He

In this paper we consider a variety of procedures for numerical statistical inference in the family of univariate and multivariate stable distributions. In connection with univariate distributions (i) we provide approximations by finite…

Computation · Statistics 2012-09-04 Efthymios G. Tsionas

This paper analyses the implementation and calibration of the Heston Stochastic Volatility Model. We first explain how characteristic functions can be used to estimate option prices. Then we consider the implementation of the Heston model,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-18 Ricardo Crisostomo

We present a novel extension of multi-output Gaussian processes for handling heterogeneous outputs. We assume that each output has its own likelihood function and use a vector-valued Gaussian process prior to jointly model the parameters in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-04 Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez , Mauricio A. Álvarez

We propose Monte Carlo calibration algorithms for three models: local volatility with stochastic interest rates, stochastic local volatility with deterministic interest rates, and finally stochastic local volatility with stochastic interest…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-09 Orcan Ogetbil , Narayan Ganesan , Bernhard Hientzsch