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This article provides a simple explanation of the asymptotic concavity of the price impact of a meta-order via the microstructural properties of the market. This explanation is made more precise by a model in which the local relationship…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-15 Sergey Nadtochiy

We propose a framework to study optimal trading policies in a one-tick pro-rata limit order book, as typically arises in short-term interest rate futures contracts. The high-frequency trader has the choice to trade via market orders or…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-15 Fabien Guilbaud , Huyên Pham

The key objective of this paper is to develop an empirical model for pricing SPX options that can be simulated over future paths of the SPX. To accomplish this, we formulate and rigorously evaluate several statistical models, including…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-24 Alessio Brini , David A. Hsieh , Patrick Kuiper , Sean Moushegian , David Ye

We develop a general class of noise-robust estimators based on the existing estimators in the non-noisy high-frequency data literature. The microstructure noise is a parametric function of the limit order book. The noise-robust estimators…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-18 Simon Clinet , Yoann Potiron

We study procurement design when the buyer is uncertain about both the value of the good and the seller's cost. The buyer has a conjectured model but does not fully trust it. She first identifies mechanisms that maximize her worst-case…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-12-10 Debasis Mishra , Sanket Patil , Alessandro Pavan

A main focus in economics research is understanding the time series of prices of goods and assets. While statistical models using only the properties of the time series itself have been successful in many aspects, we expect to gain a better…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-12-15 Dániel Kondor , István Csabai , János Szüle , Márton Pósfai , Gábor Vattay

We study a variant of the Cont-Bouchaud model which utilizes the perco lation approach of multi-agent simulations of the stock market fluctuations. Here, instead of considering the relative price change as the difference of the total demand…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Anirban Chakraborti

This paper studies an online variant of the celebrated housing market problem, where each agent has a single house and seeks to exchange it for another based on her preferences. In this online setting, agents may arrive and depart at any…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-07-25 Julien Lesca

The speculation game is an agent-based toy model to investigate the dynamics of the financial market. Our model has achieved the reproduction of 10 of the well-known stylized facts for financial time series. However, there is also a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-09 Kei Katahira , Yu Chen

In recent years, machine learning (ML) techniques have become a powerful tool for improving the accuracy of predictions and decision-making. Machine learning technologies have begun to penetrate all areas, including the real estate sector.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Oleh Pastukh , Viktor Khomyshyn

In this article we discuss the distribution of asset price movements by the market potential function. From the principle of free energy minimization we analyze two different kinds of market potentials. We obtain a U-shaped potential when…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-14 Dong Han Kim , Stefano Marmi

We propose a frustrated and disordered many-body model of a stockmarket in which independent adaptive traders can trade a stock subject to the economic law of supply and demand. We show that the typical scaling properties and the correlated…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Fabio Franci , Lorenzo Matassini

This paper presents a new financial market simulator that may be used as a tool in both industry and academia for research in market microstructure. It allows multiple automated traders and/or researchers to simultaneously connect to an…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-31 Thiago W. Alves , Ionut Florescu , George Calhoun , Dragos Bozdog

Probabilistic forecasting in combination with stochastic programming is a key tool for handling the growing uncertainties in future energy systems. Derived from a general stochastic programming formulation for the optimal scheduling and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-25 Mario Beykirch , Tim Janke , Florian Steinke

We introduce an agent-based model, in which agents set their prices to maximize profit. At steady state the market self-organizes into three groups: excess producers, consumers and balanced agents, with prices determined by their own…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-03 Bin Li , K. Y. Michael Wong , Amos H. M. Chan , Tsz Yan So , Hermanni Heimonen , Junyi Wei , David Saad

We consider a market where a finite number of players trade an asset whose supply is a stochastic process. The price formation problem consists of finding a price process that ensures that when agents act optimally to minimize their trading…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-08-15 Diogo Gomes , Julian Gutierrez , Ricardo Ribeiro

Using simple particle models of limit order markets, we argue that mid-term over-diffusive price behaviour is inherent to the very nature of these markets. Several rules for rate changes are considered. We obtain analytical results for…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Damien Challet , Robin Stinchcombe

Models of auctions or tendering processes are introduced. In every round of bidding the players select their bid from a probability distribution and whenever a bid is unsuccessful, it is discarded and replaced. For simple models, the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-11-07 R. D'Hulst , G. J. Rodgers

Our paper aims to model and forecast the electricity price by taking a completely new perspective on the data. It will be the first approach which is able to combine the insights of market structure models with extensive and modern…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-18 Florian Ziel , Rick Steinert

We introduce a general decision tree framework to value an option to invest/divest in a project, focusing on the model risk inherent in the assumptions made by standard real option valuation methods. We examine how real option values depend…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-06 Carol Alexander , Xi Chen