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In this chapter we review some recent results on the dynamics of price formation in financial markets and its relations with the efficient market hypothesis. Specifically, we present the limit order book mechanism for markets and we…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-24 Paolo Barucca , Fabrizio Lillo

Real estate contributes significantly to all major economies around the world. In particular, house prices have a direct impact on stakeholders, ranging from house buyers to financing companies. Thus, a plethora of techniques have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-02 Sarkar Snigdha Sarathi Das , Mohammed Eunus Ali , Yuan-Fang Li , Yong-Bin Kang , Timos Sellis

This paper reviews some of the phenomenological models which have been introduced to incorporate the scaling properties of financial data. It also illustrates a microscopic model, based on heterogeneous interacting agents, which provides a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Giulia Iori

We study in this paper the time evolution of stock markets using a statistical physics approach. Each agent is represented by a spin having a number of discrete states $q$ or continuous states, describing the tendency of the agent for…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-09 Hung T. Diep , Gabriel Desgranges

In this paper we provide a comprehensive analysis of a structural model for the dynamics of prices of assets traded in a market originally proposed in [1]. The model takes the form of an interacting generalization of the geometric Brownian…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-06 Kartik Anand , Jonathan Khedair , Reimer Kuehn

A simple spin system is constructed to simulate dynamics of asset prices and studied numerically. The outcome for the distribution of prices is shown to depend both on the dimension of the system and the introduction of price into the link…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-07 Krzysztof Urbanowicz , Peter Richmond , Janusz A. Hołyst

One approach to the analysis of stochastic fluctuations in market prices is to model characteristics of investor behaviour and the complex interactions between market participants, with the aim of extracting consequences in the aggregate.…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Erhan Bayraktar , Ulrich Horst , Ronnie Sircar

Property Technology (PropTech) is the next big thing that is going to disrupt the real estate market. Nowadays, we see applications of Machine Learning (ML) and Artificial Intelligence (AI) in almost all the domains but for a long time the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-04-11 Sayan Putatunda

In a financial exchange, market impact is a measure of the price change of an asset following a transaction. This is an important element of market microstructure, which determines the behaviour of the market following a trade. In this…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-15 Christopher J. Cho , Timothy J. Norman , Manuel Nunes

This paper describes how a time-varying Markov model was used to forecast housing development at a master-planned community during a transition from high to low growth. Our approach draws on detailed historical data to model the dynamics of…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-30 Christopher K. Allsup , Irene S. Gabashvili

Motivated by the emergence of local groundwater exchanges, we construct and analyze stochastic models of dynamic groundwater markets. Our primary focus is endogenizing the price formation and groundwater pumping strategies in a closed…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-27 Igor Cialenco , Michael Ludkovski

Should households buy their homes? Contrary to popular expert advice, our block-bootstrap lifecycle simulation provides an affirmative answer. Homeownership generates wealth and welfare gains relative to rent-for-life benchmarks that invest…

General Economics · Economics 2026-05-19 Yang Bai , Shize Li , Jialu Shen

Collective phenomena with universal properties have been observed in many complex systems with a large number of components. Here we present a microscopic model of the emergence of scaling behavior in such systems, where the interaction…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-19 S. V. Vikram , Sitabhra Sinha

While the forward and backward modeling of the process-structure-property chain has received a lot of attention from the materials community, fewer efforts have taken into consideration uncertainties. Those arise from a multitude of sources…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-06 Maximilian Rixner , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

Throughout history, many countries have repeatedly experienced large swings in asset prices, which are usually accompanied by large fluctuations in macroeconomic activity. One of the characteristics of the period before major economic…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-08-12 Tomohiro Hirano

The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) famously stated that prices fully reflect the information available to traders. This critically depends on the transfer of information into prices through trading strategies. Traders optimise their…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-14 Paolo Barucca , Flaviano Morone

This paper develops a House Price-at-Risk framework to examine how housing subsidies, credit conditions, and supply factors influence the distribution of house price growth in Hungary. Using quantile regression with adaptive LASSO variable…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-24 Tibor Szendrei , Nikolett Vágó , Katalin Varga

We introduce a discrete binary tree for pricing contingent claims with the underlying security prices exhibiting history dependence characteristic of that induced by market microstructure phenomena. Example dependencies considered include…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-29 Davide Lauria , W. Brent Lindquist , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Yuan Hu

We look at price formation in a retail setting, that is, companies set prices, and consumers either accept prices or go someplace else. In contrast to most other models in this context, we use a two-dimensional spatial structure for…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-10-31 Kai Nagel , Martin Shubik , Maya Paczuski , Per Bak

To determine the welfare implications of price changes in demand data, we introduce a revealed preference relation over prices. We show that the absence of cycles in this relation characterizes a consumer who trades off the utility of…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-03 Rahul Deb , Yuichi Kitamura , John K. -H. Quah , Jörg Stoye