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We propose a novel estimation approach for a general class of semi-parametric time series models where the conditional expectation is modeled through a parametric function. The proposed class of estimators is based on a Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-21 Mirko Armillotta , Paolo Gorgi

Cohen, Guyon, Perrin and Pontier have given assumptions under which the second-order quadratic variations of a Gaussian process converge almost surely to a deterministic limit. In this paper we present two new convergence results about…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-09-14 Arnaud Begyn

The paper considers a Cox process where the stochastic intensity function for the Poisson data model is itself a non-homogeneous Poisson process. We show that it is possible to obtain the marginal data process, namely a non-homogeneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-17 Shuying Wang , Stephen G. Walker

We develop a functional Stein-Malliavin method in a non-diffusive Poissonian setting, thus obtaining a) quantitative central limit theorems for approximation of arbitrary non-degenerate Gaussian random elements taking values in a separable…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-17 Solesne Bourguin , Simon Campese , Thanh Dang

Filtered Poisson processes are often used as reference models for intermittent fluc- tuations in physical systems. Such a process is here extended by adding a noise term, either as a purely additive term to the process or as a dynamical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-05-04 Audun Theodorsen , Odd Erik Garcia , Martin Rypdal

Continuous determinantal point processes (DPPs) are a class of repulsive point processes on $\mathbb{R}^d$ with many statistical applications. Although an explicit expression of their density is known, it is too complicated to be used…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-24 Arnaud Poinas , Frédéric Lavancier

We consider a renewal process that is conditioned on the number of events in a fixed time horizon. We prove that a centered and scaled version of this process converges to a Brownian bridge, as the number of events grows large, which relies…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-08 Harsha Honnappa , Rahul Jain , Amy R. Ward

The present paper provides exact expressions for the probability distributions of linear functionals of the two-parameter Poisson--Dirichlet process $\operatorname {PD}(\alpha,\theta)$. We obtain distributional results yielding exact forms…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Lancelot F. James , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster

We study asymptotic properties of maximum likelihood estimators of drift parameters for a jump-type Heston model based on continuous time observations, where the jump process can be any purely non-Gaussian L\'evy process of not necessarily…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-08 Matyas Barczy , Mohamed Ben Alaya , Ahmed Kebaier , Gyula Pap

Using techniques from Poisson approximation, we prove explicit error bounds on the number of permutations that avoid any pattern. Most generally, we bound the total variation distance between the joint distribution of pattern occurrences…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Harry Crane , Stephen DeSalvo

The analysis of the linearization effect in multifractal analysis, and hence of the estimation of moments for multifractal processes, is revisited borrowing concepts from the statistical physics of disordered systems, notably from the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-07-28 Florian Angeletti , Marc Mézard , Eric Bertin , Patrice Abry

We study the problem of non-parametric Bayesian estimation of the intensity function of a Poisson point process. The observations are $n$ independent realisations of a Poisson point process on the interval $[0,T]$. We propose two related…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-31 Shota Gugushvili , Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer , Peter Spreij

Let $\{L(t),t\geq 0\}$ be a L\'{e}vy process with representative random variable $L(1)$ defined by the infinitely divisible logarithmic series distribution. We study here the transition probability and L\'{e}vy measure of this process. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-18 Penka Mayster , Assen Tchorbadjieff

We study the binary classification problem for Poisson point processes, which are allowed to take values in a general metric space. The problem is tackled in two different ways: estimating nonparametricaly the intensity functions of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-01 Alejandro Cholaquidis , Liliana Forzani , Pamela Llop , Leonardo Moreno

The paper studies asymptotic properties of estimators of multidimensional stochastic differential equations driven by Brownian motions from high-frequency discrete data. Consistency and central limit properties of a class of estimators of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-07 Arnab Ganguly

We propose a new approach that combines multiple non-parametric likelihood-type components to build a data-driven approximation of the true likelihood function. Our approach is built on empirical likelihood, a non-parametric approximation…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-15 Adam Jaeger , Nicole Lazar

Flip-flop processes refer to a family of stochastic fluid processes which converge to either a standard Brownian motion (SBM) or to a Markov modulated Brownian motion (MMBM). In recent years, it has been shown that complex distributional…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-12 Guy Latouche , Giang T. Nguyen , Oscar Peralta

We develop a non-negative polynomial minimum-norm likelihood ratio (PLR) of two distributions of which only moments are known. The sample PLR converges to the unknown population PLR under mild conditions. The methodology allows for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Caio Almeida , Ricardo Masini , Paul Schneider

A lot is known about the H\"older regularity of stochastic processes, in particular in the case of Gaussian processes. Recently, a finer analysis of the local regularity of functions, termed 2-microlocal analysis, has been introduced in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-22 Erick Herbin , Jacques Lévy-Véhel

In this article, we primarily propose a novel Bayesian characterization of stationary and nonstationary stochastic processes. In practice, this theory aims to distinguish between global stationarity and nonstationarity for both parametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-04 Sucharita Roy , Sourabh Bhattacharya