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Economic and financial models -- such as vector autoregressions, local projections, and multivariate volatility models -- feature complex dynamic interactions and spillovers across many time series. These models can be integrated into a…
We investigate approximation of a Bernoulli partial sum process to the accompanying Poisson process in the non-i.i.d. case. The rate of closeness is studied in terms of the minimal distance in probability.
The potential applications of boundary functionals of random processes, such as the extreme values of these processes, the moment of first reaching a fixed level, the value of the process at the moment of reaching the level, the moment of…
We give necessary and sufficient conditions for laws of large numbers to hold in $L^2$ for the empirical measure of a large class of branching Markov processes, including $\lambda$-positive systems but also some $\lambda$-transient ones,…
We consider a one dimensional random-walk-like process, whose steps are centered Gaussians with variances which are determined according to the sequence of arrivals of a Poisson process on the line. This process is decorated by independent…
In this paper, we consider Bayesian point estimation and predictive density estimation in the binomial case. After presenting preliminary results on these problems, we compare the risk functions of the Bayes estimators based on the…
We describe a set of new estimators for the N-point correlation functions of point processes. The variance of these estimators is calculated for the Poisson and binomial cases. It is shown that the variance of the unbiased estimator…
Motivated by Alain-Sol Sznitman's interlacement process, we consider the set of $\{0,1\}$-valued processes which can be constructed in an analogous way, namely as a union of sets coming from a Poisson process on a collection of sets. Our…
This paper first strictly proved that the growth of the second moment of a large class of Gaussian processes is not greater than power function and the covariance matrix is strictly positive definite. Under these two conditions, the maximum…
We are interested in estimating the location of what we call "smooth change-point" from $n$ independent observations of an inhomogeneous Poisson process. The smooth change-point is a transition of the intensity function of the process from…
Bisimulation metrics provide a robust and accurate approach to study the behavior of nondeterministic probabilistic processes. In this paper, we propose a logical characterization of bisimulation metrics based on a simple probabilistic…
We study the process of suitably normalized successive return times to rare events in the setting of infinite-measure preserving dynamical systems. Specifically, we consider small neighborhoods of points whose measure tends to zero. We…
In this paper, we extend the notion of Cauchy-Schwarz divergence to point processes and establish that the Cauchy-Schwarz divergence between the probability densities of two Poisson point processes is half the squared…
We construct a general procedure for the Quasi Likelihood Analysis applied to a multivariate point process on the real half line in an ergodic framework. More precisely, we assume that the stochastic intensity of the underlying model…
Resetting a stochastic process is an important problem describing the evolution of physical, biological and other systems which are continually returned to their certain fixed point. We consider the motion of a subdiffusive particle with a…
Consider semiparametric models that display local asymptotic exponentiality (Ibragimov and Has'minskii (1981)), an asymptotic property of the likelihood associated with discontinuities of densities. Our interest goes to estimation of the…
Some probabilistic aspects of the number variance statistic are investigated. Infinite systems of independent Brownian motions and symmetric alpha-stable processes are used to construct new examples of processes which exhibit both divergent…
The Pitman-Yor process is a random discrete measure. The random weights or masses follow the two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet distribution with parameters $0<\alpha<1, \theta>-\alpha$. The parameters $\alpha$ and $\theta$ correspond to the…
Particle approximations for certain nonlinear and nonlocal reaction-diffusion equations are studied using a system of Brownian motions with killing. The system is described by a collection of i.i.d. Brownian particles where each particle is…
This paper establishes quantitative limit theorems for two classes of Cox point processes, quantifying their convergence to a Poisson point process (PPP). We employ Stein's method for PPP aproximation, leveraging the generator approach and…