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We present theoretical analysis and a suite of tests and procedures for addressing a broad class of redundant and misleading association rules we call \emph{specious rules}. Specious dependencies, also known as \emph{spurious},…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-09-13 Wilhelmiina Hämäläinen , Geoffrey I. Webb

``Behind every limit theorem, there is an inequality'' said Kolmogorov. We say ``for every inequality, there is an approximate inequality under approximate regularity conditions.'' Suppose $X, X'$ are independent and identically distributed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-17 Manit Paul , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Composite likelihood usually ignores dependencies among response components, while variational approximation to likelihood ignores dependencies among parameter components. We derive a Gaussian variational approximation to the composite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-23 Libai Xu , Nancy Reid , Dehan Kong

Longitudinal and survival sub-models are two building blocks for joint modelling of longitudinal and time to event data. Extensive research indicates separate analysis of these two processes could result in biased outputs due to their…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-22 Zili Zhang , Christiana Charalambous , Peter Foster

When a linear model is adjusted to control for additional explanatory variables the sign of a fitted coefficient may reverse. Here these reversals are studied using coefficients of determination. The resulting theory can be used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-11 Brian Knaeble , Seth Dutter

Nonlinear panel data models with fixed individual effects provide an important set of tools for describing microeconometric data. In a large class of such models (including probit, proportional hazard and quantile regression to name just a…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-02-07 Antonio F. Galvao , Jiaying Gu , Stanislav Volgushev

Investigation of the reversibility of the directional hierarchy in the interdependency among the notions of conditional independence, conditional mean independence, and zero conditional covariance, for two random variables X and Y given a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-24 Rajeshwari Majumdar

We formulate simple equivalent conditions for the validity of Bayes' formula for conditional densities. We show that for any random variables X and Y (with values in arbitrary measurable spaces), the following are equivalent: 1. X and Y…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-04-01 Janne V. Kujala

Given a sequence $(X_n)$ of symmetrical random variables taking values in a Hilbert space, an interesting open problem is to determine the conditions under which the series $\sum_{n=1}^\infty X_n$ is almost surely convergent. For…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Safari Mukeru

Combining information from multiple samples is often needed in biomedical and economic studies, but the differences between these samples must be appropriately taken into account in the analysis of the combined data. We study estimation for…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-14 Heng Shu , Zhiqiang Tan

Inferring the causal structure of a set of random variables from a finite sample of the joint distribution is an important problem in science. Recently, methods using additive noise models have been suggested to approach the case of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-07-24 Jonas Peters , Dominik Janzing , Bernhard Schölkopf

In a Cox model, the partial likelihood, as the product of a series of conditional probabilities, is used to estimate the regression coefficients. In practice, those conditional probabilities are approximated by risk score ratios based on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-27 Youngjin Cho , Yili Hong , Pang Du

If $X$ and $Y$ are independent random variables with distributions $\mu$ and $\nu$ then $U=\psi(X,Y)$ and $V=\phi(X,Y)$ are also independent for some $\psi$ and $\phi$. Properties of this type are known for many important probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-08 Agnieszka Piliszek , Jacek Wesołowski

We introduce a test for the conditional independence of random variables $X$ and $Y$ given a random variable $Z$, specifically by sampling from the joint distribution $(X,Y,Z)$, binning the support of the distribution of $Z$, and conducting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-05 Andrew Warren

We study a generalisation of Simpson reversal (also known as Simpson's paradox or the Yule-Simpson effect) to $2 \times 2 \times 2$ contingency tables and characterise the cases for which it can and cannot occur with two…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-21 Svante Linusson , Matthew T. Stamps

The distribution function of the sum $Z$ of two standard normally distributed random variables $X$ and $Y$ is computed with the concept of copulas to model the dependency between $X$ and $Y$. By using implicit copulas such as the Gauss- or…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-02 Walter Schneider

A framework for quantifying dependence between random vectors is introduced. With the notion of a collapsing function, random vectors are summarized by single random variables, called collapsed random variables in the framework. Using this…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-12 Marius Hofert , Wayne Oldford , Avinash Prasad , Mu Zhu

We study the problem of testing the null hypothesis that X and Y are conditionally independent given Z, where each of X, Y and Z may be functional random variables. This generalises testing the significance of X in a regression model of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-27 Anton Rask Lundborg , Rajen D. Shah , Jonas Peters

Bergsma (2006) proposed a covariance $\kappa$(X,Y) between random variables X and Y. He derived their asymptotic distributions under the null hypothesis of independence between X and Y. The non-null (dependent) case does not seem to have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-30 Divya Kappara , Arup Bose , Madhuchhanda Bhattacharjee

The results in this paper provide new information on asymptotic properties of classical models: the neutral Kingman coalescent under a general finite-alleles, parent-dependent mutation mechanism, and its generalisation, the ancestral…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-08 Martina Favero , Henrik Hult