English
Related papers

Related papers: Most likely paths to error when estimating the mea…

200 papers

The infinite two-sided loop-erased random walk (LERW) is a measure on infinite self-avoiding walks that can be viewed as giving the law of the `middle part' of an infinite LERW loop going through 0 and infinity. In this note we derive…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-20 Christian Beneš , Gregory F. Lawler , Fredrik Viklund

We establish large deviation principle (LDP) for the family of vector-valued random processes $(X^\epsilon,Y^\epsilon),\epsilon\to 0$ defined as $$ X^\epsilon_t=\frac{1}{\epsilon^\kappa}\int_0^t H(\xi^\epsilon_s,Y^\epsilon_s)ds,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 A. Guillin , R. Liptser

It is often asserted in the literature that one should expect positive autocorrelation for random walk Metropolis-Hastings (RWMH), especially if the typical proposal step-size is small relative to the variability in the target density. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-28 James Allen Fill , Svante Janson

We consider Activated Random Walk (ARW), a particle system with mass conservation, on the cycle $\mathbb{Z}/n\mathbb{Z}$. One starts with a mass density $\mu>0$ of initially active particles, each of which performs a simple symmetric random…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-09 Riddhipratim Basu , Shirshendu Ganguly , Christopher Hoffman , Jacob Richey

We consider offline reinforcement learning (RL) in $H$-horizon Markov decision processes (MDPs) under the linear $q^\pi$-realizability assumption, where the action-value function of every policy is linear with respect to a given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Volodymyr Tkachuk , Gellért Weisz , Csaba Szepesvári

We consider a random walk in a random environment (RWRE) on the strip of finite width $\mathbb{Z} \times \{1,2,\ldots,d\}$. We prove both quenched and averaged large deviation principles for the position and the hitting times of the RWRE.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-20 Jonathon Peterson

Let T be a rooted supercritical multi-type Galton-Watson (MGW) tree with types coming from a finite alphabet, conditioned to non-extinction. The lambda-biased random walk (X_t, t>=0) on T is the nearest-neighbor random walk which, when at a…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-08 Amir Dembo , Nike Sun

The event of large losses plays an important role in credit risk. As these large losses are typically rare, and portfolios usually consist of a large number of positions, large deviation theory is the natural tool to analyze the tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-03 Vincent Leijdekker , Michel Mandjes , Peter Spreij

Let $\left\{ S_{n},n\geq 0\right\} $ be a random walk whose increment distribution belongs without centering to the domain of attraction of an $% \alpha $-stable law, i.e., there are some scaling constants $a_{n}$ such that the sequence…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Congzao Dong , Elena Dyakonova , Vladimir Vatutin

In this work, we consider loop-erased random walk (LERW) in three dimensions and give an asymptotic estimate on the one-point function for LERW and the non-intersection probability of LERW and simple random walk in three dimensions for…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-03 Xinyi Li , Daisuke Shiraishi

This work is a continuation of [7]. We consider a continuous-time birth-and-death process in which the transition rates have an asymptotical power-law dependence upon the position of the process. We establish rough exponential asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-12 A. V. Logachov , Y. M. Suhov , N. D. Vvedenskaya , A. A. Yambartsev

We study the order statistics of a random walk (RW) of $n$ steps whose jumps are distributed according to symmetric Erlang densities $f_p(\eta)\sim |\eta|^p \,e^{-|\eta|}$, parametrized by a non-negative integer $p$. Our main focus is on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-03-03 Matteo Battilana , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

We consider one-dimensional discrete-time random walks (RWs) in the presence of finite size traps of length $\ell$ over which the RWs can jump. We study the survival probability of such RWs when the traps are periodically distributed and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-01-05 Gaia Pozzoli , Benjamin De Bruyne

We consider a continuous time random walk $X$ in random environment on $\Z^+$ such that its potential can be approximated by the function $V: \R^+\to \R$ given by $V(x)=\sig W(x) -\frac{b}{1-\alf}x^{1-\alf}$ where $\sig W$ a Brownian motion…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-17 Christophe Gallesco , Serguei Popov , Gunter M. Schütz

Let $(Y_n)$ be a sequence of i.i.d. $\mathbb Z$-valued random variables with law $\mu$. The reflected random walk $(X_n)$ is defined recursively by $X_0=x \in \mathbb N_0, X_{n+1}=|X_n+Y_{n+1}|$. Under mild hypotheses on the law $\mu$, it…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-02 Rim Essifi , Marc Peigné

Let $X$ be the constrained random walk on ${\mathbb Z}_+^2$ having increments $(1,0)$, $(-1,1)$, $(0,-1)$ with jump probabilities $\lambda(M_k)$, $\mu_1(M_k)$, and $\mu_2(M_k)$ where $M$ is an irreducible aperiodic finite state Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-17 Fatma Başoğlu Kabran , Ali Devin Sezer

We consider random variables observed at arrival times of a renewal process, which possibly depends on those observations and has regularly varying steps with infinite mean. Due to the dependence and heavy tailed steps, the limiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-08 Bojan Basrak , Drago Špoljarić

The Maximal Entropy Random Walk (MERW) is a natural process on a finite graph, introduced a few years ago with motivations from theoretical physics. The construction of this process relies on Perron-Frobenius theory for adjacency matrices.…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-11-21 Duboux Thibaut , Lucas Gerin , Yoann Offret

In a recent paper we proposed a non-Markovian random walk model with memory of the maximum distance ever reached from the starting point (home). The behavior of the walker is at variance with respect to the simple symmetric random walk…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-22 Maurizio Serva

The problem of reinforcement learning in an unknown and discrete Markov Decision Process (MDP) under the average-reward criterion is considered, when the learner interacts with the system in a single stream of observations, starting from an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-06 Mohammad Sadegh Talebi , Odalric-Ambrym Maillard