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We extend classical analytic tools for finite-state statistical models to allow zero probabilities. Using methods from algebraic statistics and information geometry, we develop a framework in which a smooth statistical model could hit the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Giovanni Pistone , Fabio Rapallo , Eva Riccomagno

Complex non-linear time series are ubiquitous in geosciences. Quantifying complexity and non-stationarity of these data is a challenging task, and advanced complexity-based exploratory tool are required for understanding and visualizing…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-13 Fabian Guignard , Mohamed Laib , Federico Amato , Mikhail Kanevski

The Fisher Information matrix is a widely used measure for applications ranging from statistical inference, information geometry, experiment design, to the study of criticality in biological systems. Yet there is no commonly accepted…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-17 Omri Har Shemesh , Rick Quax , Borja Miñano , Alfons G. Hoekstra , Peter M. A. Sloot

We propose a method for estimating the Fisher score--the gradient of the log-likelihood with respect to model parameters--using score matching. By introducing a latent parameter model, we show that the Fisher score can be learned by…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-07-11 Ce Sui , Shivam Pandey , Benjamin D. Wandelt

In this work, we review the theory involved in the Bayesian calibration of complex computer models, with particular emphasis on their use for applications involving computationally expensive simulations and scarce experimental data. In the…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-02 Christina Schenk , Ignacio Romero

Fisher's likelihood is widely used for statistical inference for fixed unknowns. This paper aims to extend two important likelihood-based methods, namely the maximum likelihood procedure for point estimation and the confidence procedure for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-03 Hangbin Lee , Youngjo Lee

Fisher's fiducial probability has recently received renewed attention under the name confidence. In this paper, we reformulate it within an extended-likelihood framework, a representation that helps to resolve many long-standing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-01 Youngjo Lee

Fisher's exact test is often a preferred method to estimate the significance of statistical dependence. However, in large data sets the test is usually too worksome to be applied, especially in an exhaustive search (data mining). The…

Computation · Statistics 2014-05-07 Wilhelmiina Hämäläinen

Visual insights into a wide variety of statistical methods, for both didactic and data analytic purposes, can often be achieved through geometric diagrams and geometrically based statistical graphs. This paper extols and illustrates the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-21 Michael Friendly , Georges Monette , John Fox

Statistical inference more often than not involves models which are non-linear in the parameters thus leading to non-Gaussian posteriors. Many computational and analytical tools exist that can deal with non-Gaussian distributions, and…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2021-01-20 Eileen Giesel , Robert Reischke , Björn Malte Schäfer , Dominic Chia

The use of Python is noticeably growing among the scientific community, and Astronomy is not an exception. The power of Python consists of being an extremely versatile high-level language, easy to program that combines both traditional…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-07-16 Daniel M. Faes

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are widely used tools in statistics, machine learning, robotics, computer vision, and scientific computation. However, despite their popularity, they can be difficult to apply; all but the simplest classification or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-01-06 Ulrich Schaechtle , Ben Zinberg , Alexey Radul , Kostas Stathis , Vikash K. Mansinghka

We introduce Fisher consistency in the sense of unbiasedness as a desirable property for estimators of class prior probabilities. Lack of Fisher consistency could be used as a criterion to dismiss estimators that are unlikely to deliver…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-23 Dirk Tasche

We propose confidence regions with asymptotically correct uniform coverage probability of parameters whose Fisher information matrix can be singular at important points of the parameter set. Our work is motivated by the need for reliable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-13 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Matteo Bottai

We derive a Fisher matrix for the parameters characterising a population of gravitational-wave events. This provides a guide to the precision with which population parameters can be estimated with multiple observations, which becomes…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2022-12-14 Jonathan R. Gair , Andrea Antonelli , Riccardo Barbieri

The flexibility and wide applicability of the Fisher randomization test (FRT) makes it an attractive tool for assessment of causal effects of interventions from modern-day randomized experiments that are increasing in size and complexity.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-21 Xiaokang Luo , Tirthankar Dasgupta , Minge Xie , Regina Liu

In a Bayesian context, theoretical parameters are correlated random variables. Then, the constraints on one parameter can be improved by either measuring this parameter more precisely - or by measuring the other parameters more precisely.…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-02-17 L. Amendola , E. Sellentin

Machine learning applications, especially in the fields of me\-di\-cine and social sciences, are slowly being subjected to increasing scrutiny. Similarly to sample size planning performed in clinical and social studies, lawmakers and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-16 Antoni Klorek , Karol Roszak , Izabela Szczech , Dariusz Brzezinski

We introduce swordfish, a Monte-Carlo-free Python package to predict expected exclusion limits, the discovery reach and expected confidence contours for a large class of experiments relevant for particle- and astrophysics. The tool is…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2017-12-15 Thomas D. P. Edwards , Christoph Weniger

The interest in variable selection for clustering has increased recently due to the growing need in clustering high-dimensional data. Variable selection allows in particular to ease both the clustering and the interpretation of the results.…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-04-11 Charles Bouveyron , Camille Brunet