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Related papers: What does Newcomb's paradox teach us?

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In Newcomb's paradox you choose to receive either the contents of a particular closed box, or the contents of both that closed box and another one. Before you choose, a prediction algorithm deduces your choice, and fills the two boxes based…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2010-03-09 David H. Wolpert , Gregory Benford

This paper proposes a careful separation between an entity's epistemic system and their decision system. Crucially, Bayesian counterfactuals are estimated by the epistemic system; not by the decision system. Based on this remark, I prove…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-08-11 Lê Nguyên Hoang

The Newcomb's paradox is one of the most known paradox in Game Theory about the Oracles. We will define the graph associated to the time lines of the Game. After this Studying its topology and using only the Expected Utility Principle we…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-10-22 Giuseppe Giacopelli

We show that quantum game theory offers solution to the famous Newcomb's paradox (free will problem). Divine foreknowledge is not necessary for successful completion of the game because quantum theory offers a way to discern human…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 E. W. Piotrowski , J. Sladkowski

We regard the Newcomb's Paradox as a reduction of the Prisoner's Dilemma and search for the considerable quantum solution. The all known classical solutions to the Newcomb's problem always imply that human has freewill and is due to the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Dong Pyo Chi , Kabgyun Jeong

Artificial intelligence (AI) is understood to affect the content of people's decisions. Here, using a behavioral implementation of the classic Newcomb's paradox in 1,305 participants, we show that AI can also change how people decide. In…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Aoi Naito , Hirokazu Shirado

We identify a choiceless variation of the box game paradox, in which players predict unknown real numbers with near-perfect accuracy despite lacking any useful information. We also verify that choice is necessary in the solution of the…

Logic · Mathematics 2023-01-09 Elliot Glazer

In this work, we investigate the application of Reinforcement Learning to two well known decision dilemmas, namely Newcomb's Problem and Prisoner's Dilemma. These problems are exemplary for dilemmas that autonomous agents are faced with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-10-25 Dominik Meyer , Johannes Feldmaier , Hao Shen

When formulated using Bayesian networks, two standard decision algorithms (Evidential Decision Theory and Causal Decision Theory) can be shown to fail systematically when faced with aspects of the prisoner's dilemma and so-called…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Alex Altair

Recently, we introduced in arXiv:1105.2434 a model for product adoption in social networks with multiple products, where the agents, influenced by their neighbours, can adopt one out of several alternatives. We identify and analyze here…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2013-05-29 Krzysztof R. Apt , Evangelos Markakis , Sunil Simon

Bayesian networks and their accompanying graphical models are widely used for prediction and analysis across many disciplines. We will reformulate these in terms of linear maps. This reformulation will suggest a natural extension, which we…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-04-01 Michael Pejic

In this article we will propose a completely new point of view for solving one of the most important paradoxes concerning game theory. The solution develop shifts the focus from the result to the strategy s ability to operate in a cognitive…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-26 Andrea Berdondini

Consider the following game: You are given two indistinguishable envelopes, each containing money. One contains twice as much as the other. You may pick one envelope and keep the money it contains. Having chosen an envelope, you are given…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-29 Nemo Semret

We propose a game-theoretic framework that incorporates both incomplete information and general ambiguity attitudes on factors external to all players. Our starting point is players' preferences on payoff-distribution vectors, essentially…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-04 Jian Yang

The principle that rational agents should maximize expected utility or choiceworthiness is intuitively plausible in many ordinary cases of decision-making under uncertainty. But it is less plausible in cases of extreme, low-probability risk…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-08-11 Christian Tarsney

In Newcomb's problem, causal decision theory (CDT) recommends two-boxing and thus comes apart from evidential decision theory (EDT) and ex ante policy optimisation (which prescribe one-boxing). However, in Newcomb's problem, you should…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-11-22 Emery Cooper , Caspar Oesterheld , Vincent Conitzer

We study an ensemble of individuals playing the two games of the so-called Parrondo paradox. In our study, players are allowed to choose the game to be played by the whole ensemble in each turn. The choice cannot conform to the preferences…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-08-10 J. M. R. Parrondo , L. Dinis , E. García-Toraño , B. Sotillo

Classical Bayesian persuasion studies how a sender influences receivers through carefully designed signaling policies within a single strategic interaction. In many real-world environments, such interactions are repeated across multiple…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Ata Poyraz Turna , Asrin Efe Yorulmaz , Tamer Başar

Human cooperation depends on how accurately we infer others' motives--how much they value fairness, generosity, or self-interest from the choices they make. We model that process in binary dictator games, which isolate moral trade-offs…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-12 Gregory Stanley , Jun Zhang , Rick Lewis

So far, the theory of equilibrium selection in the infinitely repeated prisoner's dilemma is insensitive to communication possibilities. To address this issue, we incorporate the assumption that communication reduces -- but does not…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-04-25 Maximilian Andres
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