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Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have become a cornerstone of many modern scientific analyses by providing a straightforward approach to numerically estimate uncertainties in the parameters of a model using a sequence of random…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2020-03-10 Joshua S. Speagle

We provide a probabilistic analysis of the upwind scheme for multi-dimensional transport equations. We associate a Markov chain with the numerical scheme and then obtain a backward representation formula of Kolmogorov type for the numerical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-13 Francois Delarue , Frédéric Lagoutière

A key task in Bayesian machine learning is sampling from distributions that are only specified up to a partition function (i.e., constant of proportionality). One prevalent example of this is sampling posteriors in parametric distributions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-10 Rong Ge , Holden Lee , Andrej Risteski

The branching rule is one of the most fundamental properties of the Macdonald symmetric polynomials. It expresses a Macdonald polynomial as a nonnegative linear combination of Macdonald polynomials with smaller number of variables. Taking a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-21 Leonid Petrov

This paper presents a novel algorithm for efficient online estimation of the filter derivatives in general hidden Markov models. The algorithm, which has a linear computational complexity and very limited memory requirements, is furnished…

Computation · Statistics 2019-01-10 Jimmy Olsson , Johan Westerborn Alenlöv

This paper gives new, efficient algorithms for approximate uniform sampling of contingency tables and integer partitions. The algorithms use the Burnside process, a general algorithm for sampling a uniform orbit of a finite group acting on…

Computation · Statistics 2025-09-03 Persi Diaconis , Michael Howes

Markov chains have been widely employed as a fundamental model in the studies of probabilistic and stochastic communicating and concurrent systems. It is well-understood that decomposition techniques play a key role in reachability analysis…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-02-15 Ji Guan , Yuan Feng , Mingsheng Ying

We consider an elementary model for self-organised criticality, the activated random walk on the complete graph. We introduce a discrete time Markov chain as follows. At each time step, we add an active particle at a random vertex and let…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Antal A. Járai , Christian Mönch , Lorenzo Taggi

We introduce and demonstrate a new approach to inference in expressive probabilistic programming languages based on particle Markov chain Monte Carlo. Our approach is simple to implement and easy to parallelize. It applies to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-10 Frank Wood , Jan Willem van de Meent , Vikash Mansinghka

The stochastic simulation algorithm commonly known as Gillespie's algorithm is now used ubiquitously in the modelling of biological processes in which stochastic effects play an important role. In well-mixed scenarios at the sub-cellular…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-23 Christian A Yates , Matthew J Ford , Richard L Mort

Spectral methods have proven to be a highly effective tool in understanding the intrinsic geometry of a high-dimensional data set $\left\{x_i \right\}_{i=1}^{n} \subset \mathbb{R}^d$. The key ingredient is the construction of a Markov chain…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2014-11-07 Stefan Steinerberger

Enumerating the directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) of a Markov equivalence class (MEC) is an important primitive in causal analysis. The central resource from the perspective of computational complexity is the delay, that is, the time an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Marcel Wienöbst , Malte Luttermann , Max Bannach , Maciej Liśkiewicz

The simulation of diffusion-based molecular communication systems with absorbing receivers often requires a high computational complexity to produce accurate results. In this work, a new a priori Monte Carlo (APMC) algorithm is proposed to…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2018-03-14 Yiran Wang , Adam Noel , Nan Yang

A key goal in the design of probabilistic inference algorithms is identifying and exploiting properties of the distribution that make inference tractable. Lifted inference algorithms identify symmetry as a property that enables efficient…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-07-02 Steven Holtzen , Todd Millstein , Guy Van den Broeck

The approximate uniform sampling of graph realizations with a given degree sequence is an everyday task in several social science, computer science, engineering etc. projects. One approach is using Markov chains. The best available current…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-01-09 Péter L. Erdős , Tamás Róbert Mezei , István Miklós

We propose a sampling algorithm to perform system identification from a set of input-output graph signal pairs. The dynamics of the systems we study are given by a partially known adjacency matrix and a generic parametric graph filter of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-01 Martín Sevilla , Santiago Segarra

Using the renewal approach we prove exponential inequalities for additive functionals and empirical processes of ergodic Markov chains, thus obtaining counterparts of inequalities for sums of independent random variables. The inequalities…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-18 Radosław Adamczak , Witold Bednorz

Monte Carlo methods are essential tools for Bayesian inference. Gibbs sampling is a well-known Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm, extensively used in signal processing, machine learning, and statistics, employed to draw samples from…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-21 Luca Martino , Victor Elvira , Gustau Camps-Valls

It has become increasingly easy nowadays to collect approximate posterior samples via fast algorithms such as variational Bayes, but concerns exist about the estimation accuracy. It is tempting to build solutions that exploit approximate…

Computation · Statistics 2024-06-17 Leo L. Duan , Anirban Bhattacharya

Empirical likelihood is a powerful semi-parametric method increasingly investigated in the literature. However, most authors essentially focus on an i.i.d. setting. In the case of dependent data, the classical empirical likelihood method…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-17 Hugo Harari-Kermadec