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We present a polynomial-time Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for estimating the partition function of the antiferromagnetic Ising model on any line graph. The analysis of the algorithm exploits the "winding" technology devised by…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-03-17 Martin Dyer , Marc Heinrich , Mark Jerrum , Haiko Müller

This study explores a Gaussian quasi-likelihood approach for estimating parameters of diffusion processes with Markovian regime switching. Assuming the ergodicity under high-frequency sampling, we will show the asymptotic normality of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-19 Yuzhong Cheng , Hiroki Masuda

Sampling from the conditional (or posterior) probability distribution of the latent states of a Hidden Markov Model, given the realization of the observed process, is a non-trivial problem in the context of Markov Chain Monte Carlo. To do…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-29 Sumeetpal S. Singh , Fredrik Lindsten , Eric Moulines

Let W be either the number of descents or inversions of a permutation. Stein's method is applied to show that W satisfies a central limit theorem with error rate n^(-1/2). The construction of an exchangeable pair (W,W') used in Stein's…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jason Fulman

In the Markov paging model, one assumes that page requests are drawn from a Markov chain over the pages in memory, and the goal is to maintain a fast cache that suffers few page faults in expectation. While computing the optimal online…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Chirag Pabbaraju , Ali Vakilian

We prove a law of large numbers for empirical approximations of the spectrum of a kernel integral operator by the spectrum of random matrices based on a sample drawn from a Markov chain, which complements the results by V. Koltchinskii and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-21 Radosław Adamczak , Witold Bednorz

Stein importance sampling is a widely applicable technique based on kernelized Stein discrepancy, which corrects the output of approximate sampling algorithms by reweighting the empirical distribution of the samples. A general analysis of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-14 Liam Hodgkinson , Robert Salomone , Fred Roosta

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are frequently used to approximately simulate high-dimensional, multimodal probability distributions. In adaptive MCMC methods, the transition kernel is changed "on the fly" in the hope to speed up…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-04 Winfried Barta

A hidden Markov process is a well known concept in information theory and is used for a vast range of applications such as speech recognition and error correction. We bridge between two disciplines, experimental physics and advanced…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2015-06-24 Ido Kanter , Aviad Frydman , Asaf Ater

This simple note lays out a few observations which are well known in many ways but may not have been said in quite this way before. The basic idea is that when comparing two different Markov chains it is useful to couple them is such a way…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-16 James E. Johndrow , Jonathan C. Mattingly

We investigate absorption, i.e., almost sure convergence to an absorbing state, in time-varying (non-homogeneous) discrete-time Markov chains with finite state space. We consider systems that can switch among a finite set of transition…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-18 Yasin Yazicioglu

In networking applications, one often wishes to obtain estimates about the number of objects at different parts of the network (e.g., the number of cars at an intersection of a road network or the number of packets expected to reach a node…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-06-22 Harshal A. Chaudhari , Michael Mathioudakis , Evimaria Terzi

Polar slice sampling (Roberts & Rosenthal, 2002) is a Markov chain approach for approximate sampling of distributions that is difficult, if not impossible, to implement efficiently, but behaves provably well with respect to the dimension.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-10 Philip Schär , Michael Habeck , Daniel Rudolf

The inference of thermodynamic quantities from the description of an only partially accessible physical system is a central challenge in stochastic thermodynamics. A common approach is coarse-graining, which maps the dynamics of such a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-08-19 Jann van der Meer , Benjamin Ertel , Udo Seifert

In the present work we explore a suitable coarse graining channel as a tool to describe the effective entanglement spreading in a coarse-grained spin-chain with different degrees of resolution. Comparing it with the experimental…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-09-04 Pedro Silva Correia , Fernando de Melo

In this work we study the recurrence problem for quantum Markov chains, which are quantum versions of classical Markov chains introduced by S. Gudder and described in terms of completely positive maps. A notion of monitored recurrence for…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2020-02-07 F. A. Grünbaum , C. F. Lardizabal , L. Velázquez

This paper presents a new Markov chain Monte Carlo method to sample from the posterior distribution of conjugate mixture models. This algorithm relies on a flexible split-merge procedure built using the particle Gibbs sampler. Contrary to…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-30 Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Arnaud Doucet , Andrew Roth

Markov chains are a natural and well understood tool for describing one-dimensional patterns in time or space. We show how to infer $k$-th order Markov chains, for arbitrary $k$, from finite data by applying Bayesian methods to both…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Christopher C. Strelioff , James P. Crutchfield , Alfred W. Hubler

We present a Bayesian approach to estimate the parameters of mathematical models of cardiac electrophysiology with quantified uncertainty. Such models capture the dynamics of the electrical signal that coordinates the muscle cell…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-02 Maarten Volkaerts , Marie Cloet , Hans Dierckx , Piet Claus , Giovanni Samaey

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) provides a feasible method for inferring Hidden Markov models, however, it is often computationally prohibitive, especially constrained by the curse of dimensionality, as the Monte Carlo sampler traverses…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-09-13 Xiongming Dai , Gerald Baumgartner