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Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a likelihood-free approach for Bayesian inferences based on a rejection algorithm method that applies a tolerance of dissimilarity between summary statistics from observed and simulated data.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-09-26 Shigeki Nakagome , Kenji Fukumizu , Shuhei Mano

In this paper we consider the construction of simultaneous confidence bands for the spectral density of a stationary time series using a Gaussian approximation for classical lag-window spectral density estimators evaluated at the set of all…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-25 Jens-Peter Kreiss , Anne Leucht , Efstathios Paparoditis

Evidential clustering is an approach to clustering in which cluster-membership uncertainty is represented by a collection of Dempster-Shafer mass functions forming an evidential partition. In this paper, we propose to construct these mass…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-20 Thierry Denoeux

Averaging provides an alternative to bandwidth selection for density kernel estimation. We propose a procedure to combine linearly several kernel estimators of a density obtained from different, possibly data-driven, bandwidths. The method…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-05 O. Chernova , F. Lavancier , P. Rochet

Kernel-based models such as kernel ridge regression and Gaussian processes are ubiquitous in machine learning applications for regression and optimization. It is well known that a major downside for kernel-based models is the high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Sattar Vakili , Jonathan Scarlett , Da-shan Shiu , Alberto Bernacchia

Estimation of the four generalized lambda distribution parameters is not straightforward, and available estimators that perform best have large computation times. In this paper, we introduce a simple two-step estimator of the parameters…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-26 Dilanka S. Dedduwakumara , Luke A. Prendergast , Robert G. Staudte

This paper investigates the use of bootstrap-based bias correction of semi-parametric estimators of the long memory parameter in fractionally integrated processes. The re-sampling method involves the application of the sieve bootstrap to…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-28 D. S. Poskitt , Gael M. Martin , Simone D. Grose

Randomized clinical trials are considered the gold standard for estimating causal effects. Nevertheless, in studies that are aimed at examining adverse effects of interventions, such trials are often impractical because of ethical and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-20 Anthony D. Scotina , Andrew R. Zullo , Robert J. Smith , Roee Gutman

Let $f$ be a multivariate density and $f\_n$ be a kernel estimate of $f$ drawn from the $n$-sample $X\_1,...,X\_n$ of i.i.d. random variables with density $f$. We compute the asymptotic rate of convergence towards 0 of the volume of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Benoit Cadre

This work develops a powerful and versatile framework for determining acceptance ratios in Metropolis-Hastings type Markov kernels widely used in statistical sampling problems. Our approach allows us to derive new classes of kernels which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-21 Nathan E. Glatt-Holtz , Justin A. Krometis , Cecilia F. Mondaini

In this paper, we propose a new statistical inference method for massive data sets, which is very simple and efficient by combining divide-and-conquer method and empirical likelihood. Compared with two popular methods (the bag of little…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-21 Xuejun Ma , Shaochen Wang , Wang Zhou

In this paper we revisit the kernel density estimation problem: given a kernel $K(x, y)$ and a dataset of $n$ points in high dimensional Euclidean space, prepare a data structure that can quickly output, given a query $q$, a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-11-16 Moses Charikar , Michael Kapralov , Navid Nouri , Paris Siminelakis

Bayesian inference for exponential family random graph models (ERGMs) is a doubly-intractable problem because of the intractability of both the likelihood and posterior normalizing factor. Auxiliary variable based Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-15 Fan Yin , Carter T. Butts

This article explores combinations of weighted bootstraps, like the Bayesian bootstrap, with the bootstrap $t$ method for setting approximate confidence intervals for the mean of a random variable in small samples. For this problem the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-21 Art B. Owen

In the extreme value analysis of time series, not only the tail behavior is of interest, but also the serial dependence plays a crucial role. Drees and Rootz\'en (2010) established limit theorems for a general class of empirical processes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-03 Holger Drees

This paper introduces new methods for constructing prediction intervals using quantile-based techniques. The procedures are developed for both classical (homoscedastic) autoregressive models and modern quantile autoregressive models. They…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-29 Silvia Novo , César Sánchez-Sellero

We derive strong approximations to the supremum of the non-centered empirical process indexed by a possibly unbounded VC-type class of functions by the suprema of the Gaussian and bootstrap processes. The bounds of these approximations are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-08 Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Kengo Kato

Estimating the ratio of two probability densities from finitely many samples, is a central task in machine learning and statistics. In this work, we show that a large class of kernel methods for density ratio estimation suffers from error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Lukas Gruber , Markus Holzleitner , Johannes Lehner , Sepp Hochreiter , Werner Zellinger

Randomized experiments are the gold standard for estimating treatment effects, and randomization serves as a reasoned basis for inference. In widely used stratified randomized experiments, randomization-based finite-population asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Haoyang Yu , Ke Zhu , Hanzhong Liu

Inference and testing in general point process models such as the Hawkes model is predominantly based on asymptotic approximations for likelihood-based estimators and tests. As an alternative, and to improve finite sample performance, this…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-22 Giuseppe Cavaliere , Ye Lu , Anders Rahbek , Jacob Stærk-Østergaard