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Iteration of randomly chosen quadratic maps defines a Markov process: X_{n+1}=\epsilon_{n+1}X_n(1-X_n), where \epsilon_n are i.i.d. with values in the parameter space [0,4] of quadratic maps F_{\theta}(x)=\theta x(1-x). Its study is of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Rabi Bhattacharya , Mukul Majumdar

Solutions to the random Fibonacci recurrence x_{n+1}=x_{n} + or - Bx_{n-1} decrease (increase) exponentially, x_{n} = exp(lambda n), for sufficiently small (large) B. In the limits B --> 0 and B --> infinity, we expand the Lyapunov exponent…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Clément Sire , Paul L. Krapivsky

We consider the problem of estimating how well a model class is capable of fitting a distribution of labeled data. We show that it is often possible to accurately estimate this "learnability" even when given an amount of data that is too…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-26 Weihao Kong , Gregory Valiant

We analyze the generalization performance of a student in a model composed of linear perceptrons: a true teacher, ensemble teachers, and the student. Calculating the generalization error of the student analytically using statistical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Seiji Miyoshi , Masato Okada

Plotting a learner's average performance against the number of training samples results in a learning curve. Studying such curves on one or more data sets is a way to get to a better understanding of the generalization properties of this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-16 Marco Loog , Tom Viering , Alexander Mey

We study the problem of high-dimensional robust mean estimation in an online setting. Specifically, we consider a scenario where $n$ sensors are measuring some common, ongoing phenomenon. At each time step $t=1,2,\ldots,T$, the $i^{th}$…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Daniel M. Kane , Ilias Diakonikolas , Hanshen Xiao , Sihan Liu

We study a problem related to coin flipping, coding theory, and noise sensitivity. Consider a source of truly random bits $x \in \bits^n$, and $k$ parties, who have noisy versions of the source bits $y^i \in \bits^n$, where for all $i$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Elchanan Mossel , Ryan O'Donnell

We consider statistical learning question for $\psi$-weakly dependent processes, that unifies a large class of weak dependence conditions such as mixing, association,$\cdots$ The consistency of the empirical risk minimization algorithm is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-04 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne

Causal influence measures for machine learnt classifiers shed light on the reasons behind classification, and aid in identifying influential input features and revealing their biases. However, such analyses involve evaluating the classifier…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-10 Shayak Sen , Piotr Mardziel , Anupam Datta , Matthew Fredrikson

From the sampling of data to the initialisation of parameters, randomness is ubiquitous in modern Machine Learning practice. Understanding the statistical fluctuations engendered by the different sources of randomness in prediction is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-03 Bruno Loureiro , Cédric Gerbelot , Maria Refinetti , Gabriele Sicuro , Florent Krzakala

We consider the filtering problem of estimating a hidden random variable $X$ by noisy observations. The noisy observation process is constructed by a randomised Markov bridge (RMB) $(Z_t)_{t\in [0,T]}$ of which terminal value is set to…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-17 Andrea Macrina , Jun Sekine

Quantitative research relies heavily on coding, and coding errors are relatively common even in published research. In this paper, we examine whether individuals are more or less likely to check their code depending on the results they…

General Economics · Economics 2025-09-26 Bruno Ferman , Lucas Finamor

In the framework of on-line learning, a learning machine might move around a teacher due to the differences in structures or output functions between the teacher and the learning machine. In this paper we analyze the generalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-11-11 Masahiro Urakami , Seiji Miyoshi , Masato Okada

When models are inaccurate, the performance of model-based control will degrade. For linear quadratic control, an event-triggered learning framework is proposed that automatically detects inaccurate models and triggers the learning of a new…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-19 Henning Schlüter , Friedrich Solowjow , Sebastian Trimpe

Online learning methods yield sequential regret bounds under minimal assumptions and provide in-expectation risk bounds for statistical learning. However, despite the apparent advantage of online guarantees over their statistical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-16 Dirk van der Hoeven , Nikita Zhivotovskiy , Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi

We consider the problem of estimating the number of distinct elements in a large data set (or, equivalently, the support size of the distribution induced by the data set) from a random sample of its elements. The problem occurs in many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-17 Talya Eden , Piotr Indyk , Shyam Narayanan , Ronitt Rubinfeld , Sandeep Silwal , Tal Wagner

Consistently checking the statistical significance of experimental results is one of the mandatory methodological steps to address the so-called "reproducibility crisis" in deep reinforcement learning. In this tutorial paper, we explain how…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-06 Cédric Colas , Olivier Sigaud , Pierre-Yves Oudeyer

A sequence $x_1,\dots,x_n,\dots$ of discrete-valued observations is generated according to some unknown probabilistic law (measure) $\mu$. After observing each outcome, one is required to give conditional probabilities of the next…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-12-30 Daniil Ryabko

Machine learning models have prevalent applications in many real-world problems, which increases the importance of correctness in the behaviour of these trained models. Finding a good test case that can reveal the potential failure in these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Harsh Vardhan , Janos Sztipanovits

We consider the problem of learning a discrete distribution in the presence of an $\epsilon$ fraction of malicious data sources. Specifically, we consider the setting where there is some underlying distribution, $p$, and each data source…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-23 Mingda Qiao , Gregory Valiant