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We investigate the collective accuracy of heterogeneous agents who learn to estimate their own reliability over time and selectively abstain from voting. While classical epistemic voting results, such as the \textit{Condorcet Jury Theorem}…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Jonas Karge

We prove a non-associative analog to the well-known $\frac{5}{8}$ Theorem. Namely, for a finite Moufang loop with nuclear commutators, we show that if the probability that three randomly chosen elements associate is greater than…

Group Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Ilan Levin

This study proposes a new efficiency requirement, a minimal almost weak Pareto principle, which says that x is socially better than y whenever the only one individual never prefers y to x, and all the others prefers x to y. Then, I show…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-01-20 Norihito Sakamoto

Multiwinner voting rules can be used to select a fixed-size committee from a larger set of candidates. We consider approval-based committee rules, which allow voters to approve or disapprove candidates. In this setting, several voting rules…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Dominik Peters

The Aldous-Hoover Theorem concerns an infinite matrix of random variables whose distribution is invariant under finite permutations of rows and columns. It states that, up to equality in distribution, each random variable in the matrix can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-26 Leihao Chen , Tobias Fritz , Tomáš Gonda , Andreas Klingler , Antonio Lorenzin

We propose a simple abstract formalisation of the act of observation, in which the system and the observer are assumed to be in a pure state and their interaction deterministically changes the states such that the outcome can be read from…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Sven Aerts

This paper introduces the axiom of Negative Dominance, stating that if a lottery $f$ is strictly preferred to a lottery $g$, then some outcome in the support of $f$ is strictly preferred to some outcome in the support of $g$. It is shown…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-11-16 Harvey Lederman

Consider an election between two candidates in which the voters' choices are random and independent and the probability of a voter choosing the first candidate is $p>1/2$. Condorcet's Jury Theorem which he derived from the weak law of large…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Olle Haggstrom , Gil Kalai , Elchanan Mossel

Agreement theorems are no-go results about rational disagreement: if two agents start from a common prior and their posterior beliefs are common knowledge, they cannot assign different probabilities to the same event. Standard treatments of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-26 Carlo Cepollaro , Andrea Di Biagio

The Born rule assigns a probability to any possible outcome of a quantum measurement, but leaves open the question how these probabilities are to be interpreted and, in particular, how they relate to the outcome observed in an actual…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-10-17 Daniela Frauchiger , Renato Renner

The totalitarian principle establishes that `anything not forbidden is compulsory'. The problem of quantum correlations is explaining what selects the set of quantum correlations for a Bell and Kochen-Specker (KS) contextuality scenario.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-09-27 Adán Cabello

Recently, quantitative versions of the Gibbard-Satterthwaite theorem were proven for $k=3$ alternatives by Friedgut, Kalai, Keller and Nisan and for neutral functions on $k \geq 4$ alternatives by Isaksson, Kindler and Mossel. We prove a…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2012-03-30 Elchanan Mossel , Miklos Z. Racz

The Condorcet Jury Theorem or the Miracle of Aggregation are frequently invoked to ensure the competence of some aggregate decision-making processes. In this article we explore an estimation of the prior probability of the thesis predicted…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-06-22 Álvaro Romaniega

By the Gibbard--Satterthwaite theorem, every reasonable voting rule for three or more alternatives is susceptible to manipulation: there exist elections where one or more voters can change the election outcome in their favour by…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-07-28 Edith Elkind , Umberto Grandi , Francesca Rossi , Arkadii Slinko

Many inference techniques for multivariate data analysis assume that the rows of the data matrix are realizations of independent and identically distributed random vectors. Such an assumption will be met, for example, if the rows of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-31 Peter D. Hoff

Apportionment assigns indivisible items among groups. By the Balinski-Young theorem, no method can satisfy both house monotonicity and the quota rule. This paper investigates quota violations caused by nonzero allocation constraints, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-08 Tyler C. Wunder , Joseph Cutrone

We consider an idealized model in which individuals' changing opinions and their social network coevolve, with disagreements between neighbors in the network resolved either through one imitating the opinion of the other or by reassignment…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-15 Feng Shi , Peter J. Mucha , Rick Durrett

This paper initiates the reverse mathematics of social choice theory, studying Arrow's impossibility theorem and related results including Fishburn's possibility theorem and the Kirman--Sondermann theorem within the framework of reverse…

Logic · Mathematics 2024-04-25 Benedict Eastaugh

This is an attempt to create a consistent and non-trivial extension of quantum theory, describing in detail the quantum measurement process. A tentative but concrete model is presented, based on the concept of multiple…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Jose L Balduz

Opacity is a generic security property, that has been defined on (non probabilistic) transition systems and later on Markov chains with labels. For a secret predicate, given as a subset of runs, and a function describing the view of an…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2014-09-02 Béatrice Bérard , Krishnendu Chatterjee , Nathalie Sznajder