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Temporal dependence and the resulting autocovariances in time series data can introduce bias into ANOVA test statistics, thereby affecting their size and power. This manuscript accounts for temporal dependence in ANOVA and develops a test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-12 Yunyi Zhang

Inference about a scalar parameter of interest typically relies on the asymptotic normality of common likelihood pivots, such as the signed likelihood root, the score and Wald statistics. Nevertheless, the resulting inferential procedures…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-07 Ruggero Bellio , Ioannis Kosmidis , Alessandra Salvan , Nicola Sartori

We investigate the likelihood ratio test for a large block-diagonal covariance matrix with an increasing number of blocks under the null hypothesis. While so far the likelihood ratio statistic has only been studied for normal populations,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-01 Nina Dörnemann

This article studies bootstrap inference for high dimensional weakly dependent time series in a general framework of approximately linear statistics. The following high dimensional applications are covered: (1) uniform confidence band for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-12 Xianyang Zhang , Guang Cheng

We develop a framework for composite likelihood estimation of parametric continuous-time stationary Gaussian processes. We derive the asymptotic theory of the associated maximum composite likelihood estimator. We implement our approach on a…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Mikkel Bennedsen , Kim Christensen , Peter Christensen

Bootstrap resampling is the foundation of many ensemble learning methods, and out-of-bag (OOB) error estimation is the most widely used internal measure of generalization performance. In the standard multinomial bootstrap, the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-25 Cheng Peng

We investigate different turnpike phenomena of generalized discrete-time stochastic linear-quadratic optimal control problems. Our analysis is based on a novel strict dissipativity notion for such problems, in which a stationary stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-29 Jonas Schießl , Ruchuan Ou , Timm Faulwasser , Michael Heinrich Baumann , Lars Grüne

We develop a versatile framework for statistical learning in non-stationary environments. In each time period, our approach applies a stability principle to select a look-back window that maximizes the utilization of historical data while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Chengpiao Huang , Kaizheng Wang

Variational inference is a general framework to obtain approximations to the posterior distribution in a Bayesian context. In essence, variational inference entails an optimization over a given family of probability distributions to choose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Janis Keck

We propose a new method to construct confidence intervals for quantities that are associated with a stationary time series, which avoids direct estimation of the asymptotic variances. Unlike the existing tuning-parameter-dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-05-13 Xiaofeng Shao

The asymptotic results that underlie applications of extreme random fields often assume that the variables are located on a regular discrete grid, identified with $\mathbb{Z}^2$, and that they satisfy stationarity and isotropy conditions.…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-03 Helena Ferreira , Luísa Pereira , Ana Paula Martins

Recently, Tibshirani et al. (2016) proposed a method for making inferences about parameters defined by model selection, in a typical regression setting with normally distributed errors. Here, we study the large sample properties of this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-10 Ryan J. Tibshirani , Alessandro Rinaldo , Robert Tibshirani , Larry Wasserman

The bootstrap is a popular and convenient method for quantifying the authority of an empirical ordering of attributes, for example of a ranking of the performance of institutions or of the influence of genes on a response variable. In the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-20 Peter Hall , Hugh Miller

Information from frequency bands in biomedical time series provides useful summaries of the observed signal. Many existing methods consider summaries of the time series obtained over a few well-known, pre-defined frequency bands of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-11 Raanju R. Sundararajan , Scott A. Bruce

Superstatistics are superpositions of different statistics relevant for driven nonequilibrium systems with spatiotemporal inhomogeneities of an intensive variable (e.g., the inverse temperature). They contain Tsallis statistics as a special…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Hugo Touchette , Christian Beck

Statistical inference for stochastic processes with time-varying spectral characteristics has received considerable attention in recent decades. We develop a nonparametric test for stationarity against the alternative of a smoothly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Efstathios Paparoditis

Optimal values and solutions of empirical approximations of stochastic optimization problems can be viewed as statistical estimators of their true values. From this perspective, it is important to understand the asymptotic behavior of these…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Johannes Milz , Thomas M. Surowiec

Consider a branching random walk evolving in a macroscopic time-inhomogeneous environment, that scales with the length $n$ of the process under study. We compute the first two terms of the asymptotic of the maximal displacement at time $n$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-01 Bastien Mallein

Detecting abrupt changes in the mean of a time series, so-called changepoints, is important for many applications. However, many procedures rely on the estimation of nuisance parameters (like long-run variance). Under the alternative (a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-14 Michal Pešta , Martin Wendler

The Bootstrap method application in simulation supposes that value of random variables are not generated during the simulation process but extracted from available sample populations. In the case of Hierarchical Bootstrap the function of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-29 A. Andronov , M. Fioshin
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