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Related papers: Testing for jumps in a discretely observed process

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In this paper we consider the problem of parameter inference for Markov jump process (MJP) representations of stochastic kinetic models. Since transition probabilities are intractable for most processes of interest yet forward simulation is…

Computation · Statistics 2014-09-16 Andrew Golightly , Darren J. Wilkinson

In this paper we explain how the notion of ''weak Dirichlet process'' is the suitable generalization of the one of semimartingale with jumps. For such a process we provide a unique decomposition which is new also for semimartingales: in…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Elena Bandini , Francesco Russo

We consider the so-called $\natural$-model. It is an one-default model which gives the conditional law of a random time with respect to a reference filtration. This model has been studied in the case where the parameters are continuous. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-01 Shiqi Song

A strict local martingale is a local martingale which is not a martingale. There are few explicit examples of "naturally occurring" strict local martingales with jumps available in the literature. The purpose of this paper is to provide…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-26 Philip Protter

The fluctuations of a Markovian jump process with one or more unidirectional transitions, where $R_{ij} >0$ but $R_{ji} =0$, are studied. We find that such systems satisfy an integral fluctuation theorem. The fluctuating quantity satisfying…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-07-22 Saar Rahav , Upendra Harbola

The velocity-jump model is a specific type of piecewise deterministic Markov process in which an individual's velocity is constant except at times that form the events of some point process. It represents an interpretable continuous-time…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-26 Paul G. Blackwell

In this paper, we derive power guarantees of some sequential tests for bounded mean under general alternatives. We focus on testing procedures using nonnegative supermartingales which are anytime valid and consider alternatives which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-15 Amaury Durand , Olivier Wintenberger

We take a new look at the problem of disentangling the volatility and jumps processes of daily stock returns. We first provide a computational framework for the univariate stochastic volatility model with Poisson-driven jumps that offers a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-30 Angelos Alexopoulos , Petros Dellaportas , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos

We construct a finite element like scheme for fully non-linear integro-partial differential equations arising in optimal control of jump-processes. Special cases of these equations include optimal portfolio and option pricing equations in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2008-05-22 Fabio Camilli , Espen R. Jakobsen

In this paper we examine the asymptotic theory for U-statistics and V-statistics of discontinuous Ito semimartingales that are observed at high frequency. For different types of kernel functions we show laws of large numbers and associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-25 Mark Podolskij , Christian Schmidt , Mathias Vetter

The `local time on curves' formula of Peskir provides a stochastic change of variables formula for a function whose derivatives may be discontinuous over a time-dependent curve, a setting which occurs often in applications in optimal…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-15 Daniel Wilson

We propose using a permutation test to detect discontinuities in an underlying economic model at a known cutoff point. Relative to the existing literature, we show that this test is well suited for event studies based on time-series data.…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-07-12 Federico A. Bugni , Jia Li , Qiyuan Li

This paper presents a central limit theorem for a pre-averaged version of the realized covariance estimator for the quadratic covariation of a discretely observed semimartingale with noise. The semimartingale possibly has jumps, while the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-31 Yuta Koike

A $p$-jump process is a piecewise deterministic Markov process with jumps by a factor of $p$. We prove a limit theorem for such processes on the unit interval. Via duality with respect to probability generating functions, we deduce limiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-02 F. Hermann , P. Pfaffelhuber

In [2] the notion of stickiness for stochastic processes was introduced. It was also shown that stickiness implies absense of arbitrage in a market with proportional transaction costs. In this paper, we investigate the notion of stickiness…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-14 Erhan Bayraktar , Hasanjan Sayit

Motivated by entropic optimal transport, time reversal of Markov jump processes in $\mathbb{R}^n$ is investigated. Relying on an abstract integration by parts formula for the carr\'e du champ of a Markov process recently obtained by…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-05 Giovanni Conforti , Christian Léonard

In this paper we consider two processes driven by diffusions and jumps. The jump components are Levy processes and they can both have finite activity and infinite activity. Given discrete observations we estimate the covariation between the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Fabio Gobbi , Cecilia Mancini

This paper is the first part of a series of papers on filtering for partially observed jump diffusions satisfying a stochastic differential equation driven by Wiener processes and Poisson martingale measures. The coefficients of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-18 Fabian Germ , István Gyöngy

In this paper we obtain a comparison theorem for backward stochastic partial differential equation (SPDEs) with jumps. We apply it to introduce space-dependent convex risk measures as a model for risk in large systems of interacting…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-19 Bernt Øksendal , Agnès Sulem , Tusheng Zhang

We give conditions to prove the existence of an Extremal Index for general stationary stochastic processes by detecting the presence of one or more underlying periodic phenomena. This theory, besides giving general useful tools to identify…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-20 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mike Todd