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Related papers: Testing for jumps in a discretely observed process

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It has been shown by Bertoin and Yor (2002) that the law of positive self-similar Markov processes (pssMps) that only jump downwards and do not hit zero in finite time are uniquely determined by their entire moments for which explicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-25 Matyas Barczy , Leif Doering

We consider the dynamics of a 1D system evolving according to a deterministic drift and randomly forced by two types of jumps processes, one representing an external, uncontrolled forcing and the other one a control that instantaneously…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-10-30 Mark S. Bartlett Amilcare Porporato Lamberto Rondoni

We establish the global asymptotic equivalence between a pure jumps L\'evy process $\{X_t\}$ on the time interval $[0,T]$ with unknown L\'evy measure $\nu$ belonging to a non-parametric class and the observation of $2m^2$ Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-20 Pierre Étoré , Sana Louhichi , Ester Mariucci

Volatility estimation is a central problem in financial econometrics, but becomes particularly challenging when jump activity is high, a phenomenon observed empirically in highly traded financial securities. In this paper, we revisit the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-13 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Tianwei Zhou

We develop and analyze a class of unbiased Monte Carlo estimators for multivariate jump-diffusion processes with state-dependent drift, volatility, jump intensity and jump size. A change of measure argument is used to extend existing…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-05 Guanting Chen , Alex Shkolnik , Kay Giesecke

We study the non-equilibrium stationary fluctuations of a symmetric zero-range process on the discrete interval $\{1, \ldots, N-1\}$ coupled to reservoirs at sites $1$ and $N-1$, which inject and remove particles at rates proportional to…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-09 Patrícia Gonçalves , Adriana Neumann , Maria Chiara Ricciuti

We consider the problem of detecting abrupt changes (i.e., large jump discontinuities) in the rate function of a point process. The rate function is assumed to be fully unknown, non-stationary, and may itself be a random process that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-16 Anna Brandenberger , Elchanan Mossel , Anirudh Sridhar

By using absolutely continuous lower bounds of the L\'evy measure, explicit gradient estimates are derived for the semigroup of the corresponding L\'evy process with a linear drift. A derivative formula is presented for the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-16 Feng-Yu Wang

The purpose of this paper is to ensure the conditions of G\"artner-Ellis Theorem for evaluations of the empirical measure. We show that up-to-date conditions for ensuring the convergence to a quasi-stationary distribution can be applied…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Aurélien Velleret

We propose procedures for testing whether stock price processes are martingales based on limit order type betting strategies. We first show that the null hypothesis of martingale property of a stock price process can be tested based on the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-02-16 Kei Takeuchi , Akimichi Takemura , Masayuki Kumon

We prove It{\^o}'s formula for the flow of measures associated with a jump process defined by a drift, an integral with respect to a Poisson random measure and with respect to the associated compensated Poisson random measure. We work in…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-30 Thomas Cavallazzi

We present sufficient conditions, in terms of the jumping kernels, for two large classes of conservative Markov processes of pure-jump type to be purely discontinuous martingales with finite second moment. As an application, we establish…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Yuichi Shiozawa , Jian Wang

For one-dimensional Jump-Drift and Jump-Diffusion processes converging towards some steady state, the large deviations of a long dynamical trajectory are described from two perspectives. Firstly, the joint probability of the empirical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-17 Cecile Monthus

In this article, we study the asymptotic behaviour of L\'evy processes with no positive jumps conditioned to stay positive. We establish integral tests for the lower envelope at 0 and at $+\infty$ and an analogue of Khintchin's law of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 J. C. Pardo

We consider estimation of a step function $f$ from noisy observations of a deconvolution $\phi*f$, where $\phi$ is some bounded $L_1$-function. We use a penalized least squares estimator to reconstruct the signal $f$ from the observations,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Leif Boysen , Axel Munk

A compound Poisson process whose parameters are all unknown is observed at finitely many equispaced times. Nonparametric estimators of the jump and L\'evy distributions are proposed and functional central limit theorems using the uniform…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Alberto J. Coca

We study the asymptotic behaviour of widely used tests for evaluating and comparing predictive accuracy when forecast errors exhibit heavy tails. In particular, when loss differentials have infinite variance, the Diebold-Mariano test…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-20 Jonas F. Frederiksen , Muneya Matsui , Rasmus S. Pedersen

In this paper we consider a stochastic process that may experience random reset events which bring suddenly the system to the starting value and analyze the relevant statistical magnitudes. We focus our attention on monotonous…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-01-21 Miquel Montero , Javier Villarroel

We consider a solution to a generic Markovian jump diffusion and show that for positive times the law of the solution process has a smooth density with respect to Lebesgue measure under a uniform version of Hoermander's conditions. Unlike…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-10-02 Thomas Cass

Practical problems with missing data are common, and statistical methods have been developed concerning the validity and/or efficiency of statistical procedures. On a central focus, there have been longstanding interests on the mechanism…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-26 Rui Duan , C. Jason Liang , Pamela Shaw , Cheng Yong Tang , Yong Chen