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In this article, we prove a joint large deviation principle in $n$ for the \emph{empirical pair measure} and \emph{ empirical offspring measure} of critical multitype Galton-Watson trees conditioned to have exactly $n$ vertices in the weak…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-15 Kwabena Doku-Amponsah

Machine learning models will often fail when deployed in an environment with a data distribution that is different than the training distribution. When multiple environments are available during training, many methods exist that learn…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Alan Q. Wang , Minh Nguyen , Mert R. Sabuncu

A large deviation function mathematically characterizes the statistical property of atypical events. Recently, in non-equilibrium statistical mechanics, large deviation functions have been used to describe universal laws such as the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-04-26 Shin-ichi Sasa

We establish a large deviation principle for the trajectories of Wiener processes subject to random resets to the origin occurring according to a Poisson process. In addition to the pathwise large deviation principle, we identify the rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-09 A. V. Logachov , O. M. Logachova , A. A. Yambartsev , K. A. Zaykov

We consider the recursive estimation of a regression functional where the explanatory variables take values in some functional space. We prove the almost sure convergence of such estimates for dependent functional data. Also we derive the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-19 Aboubacar Amiri , Baba Thiam

The paper deals with the statistical analysis of several data sets associated with shape invariant models with different translation, height and scaling parameters. We propose to estimate these parameters together with the common shape…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-17 Philippe Fraysse

In this article, we revisit the work of \cite{garrido2023large}, and prove large deviation principles for more general random initial data for cubic NLS. The Fourier coefficient of our random data admits an optimal polynomial decay.

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-12-11 Chenjie Fan , Feng Ye

We investigate periodic points of the Dyck shift from the viewpoint of large deviations. We establish the level-2 Large Deviation Principle with the rate function given in terms of Kolmogorov-Sinai entropies of shift-invariant Borel…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Hiroki Takahasi

We investigate an additive perturbation of a complex Wishart random matrix and prove that a large deviation principle holds for the spectral measures. The rate function is associated to a vector equilibrium problem coming from logarithmic…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-14 Adrien Hardy , Arno B. J. Kuijlaars

We study wide Bayesian neural networks focusing on the rare but statistically dominant fluctuations that govern posterior concentration, beyond Gaussian-process limits. Large-deviation theory provides explicit variational objectives-rate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-27 Katerina Papagiannouli , Dario Trevisan , Giuseppe Pio Zitto

We study the large deviation behaviour of $S_n=\sum_{j=1}^n W_jZ_j$, where $(W_j)_{j \in \mathbb N}$ and $(Z_j)_{j \in \mathbb N}$ are sequences of real-valued, independent and identically distributed random variables satisfying certain…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-05 Anton Bovier , Hannah Mayer

We consider a two-dimensional Hamiltonian system perturbed by a small diffusion term, whose coefficient is state-dependent and non-degenerate. As a result, the process consists of the fast motion along the level curves and slow motion…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-24 Shuo Yan

In the context of multivariate functional data with individual phase variation, we develop a robust depth-based approach to estimate the main pattern function when cross-component time warping is also present. In particular, we consider the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Ana Arribas-Gil , Sara López-Pintado

We give a criterion to determine the large deviation rate functions for abstract dynamical systems on towers. As an application of this criterion we show the level 2 large deviation principle for some class of smooth interval maps with…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2008-01-17 Yong Moo Chung

We study the dynamics of smooth interval maps with non-flat critical points. For every such a map that is topologically exact, we establish the full (level-2) Large Deviation Principle for empirical means. In particular, the Large Deviation…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-07-19 Yong Moo Chung , Juan Rivera-Letelier , Hiroki Takahasi

We investigate nonparametric drift estimation for multidimensional jump diffusions based on continuous observations. The results are derived under anisotropic smoothness assumptions and the estimators' performance is measured in terms of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-02 Niklas Dexheimer

We prove pathwise large deviation principles of slow variables in slow-fast systems in the limit of time-scale separation tending to infinity. In the limit regime we consider, the convergence of the slow variable to its deterministic limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-25 Richard C. Kraaij , Mikola C. Schlottke

This paper proposes a fast and scalable method for uncertainty quantification of machine learning models' predictions. First, we show the principled way to measure the uncertainty of predictions for a classifier based on Nadaraya-Watson's…

We present a general technique for computing large deviations of nonlinear functions of independent Bernoulli random variables. The method is applied to compute the large deviation rate functions for subgraph counts in sparse random graphs.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-02 Sourav Chatterjee , Amir Dembo

We revisit Wschebor's theorems on small increments for processes with scaling and stationary properties and deduce large deviation principles.

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-05 Jose R. Leon , José León , Alain Rouault