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We describe a simple form of importance sampling designed to bound and compute large-deviation rate functions for time-extensive dynamical observables in continuous-time Markov chains. We start with a model, defined by a set of rates, and a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-12-04 Daniel Jacobson , Stephen Whitelam

We prove a large deviation principle of Freidlin-Wentzell's type for the multivalued stochastic differential equations with monotone drifts, which in particular contains a class of SDEs with reflection in a convex domain.

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-31 Jiagang Ren , Siyan Xu , Xicheng Zhang

This work focuses on multivalued stochastic differential equations with jumps. First, by employing the weak convergence approach, we establish the Freidlin-Wentzell uniform large deviation principle and the Dembo-Zeitouni uniform large…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Huijie Qiao

The link between Tauberian theorems and large deviations is surveyed, with particular reference to regular variation.

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-03 N. H. Bingham

We investigate large deviations properties for centered stationary AR(1) and MA(1) processes with independent Gaussian innovations, by giving the explicit bivariate rate functions for the sequence of random vectors $(\boldsymbol{S}_n)_{n…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-22 M. J. Karling , A. O. Lopes , S. R. C. Lopes

We consider the incompressible 2D Navier-Stokes equations on the torus, driven by a deterministic time periodic force and a noise that is white in time and degenerate in Fourier space. The main result is twofold. Firstly, we establish a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-13 Rongchang Liu , Kening Lu

We consider two Ito equations that evolve on different time scales. The equations are fully coupled in the sense that all coefficients may depend on both the "slow" and the "fast" processes and the diffusion terms may be correlated. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-13 Anatolii A. Puhalskii

Traditional nonparametric estimation methods often lead to a slow convergence rate in large dimensions and require unrealistically enormous sizes of datasets for reliable conclusions. We develop an approach based on partial derivatives,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-20 Xiaowu Dai

In recent years, there has been much interest in understanding the generalization behavior of interpolating predictors, which overfit on noisy training data. Whereas standard analyses are concerned with whether a method is consistent or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Daniel Barzilai , Guy Kornowski , Ohad Shamir

We prove a large deviation principle for the slow-fast rough differential equations under the controlled rough path framework. The driver rough paths are lifted from the mixed fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-05 Xiaoyu Yang , Yong Xu

Using the weak convergence approach, we prove the large deviation principle (LDP) for solutions to quasilinear stochastic evolution equations with small Gaussian noise in the critical variational setting, a recently developed general…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-23 Esmée Theewis , Mark Veraar

In this paper, we empirically analyze a simple, non-learnable, and nonparametric Nadaraya-Watson (NW) prediction head that can be used with any neural network architecture. In the NW head, the prediction is a weighted average of labels from…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Alan Q. Wang , Mert R. Sabuncu

Large deviation functions contain information on the stability and response of systems driven into nonequilibrium steady states, and in such a way are similar to free energies for systems at equilibrium. As with equilibrium free energies,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-04-25 Ushnish Ray , Garnet Kin-Lic Chan , David T. Limmer

This paper focuses on systems of nonlinear second-order stochastic differential equations with multi-scales. The motivation for our study stems from mathematical physics and statistical mechanics, for examples, Langevin dynamics and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-08 Nhu N. Nguyen , George Yin

Estimating large covariance and precision matrices are fundamental in modern multivariate analysis. The problems arise from statistical analysis of large panel economics and finance data. The covariance matrix reveals marginal correlations…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-17 Jianqing Fan , Yuan Liao , Han Liu

The main purpose is to estimate the regression function of a real random variable with functional explanatory variable by using a recursive nonparametric kernel approach. The mean square error and the almost sure convergence of a family of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-07 Aboubacar Amiri , Christophe Crambes , Baba Thiam

Associated kernels have been introduced to improve the classical continuous kernels for smoothing any functional on several kinds of supports such as bounded continuous and discrete sets. This work deals with the effects of combined…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-08 Sobom M. Somé , Célestin C. Kokonendji

Given a finite typed rooted tree $T$ with $n$ vertices, the {\em empirical subtree measure} is the uniform measure on the $n$ typed subtrees of $T$ formed by taking all descendants of a single vertex. We prove a large deviation principle in…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Amir Dembo , Peter Morters , Scott Sheffield

Estimation of genewise variance arises from two important applications in microarray data analysis: selecting significantly differentially expressed genes and validation tests for normalization of microarray data. We approach the problem by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-11 Jianqing Fan , Yang Feng , Yue S. Niu

We consider a generic diffusion on the 1D torus and give a simple representation formula for the large deviation rate functional of its invariant probability measure, in the limit of vanishing noise. Previously, this rate functional had…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-12 A. Faggionato , D. Gabrielli
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