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In this paper, on the sublinear expectation space, we establish a comparison theorem between independent and convolutionary random vectors, which states that the partial sums of those two sequences of random vectors are identically…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-05 Ning Zhang , Yuting Lan

We introduce and analyze a variation of the Bertrand game in which the revenue is shared between two players. This game models situations in which one economic agent can provide goods/services to consumers either directly or through an…

We consider one-round games between a classical referee and two players. One of the main questions in this area is the parallel repetition question: Is there a way to decrease the maximum winning probability of a game without increasing the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2011-05-12 Julia Kempe , Thomas Vidick

Two-player graph games are a fundamental model for reasoning about the interaction of agents. These games are played between two players who move a token along a graph. In bidding games, the players have some monetary budget, and at each…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Shaull Almagor , Guy Avni , Neta Dafni

In Newcomb's paradox you choose to receive either the contents of a particular closed box, or the contents of both that closed box and another one. Before you choose, a prediction algorithm deduces your choice, and fills the two boxes based…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2010-03-09 David H. Wolpert , Gregory Benford

We consider the following two-player game on a graph. A token is located at a vertex, and the players take turns to move it along an edge to a vertex that has not been visited before. A player who cannot move loses. We analyze outcomes with…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-29 Riddhipratim Basu , Alexander E. Holroyd , James B. Martin , Johan Wästlund

Consider an election between two candidates in which the voters' choices are random and independent and the probability of a voter choosing the first candidate is $p>1/2$. Condorcet's Jury Theorem which he derived from the weak law of large…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Olle Haggstrom , Gil Kalai , Elchanan Mossel

We introduce the notion of a random mean generated by a random variable and give a construction of its expected value. We derive some sufficient conditions under which strong laws of large numbers and some limit theorems hold for random…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Matyas Barczy , Pál Burai

This paper describes Simpson's paradox, and explains its serious implications for randomised control trials. In particular, we show that for any number of variables we can simulate the result of a controlled trial which uniformly points to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-04 Norman Fenton , Martin Neil , Anthony Constantinou

Consider a well-shuffled deck of cards of $n$ different types where each type occurs $m$ times. In a complete feedback game, a player is asked to guess the top card from the deck. After each guess, the top card is revealed to the player and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-08 Andrea Ottolini , Raghavendra Tripathi

Mean field games (MFGs) describe the limit, as $n$ tends to infinity, of stochastic differential games with $n$ players interacting with one another through their common empirical distribution. Under suitable smoothness assumptions that…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-24 Francois Delarue , Daniel Lacker , Kavita Ramanan

We study the design of voting rules in the metric distortion framework. It is known that any deterministic rule suffers distortion of at least $3$, and that randomized rules can achieve distortion strictly less than $3$, often at the cost…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Ziyi Cai , D. D. Gao , Prasanna Ramakrishnan , Kangning Wang

The Elo rating system is a highly successful ranking algorithm for games of skill where, by construction, one team wins and the other loses. A primary limitation of the original Elo algorithm is its inability to predict information beyond a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-05 J. Scott Moreland , Matthew C. Superdock

We introduce a way to parameterize automata and games on finite graphs with natural numbers. The parameters are accessed essentially by allowing counting down from the parameter value to 0 and branching depending on whether 0 has been…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-09-11 Arno Pauly

Since the appearance of H. Robbins article (1948), the central limit theorems for random sums have been studied for about 70 years. The central limit theorems for random sums of independent random variables play a very important role in…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Tran Loc Hung

This note proves a law of large numbers for predicting several steps ahead, which, in the case of uniformly bounded random variables, generalizes the standard law of large numbers for martingales; the standard law of large numbers…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Vladimir Vovk

Quantum entanglement is known to provide a strong advantage in many two-party distributed tasks. We investigate the question of how much entanglement is needed to reach optimal performance. For the first time we show that there exists a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-08-25 Laura Mančinska , Thomas Vidick

A matching game is a cooperative profit game defined on an edge-weighted graph, where the players are the vertices and the profit of a coalition is the maximum weight of matchings in the subgraph induced by the coalition. A population…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-05-04 Han Xiao , Qizhi Fang

We consider heterogeneously interacting diffusive particle systems and their large population limit. The interaction is of mean field type with weights characterized by an underlying graphon. A law of large numbers result is established as…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-07 Erhan Bayraktar , Suman Chakraborty , Ruoyu Wu

Bertrand's paradox is a famous problem of probability theory, pointing to a possible inconsistency in Laplace's principle of insufficient reason. In this article we show that Bertrand's paradox contains two different problems: an "easy"…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2015-10-19 Diederik Aerts , Massimiliano Sassoli de Bianchi