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The paper is devoted to studies of perturbed Markov chains commonly used for description of information networks. In such models, the matrix of transition probabilities for the corresponding Markov chain is usually regularised by adding a…

We consider the inverse problem of reconstructing the posterior measure over the trajec- tories of a diffusion process from discrete time observations and continuous time constraints. We cast the problem in a Bayesian framework and derive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-21 Botond Cseke , David Schnoerr , Manfred Opper , Guido Sanguinetti

Consider the family of power divergence statistics based on $n$ trials, each leading to one of $r$ possible outcomes. This includes the log-likelihood ratio and Pearson's statistic as important special cases. It is known that in certain…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Fraser Daly

Motivated by queues with many servers, we study Brownian steady-state approximations for continuous time Markov chains (CTMCs). Our approximations are based on diffusion models (rather than a diffusion limit) whose steady-state, we prove,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-12 Itai Gurvich

In this paper, we apply the Stein's method in the context of point processes, namely when the target measure is the distribution of a finite Poisson point process. We show that the so-called Kantorovich-Rubinstein distance between such a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-09 Laurent Decreusefond , Aurélien Vasseur

This paper calculates transient distributions of a special class of Markov processes with continuous state space and in continuous time, up to an explicit error bound. We approximate specific queues on R with one-sided L\'evy input, such as…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-03 Fabian Michel , Markus Siegle

We study the rate of convergence of the Markov chain on $S_n$ which starts with a random $(n-k)$-cycle for a fixed $k \geq 1$, followed by random transpositions. The convergence to the stationary distribution turns out to be of order $n$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-26 Alperen Y. Özdemir

This paper is concerned with the development of rigorous approximations to various expectations associated with Markov chains and processes having non-stationary transition probabilities. Such non-stationary models arise naturally in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-07 Zeyu Zheng , Harsha Honnappa , Peter W. Glynn

Narayana numbers appear in many places in combinatorics and probability, and it is known that they are asymptotically normal. Using Stein's method of exchangeable pairs, we provide an error of approximation in total variation to a symmetric…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-13 Jason Fulman , Adrian Röllin

This survey article discusses the main concepts and techniques of Stein's method for distributional approximation by the normal, Poisson, exponential, and geometric distributions, and also its relation to concentration inequalities. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-12 Nathan Ross

In this paper, we aim to study the diffusion approximation for multi-scale McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations. More precisely, we prove the weak convergence of slow process $X^\varepsilon$ in $C([0,T];\mathbb{R}^n)$ towards the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-07 Wei Hong , Shihu Li , Xiaobin Sun

In this paper we establish a multivariate exchangeable pairs approach within the framework of Stein's method to assess distributional distances to potentially singular multivariate normal distributions. By extending the statistics into a…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-06 Gesine Reinert , Adrian Röllin

We study translation-invariant determinantal random point fields on the real line. We prove, under quite general conditions, that the smallest nearest spacings between the particles in a large interval have Poisson statistics as the length…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Alexander Soshnikov

Statistical modeling of point patterns is an important and common problem in several areas. The Poisson process is the most common process used for this purpose, in particular, its generalization that considers the intensity function to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-26 Flavio B. Gonçalves , Livia M. Dutra , Roger W. C. Silva

In this paper, we develop simple, yet efficient, procedures for sampling approximations of the two-Parameter Poisson-Dirichlet Process and the normalized inverse-Gaussian process. We compare the efficiency of the new approximations to the…

Computation · Statistics 2012-09-25 Luai Al Labadi , Mahmoud Zarepour

We present an algorithm for the problem of linear distributed estimation of a parameter in a network where a set of agents are successively taking measurements. The approach considers a roaming token in a network that carries the estimate,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-05 Lucas Balthazar , João Xavier , Bruno Sinopoli

A susceptibility propagation that is constructed by combining a belief propagation and a linear response method is used for approximate computation for Markov random fields. Herein, we formulate a new, improved susceptibility propagation by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-12-04 Muneki Yasuda , Kazuyuki Tanaka

An algorithm for estimating quasi-stationary distribution of finite state space Markov chains has been proven in a previous paper. Now this paper proves a similar algorithm that works for general state space Markov chains under very general…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-04 Jose H. Blanchet , Peter Glynn , Shuheng Zheng

Neural computations arising from myriads of interactions between spiking neurons can be modeled as network dynamics with punctuate interactions. However, most relevant dynamics do not allow for computational tractability. To circumvent this…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-09 Michel Davydov

We propose an analytic approach for the steady-state dynamics of Markov processes on locally tree-like graphs. It is based on time-translation invariant probability distributions for edge trajectories, which we encode in terms of infinite…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-08 Stefano Crotti , Thomas Barthel , Alfredo Braunstein