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The aim of this paper is to approximate a finite-state Markov process by another process with fewer states, called herein the approximating process. The approximation problem is formulated using two different methods. The first method,…

We consider distributional approximation by generalized Dickman distributions, which appear in number theory, perpetuities, logarithmic combinatorial structures and many other areas. We prove bounds in the Kolmogorov distance for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-21 Chinmoy Bhattacharjee , Matthias Schulte

This study explores a Gaussian quasi-likelihood approach for estimating parameters of diffusion processes with Markovian regime switching. Assuming the ergodicity under high-frequency sampling, we will show the asymptotic normality of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-19 Yuzhong Cheng , Hiroki Masuda

A discrete-time stochastic process derived from a model of basketball is used to generalize any discrete distribution. The generalized distributions can have one or two more parameters than the parent distribution. Those derived from…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-25 Rose Baker

The statement of the mean field approximation theorem in the mean field theory of Markov processes particularly targets the behaviour of population processes with an unbounded number of agents. However, in most real-world engineering…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-11 Mahmoud Talebi , Jan Friso Groote , Jean-Paul Linnartz

We consider the behavior of spatial point processes when subjected to a class of linear transformations indexed by a variable T. It was shown in Ellis [Adv. in Appl. Probab. 18 (1986) 646-659] that, under mild assumptions, the transformed…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Dominic Schuhmacher

The Poisson distribution arises naturally when dealing with data involving counts, and it has found many applications in inverse problems and imaging. In this work, we develop an approximate Bayesian inference technique based on expectation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Chen Zhang , Simon Arridge , Bangti Jin

Order-preserving couplings are elegant tools for obtaining robust estimates of the time-dependent and stationary distributions of Markov processes that are too complex to be analyzed exactly. The starting point of this paper is to study…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-02 Lasse Leskelä

This paper deals with Poisson approximation to weighted sums of locally dependent random variables using Stein's method. The derived result represents a significant improvement of existing results. To illustrate the effectiveness of our…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-08 Pratima Eknath Kadu

We generalize the Poisson limit theorem to binary functions of random objects whose law is invariant under the action of an amenable group. Examples include stationary random fields, exchangeable sequences, and exchangeable graphs. A…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-19 Haoyu Ye , Peter Orbanz , Morgane Austern

In order to give quantitative estimates for approximating the ergodic limit, we investigate probabilistic limit behaviors of time-averaging estimators of numerical discretizations for a class of time-homogeneous Markov processes, by…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-13 Chuchu Chen , Tonghe Dang , Jialin Hong , Guoting Song

A $d$-dimensional Ising model on a lattice torus is considered. As the size $n$ of the lattice tends to infinity, a Poisson approximation is given for the distribution of the number of copies in the lattice of any given local configuration,…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-11 David Coupier

This paper generalizes the notion of stochastic order to a relation between probability measures over arbitrary measurable spaces. This generalization is motivated by the observation that for the stochastic ordering of two stationary Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-24 Lasse Leskelä

The paper considers a Cox process where the stochastic intensity function for the Poisson data model is itself a non-homogeneous Poisson process. We show that it is possible to obtain the marginal data process, namely a non-homogeneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-17 Shuying Wang , Stephen G. Walker

We prove a new class of inequalities, yielding bounds for the normal approximation in the Wasserstein and the Kolmogorov distance of functionals of a general Poisson process (Poisson random measure). Our approach is based on an iteration of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-30 Günter Last , Giovanni Peccati , Matthias Schulte

New bounds on the total variation distance between the law of integer valued functionals of possibly non-symmetric and non-homogeneous infinite Rademacher sequences and the Poisson distribution are established. They are based on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-26 Kai Krokowski

For a wide class of continuous-time Markov processes, including all irreducible hypoelliptic diffusions evolving on an open, connected subset of $\RL^d$, the following are shown to be equivalent: (i) The process satisfies (a slightly weaker…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-27 Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Sean P. Meyn

Consider a sequence $P_n$ of positive recurrent transition matrices or kernels that approximate a limiting infinite state matrix or kernel $P_{\infty}$. Such approximations arise naturally when one truncates an infinite state Markov chain…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-07 Peter W. Glynn , Zeyu Zheng

Subordinators are infinitely divisible distributions on the positive half-line. They are often used as mixing distributions in Poisson mixtures. We show that appropriately scaled Poisson mixtures can approximate the mixing subordinator and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Michael Grabchak , Sina Saba

We are interested in studying the sensitivity of diffusion processes or their approximations by Markov Chains with respect to a perturbation of the coefficients.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-28 V. Konakov , A. Kozhina , S. Menozzi