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This article proposed a hybrid detrended deconvolution foreign exchange network construction method (DDFEN), which combined the detrended cross-correlation analysis coefficient (DCCC) and the network deconvolution method together. DDFEN is…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-24 Pengfei Xi , Shiyang Lai , Xueying Wang , Weiqiang Huang

In this paper, we investigate the problem of predicting the future volatility of Forex currency pairs using the deep learning techniques. We show step-by-step how to construct the deep-learning network by the guidance of the empirical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-06 Shujian Liao , Jian Chen , Hao Ni

We discuss price variations distributions in foreign exchange markets, characterizing them both in calendar and business time frameworks. The price dynamics is found to be the result of two distinct processes, a multi-variance diffusion and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Michele Pasquini , Maurizio Serva

This paper aims at solving FX market volatility modeling problem and finding the most becoming approach to this task. Validity of two competing approaches, classical econometric generalized conditional heteroscedasticity and mathematical…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-30 Anton Koshelev

We study the international interbank market through a geometrical and a topological analysis of empirical data. The geometrical analysis of the time series of cross-country liabilities shows that the systematic information of the interbank…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-28 Alessandro Spelta , Tanya Araújo

Stable coins are not very stable. Cash collateralized coins are more stable, but the overall failure rate is similar to tokens that are not designed to be stable. USD Coin, Tether and Dai have the largest Ethereum market shares, and they…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-28 Bruce Mizrach

We propose a Genetic Programming architecture for the generation of foreign exchange trading strategies. The system's principal features are the evolution of free-form strategies which do not rely on any prior models and the utilization of…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2014-11-11 Simone Cirillo , Stefan Lloyd , Peter Nordin

During a financial crisis, the capital markets network frequently exhibits a high correlation between returns. We developed a network analysis framework based on daily returns from 42 countries to determine systemic stability. Our network…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-01-06 Supanat Kamtue , Pongsak Luangaram , Sirawit Woramongkhon

Correlation networks were used to detect characteristics which, although fixed over time, have an important influence on the evolution of prices over time. Potentially important features were identified using the websites and whitepapers of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-19 Andrew Burnie

Though machine learning has been applied to the foreign exchange market for algorithmic trading for quiet some time now, and neural networks(NN) have been shown to yield positive results, in most modern approaches the NN systems are…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2012-01-31 Gene I. Sher

The Euro (EUR) has been a currency introduced by the European Community on Jan. 01, 1999. This implies eleven countries of the European Union which have been found to meet the five requirements of the Maastricht convergence criteria. In…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 K. Ivanova , M. Ausloos

High-frequency financial data of the foreign exchange market (EUR/CHF, EUR/GBP, EUR/JPY, EUR/NOK, EUR/SEK, EUR/USD, NZD/USD, USD/CAD, USD/CHF, USD/JPY, USD/NOK, and USD/SEK) are analyzed by utilizing the Kullback-Leibler divergence between…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 Aki-Hiro Sato

We introduce a new framework for the analysis of the dynamics of networks, based on randomly reinforced urn (RRU) processes, in which the weight of the edges is determined by a reinforcement mechanism. We rigorously explain the empirical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-03-08 Guido Caldarelli , Alessandro Chessa , Irene Crimaldi , Fabio Pammolli

Based on the daily data of American and Chinese stock markets, the dynamic behavior of a financial network with static and dynamic thresholds is investigated. Compared with the static threshold, the dynamic threshold suppresses the large…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-18 Tian Qiu , Bo Zheng , Guang Chen

A time-varying cointegration model for foreign exchange rates is presented. Unlike previous studies, we allow the loading matrix in the vector error correction (VEC) model to be varying over time. Because the loading matrix in the VEC model…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-17 Mikio Ito , Akihiko Noda , Tatsuma Wada

A time series model for the FX dynamics is presented which takes into account structural peculiarities of the market, namely its heterogeneity and an information flow from long to short time horizons. The model emerges from an analogy…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 Wolfgang Breymann , Shoaleh Ghashghaie , Peter Talkner

This article reviews and evaluates models of network evolution based on the notion of structural diversity. We show that diversity is an underlying theme of three principles of network evolution: the preferential attachment model,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Jérôme Kunegis

The foreign exchange market has taken an important role in the global financial market. While foreign exchange trading brings high-yield opportunities to investors, it also brings certain risks. Since the establishment of the foreign…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-09 Mimansa Rana , Nanxiang Mao , Ming Ao , Xiaohui Wu , Poning Liang , Matloob Khushi

This paper investigates and compares currency substitution between the currencies of Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries and the euro. In addition, we develop a model with microeconomic foundations, which identifies difference…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-07 Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu , Dominique Pépin , Stephen Miller

This paper empirically analyses risk in the Euro relative to other currencies. Comparisons are made between a sub period encompassing the final transitional stage to full monetary union with a sub period prior to this. Stability in the face…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-29 John Cotter