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This study investigates whether Topological Data Analysis (TDA) can provide additional insights beyond traditional statistical methods in clustering currency behaviours. We focus on the foreign exchange (FX) market, which is a complex…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-23 Pattravadee de Favereau de Jeneret , Ioannis Diamantis

There are many studies dealing with the analysis of similarity among currencies in foreign exchange market by using network analysis approach. In those studies, each currency is represented by a univariate time series of exchange rate…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-30 Mansooreh Kazemilari , Maman Abdurachman Djauhari , Zuhaimy Ismail

We present a systematic study of various statistical characteristics of high-frequency returns from the foreign exchange market. This study is based on six exchange rates forming two triangles: EUR-GBP-USD and GBP-CHF-JPY. It is shown that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-05-24 Stanislaw Drozdz , Jaroslaw Kwapien , Pawel Oswiecimka , Rafal Rak

A fundamental problem in the study of networks is the identification of important nodes. This is typically achieved using centrality metrics, which rank nodes in terms of their position in the network. This approach works well for static…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-10-19 Isobel Seabrook , Paolo Barucca , Fabio Caccioli

We study the long memory of order flow for each of three liquid currency pairs on a large electronic trading platform in the foreign exchange (FX) spot market. Due to the extremely high levels of market activity on the platform, and in…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-23 Martin D. Gould , Mason A. Porter , Sam D. Howison

In this paper we aim to improve existing empirical exchange rate models by accounting for uncertainty with respect to the underlying structural representation. Within a flexible Bayesian non-linear time series framework, our modeling…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-12-04 Niko Hauzenberger , Florian Huber

There is intense interest in understanding the stochastic and dynamical properties of the global Foreign Exchange (FX) market, whose daily transactions exceed one trillion US dollars. This is a formidable task since the FX market is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Neil F. Johnson , Mark McDonald , Omer Suleman , Stacy Williams , Sam Howison

Cryptocurrencies have recently been in the spotlight of public debate due to their embrace by the new US President, with crypto fans expecting a 'bull run'. The global cryptocurrency market capitalisation is more than \$3.50 trillion, with…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Marco Venturini , Daniel García-Costa , Elena Álvarez-García , Francisco Grimaldo , Flaminio Squazzoni

Foreign currency exchange plays a vital role for trading of currency in the financial market. Due to its volatile nature, prediction of foreign currency exchange is a challenging task. This paper presents different machine learning…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-27 Swagat Ranjit

Exchange arrangements among different countries over the world are foundations of the world economy, which generally stand behind the daily economic evolution. As the first study of the world exchange arrangements web (WEAW), we built a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-02-19 Xiang Li , Yu Ying Jin , Guanrong Chen

This thesis applies entropy as a model independent measure to address three research questions concerning financial time series. In the first study we apply transfer entropy to drawdowns and drawups in foreign exchange rates, to study their…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-26 Stephan Schwill

On Jan. 1, 1999 the European Union introduced a common currency Euro ($EUR$), to become the legal currency in all eleven countries which form the $EUR$. In order to test the $EUR$ behavior and understand various features, the $EUR$ exchange…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-12-21 M. Ausloos , K. Ivanova

This paper studies the statistical properties of the web of import-export relationships among world countries using a weighted-network approach. We analyze how the distributions of the most important network statistics measuring…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Giorgio Fagiolo , Javier Reyes , Stefano Schiavo

Accurate prediction of price behavior in the foreign exchange market is crucial. This paper proposes a novel approach that leverages technical indicators and deep neural networks. The proposed architecture consists of a Long Short-Term…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Sahabeh Saadati , Mohammad Manthouri

We study recurrent patterns in volatility and volume for major cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin and Ether, using data from two centralized exchanges (Coinbase Pro and Binance) and a decentralized exchange (Uniswap V2). We find systematic patterns…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-05 Peter Reinhard Hansen , Chan Kim , Wade Kimbrough

The possibility to analyze everyday monetary transactions is limited by the scarcity of available data, as this kind of information is usually considered highly sensitive. Present econophysics models are usually employed on presumed random…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-04-01 Dániel Kondor , Márton Pósfai , István Csabai , Gábor Vattay

Based on the high-frequency recordings from Kraken, a cryptocurrency exchange and professional trading platform that aims to bring Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies into the mainstream, the multiscale cross-correlations involving the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-22 Stanisław Drożdż , Ludovico Minati , Paweł Oświęcimka , Marek Stanuszek , Marcin Wątorek

We studied the topology of correlation networks among 34 major currencies using the concept of a minimal spanning tree and hierarchical tree for the full years of 2007-2008 when major economic turbulence occurred. We used the USD (US…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-10-28 Mustafa Keskin , Bayram Deviren , Yusuf Kocakaplan

We study the frictions in the patterns of trades in the Euro money market. We characterize the structure of lending relations during the period of recent financial turmoil. We use network-topology method on data from overnight transactions…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2012-07-24 Caterina Liberati , Massimiliano Marzo , Paolo Zagaglia , Paola Zappa

We show that capital flow (CF) volatility exerts an adverse effect on exchange rate (FX) volatility, regardless of whether capital controls have been put in place. However, this effect can be significantly moderated by certain macroeconomic…

General Economics · Economics 2022-10-11 Louisa Chen , Estelle Xue Liu , Zijun Liu