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Nonparametric estimators of a regression function with circular response and Rd-valued predictor are considered in this work. Local polynomial type estimators are proposed and studied. Expressions for their asymptotic biases and variances…

In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the prop- erties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-18 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

For the problem of high-dimensional sparse linear regression, it is known that an $\ell_0$-based estimator can achieve a $1/n$ "fast" rate on the prediction error without any conditions on the design matrix, whereas in absence of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-01 Yuchen Zhang , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan

We consider nonparametric regression with functional covariates, that is, they are elements of an infinite-dimensional Hilbert space. A locally polynomial estimator is constructed, where an orthonormal basis and various tuning parameters…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-09 Moritz Jirak , Alois Kneip , Alexander Meister , Mario Pahl

Kernel smoothers are considered near the boundary of the interval. Kernels which minimize the expected mean square error are derived. These kernels are equivalent to using a linear weighting function in the local polynomial regression. It…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-03 Alexander Sidorenko , Kurt S. Riedel

Due to the highly non-convex nature of large-scale robust parameter estimation, avoiding poor local minima is challenging in real-world applications where input data is contaminated by a large or unknown fraction of outliers. In this paper,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-23 Huu Le , Christopher Zach

Inspired by edge detection based on the decay behavior of wavelet coefficients, we introduce a (near) linear-time algorithm for detecting the local regularity in non-uniformly sampled multivariate signals. Our approach quantifies regularity…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-07-21 Sara Avesani , Gianluca Giacchi , Michael Multerer

We discuss applications of nonlinear filtering of time series by locally linear phase space projections. Noise can be reduced whenever the error due to the manifold approximation is smaller than the noise in the system. Examples include the…

chao-dyn · Physics 2007-05-23 T. Schreiber , H. Kantz

In the prediction of oscillating time series, the interest is in the turning points of successive oscillations rather than the samples themselves. For this purpose a scheme has been proposed; the state space reconstruction is limited to the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2008-09-15 D. Kugiumtzis , I. Vlachos

Time-frequency (TF) representations of time series are intrinsically subject to the boundary effects. As a result, the structures of signals that are highlighted by the representations are garbled when approaching the boundaries of the TF…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-24 Adrien Meynard , Hau-Tieng Wu

Particle filtering is used to compute good nonlinear estimates of complex systems. It samples trajectories from a chosen distribution and computes the estimate as a weighted average. Easy-to-sample distributions often lead to degenerate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-07 Fernando Gama , Nicolas Zilberstein , Richard G. Baraniuk , Santiago Segarra

Probabilistic forecasting of multivariate time series is essential for various downstream tasks. Most existing approaches rely on the sequences being uniformly spaced and aligned across all variables. However, real-world multivariate time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Yijun Li , Cheuk Hang Leung , Qi Wu

Time series are difficult to monitor, summarize and predict. Segmentation organizes time series into few intervals having uniform characteristics (flatness, linearity, modality, monotonicity and so on). For scalability, we require fast…

Databases · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Daniel Lemire

In this article, we consider flexible seasonal time series models which consist of a common trend function over periods and additive individual trend (seasonal effect) functions. The consistency and asymptotic normality of the local linear…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-03-11 Kyong-Hui Kim , Hak-Myong Pak

In this work, we consider a multivariate regression model with one-sided errors. We assume for the regression function to lie in a general H\"{o}lder class and estimate it via a nonparametric local polynomial approach that consists of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-11 Leonie Selk , Charles Tillier , Orlando Marigliano

In this paper, we consider the problem of determining the presence of a given signal in a high-dimensional observation with unknown covariance matrix by using an adaptive matched filter. Traditionally such filters are formed from the sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-06 Benjamin D. Robinson , Robert Malinas , Alfred O. Hero

Time series data can be subject to changes in the underlying process that generates them and, because of these changes, models built on old samples can become obsolete or perform poorly. In this work, we present a way to incorporate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-27 Jesus Antonanzas , Marta Arias , Albert Bifet

We present an algorithm for minimizing the sum of a strongly convex time-varying function with a time-invariant, convex, and nonsmooth function. The proposed algorithm employs the prediction-correction scheme alongside the forward-backward…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-07 Nicola Bastianello , Andrea Simonetto , Ruggero Carli

We study the problem of posterior sampling in the context of score based generative models. We have a trained score network for a prior $p(x)$, a measurement model $p(y|x)$, and are tasked with sampling from the posterior $p(x|y)$. Prior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Advait Parulekar , Litu Rout , Karthikeyan Shanmugam , Sanjay Shakkottai

We present a locally adaptive nonparametric curve fitting method that operates within a fully Bayesian framework. This method uses shrinkage priors to induce sparsity in order-k differences in the latent trend function, providing a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-10 James R. Faulkner , Vladimir N. Minin