Related papers: Real time estimation in local polynomial regressio…

We consider the problem of estimating a regression function when a covariate is measured with error. Using the local polynomial estimator of Delaigle, Fan, and Carroll (2009) as a benchmark, we propose an alternative way of solving the…

Auxiliary data sources have become increasingly important in epidemiological surveillance, as they are often available at a finer spatial and temporal resolution, larger coverage, and lower latency than traditional surveillance signals. We…

In forecasting multiple time series, accounting for the individual features of each sequence can be challenging. To address this, modern deep learning methods for time series analysis combine a shared (global) model with local layers,…

A class of random non-stationary signals termed timbre x dynamics is introduced and studied. These signals are obtained by non-linear transformations of sta-tionary random gaussian signals, in such a way that the transformation can be…

In previous works, we investigated the use of local filters based on partial differential equations (PDE) to denoise one-dimensional signals through the image processing of time-frequency representations, such as the spectrogram. In this…

We propose a practical non-episodic PSRL algorithm that unlike recent state-of-the-art PSRL algorithms uses a deterministic, model-independent episode switching schedule. Our algorithm termed deterministic schedule PSRL (DS-PSRL) is…

We consider the estimation of the transition matrix in the high-dimensional time-varying vector autoregression (TV-VAR) models. Our model builds on a general class of locally stationary VAR processes that evolve smoothly in time. We propose…

The local regularity of functional time series is studied under $L^p-m-$appro\-ximability assumptions. The sample paths are observed with error at possibly random design points. Non-asymptotic concentration bounds of the regularity…

The Hodrick-Prescott filter represents one of the most popular method for trend-cycle extraction in macroeconomic time series. In this paper we provide a multivariate generalization of the Hodrick-Prescott filter, based on the seemingly…

This paper proposes valid inference tools, based on self-normalization, in time series expected shortfall regressions and, as a corollary, also in quantile regressions. Extant methods for such time series regressions, based on a bootstrap…

Non-stationary signals are ubiquitous in real life. Many techniques have been proposed in the last decades which allow decomposing multi-component signals into simple oscillatory mono-components, like the groundbreaking Empirical Mode…

The problem of denoising a one-dimensional signal possessing varying degrees of smoothness is ubiquitous in time-domain astronomy and astronomical spectroscopy. For example, in the time domain, an astronomical object may exhibit a smoothly…

Anomaly detection in time-series has a wide range of practical applications. While numerous anomaly detection methods have been proposed in the literature, a recent survey concluded that no single method is the most accurate across various…

Sparse linear regression is a central problem in high-dimensional statistics. We study the correlated random design setting, where the covariates are drawn from a multivariate Gaussian $N(0,\Sigma)$, and we seek an estimator with small…

We propose using a discounted version of a convex combination of the log-likelihood with the corresponding expected log-likelihood such that when they are maximized they yield a filter, predictor and smoother for time series. This paper…

Generalized linear models and the quasi-likelihood method extend the ordinary regression models to accommodate more general conditional distributions of the response. Nonparametric methods need no explicit parametric specification, and the…

We consider the Bayesian optimal filtering problem: i.e. estimating some conditional statistics of a latent time-series signal from an observation sequence. Classical approaches often rely on the use of assumed or estimated transition and…

Non-parametric estimation of functions as well as their derivatives by means of local-polynomial regression is a subject that was studied in the literature since the late 1970's. Given a set of noisy samples of a $\mathcal{C}^k$ smooth…

Stochastic filtering refers to estimating the probability distribution of the latent stochastic process conditioned on the observed measurements in time. In this paper, we introduce a new class of convergent filters that represent the…

In this report, we propose a new adaptive time filter algorithm for the unsteady Stokes/Darcy model. First we present a first order ${\theta}$-scheme with the variable time step which is one parameter family of Linear Multi-step methods and…