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Model Predictive Path Integral (MPPI) control has proven to be a powerful tool for the control of uncertain systems (such as systems subject to disturbances and systems with unmodeled dynamics). One important limitation of the baseline MPPI…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-28 Steven Patrick , Efstathios Bakolas

This paper introduces a novel nonlinear stochastic model predictive control path integral (MPPI) method, which considers chance constraints on system states. The proposed belief-space stochastic MPPI (BSS-MPPI) applies Monte-Carlo sampling…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-08-16 Ji Yin , Panagiotis Tsiotras , Karl Berntorp

In this paper we present an algorithm for pricing barrier options in one-dimensional Markov models. The approach rests on the construction of an approximating continuous-time Markov chain that closely follows the dynamics of the given…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-13 Aleksandar Mijatovic , Martijn Pistorius

In this paper, we analyse piecewise deterministic Markov processes, as introduced in Davis (1984). Many models in insurance mathematics can be formulated in terms of the general concept of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-23 Peter Kritzer , Gunther Leobacher , Michaela Szölgyenyi , Stefan Thonhauser

This paper presents a novel approach to pricing American options using piecewise diffusion Markov processes (PDifMPs), a type of generalised stochastic hybrid system that integrates continuous dynamics with discrete jump processes. Standard…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-13 Evelyn Buckwar , Sascha Desmettre , Agnes Mallinger , Amira Meddah

A standard objective in partially-observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) is to find a policy that maximizes the expected discounted-sum payoff. However, such policies may still permit unlikely but highly undesirable outcomes, which…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-01-31 Krishnendu Chatterjee , Petr Novotný , Guillermo A. Pérez , Jean-François Raskin , Đorđe Žikelić

We introduce a new method to price American-style options on underlying investments governed by stochastic volatility (SV) models. The method does not require the volatility process to be observed. Instead, it exploits the fact that the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-07-26 Bhojnarine R. Rambharat , Anthony E. Brockwell

Model predictive path integral (MPPI) is a sampling-based method for solving complex model predictive control (MPC) problems, but its real-time implementation faces two key challenges: the computational cost and sample requirements grow…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-03 Viet-Anh Le , Renukanandan Tumu , Rahul Mangharam

Deploying mobile robots safely among humans requires the motion planner to account for the uncertainty in the other agents' predicted trajectories. This remains challenging in traditional approaches, especially with arbitrarily shaped…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-08-21 Elia Trevisan , Khaled A. Mustafa , Godert Notten , Xinwei Wang , Javier Alonso-Mora

This paper proposes Constrained Sampling Cluster Model Predictive Path Integral (CSC-MPPI), a novel constrained formulation of MPPI designed to enhance trajectory optimization while enforcing strict constraints on system states and control…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Leesai Park , Keunwoo Jang , Sanghyun Kim

We generalize the derivation of model predictive path integral control (MPPI) to allow for a single joint distribution across controls in the control sequence. This reformation allows for the implementation of adaptive importance sampling…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-02 Dylan M. Asmar , Ransalu Senanayake , Shawn Manuel , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

The Constrained Markov Decision Process (CMDP) formulation allows to solve safety-critical decision making tasks that are subject to constraints. While CMDPs have been extensively studied in the Reinforcement Learning literature, little…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Dinesh Parthasarathy , Georgios Kontes , Axel Plinge , Christopher Mutschler

Chance-constrained Model Predictive Path Integral (MPPI) control is increasingly adopted for navigation in dynamic environments to explicitly bound collision risk. However, these probabilistic guarantees implicitly assume that upstream…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Benjamin Serfling , Konrad Doll , Kati Radkhah-Lens

We consider approximate dynamic programming in $\gamma$-discounted Markov decision processes and apply it to approximate planning with linear value-function approximation. Our first contribution is a new variant of Approximate Policy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-31 Gellért Weisz , András György , Tadashi Kozuno , Csaba Szepesvári

In the following paper we provide a review and development of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods for option pricing. SMC are a class of Monte Carlo-based algorithms, that are designed to approximate expectations w.r.t a sequence of…

Computation · Statistics 2010-05-27 Ajay Jasra , Pierre Del Moral

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is widely used for Bayesian inference in models of complex systems. Performance, however, is often unsatisfactory in models with many latent variables due to so-called poor mixing, necessitating development…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-25 C. M. Pooley , S. C. Bishop , A. Doeschl-Wilson , G. Marion

We propose a new `hedged' Monte-Carlo (HMC) method to price financial derivatives, which allows to determine simultaneously the optimal hedge. The inclusion of the optimal hedging strategy allows one to reduce the financial risk associated…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Marc Potters , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Dragan Sestovic

We introduce a new method to price American options based on Chebyshev interpolation. In each step of a dynamic programming time-stepping we approximate the value function with Chebyshev polynomials. The key advantage of this approach is…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-15 Kathrin Glau , Mirco Mahlstedt , Christian Pötz

Using a suitable change of probability measure, we obtain a novel Poisson series representation for the arbitrage- free price process of vulnerable contingent claims in a regime-switching market driven by an underlying continuous- time…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-09 Agostino Capponi , Jose Figueroa-Lopez , Jeffrey Nisen

In constrained Markov decision processes, enforcing constraints during training is often thought of as decreasing the final return. Recently, it was shown that constraints can be incorporated directly into the policy geometry, yielding an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-18 Nikola Milosevic , Johannes Müller , Nico Scherf