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In this work, we adapt a Monte Carlo algorithm introduced by Broadie and Glasserman (1997) to price a $\pi$-option. This method is based on the simulated price tree that comes from discretization and replication of possible trajectories of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-26 Zbigniew Palmowski , Tomasz Serafin

In this paper, we explore the pricing and hedging strategies for an innovative insurance product called the equity protection swap(EPS). Notably, we focus on the application of EPSs involving cross-currency reference portfolios, reflecting…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-10 Marek Rutkowski , Huansang Xu

Incorporating safety is an essential prerequisite for broadening the practical applications of reinforcement learning in real-world scenarios. To tackle this challenge, Constrained Markov Decision Processes (CMDPs) are leveraged, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-03 Jaafar Mhamed , Shangding Gu

Constrained Markov decision processes (CMDPs), in which the agent optimizes expected payoffs while keeping the expected cost below a given threshold, are the leading framework for safe sequential decision making under stochastic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Martin Kurečka , Václav Nevyhoštěný , Petr Novotný , Vít Unčovský

We consider the numerical approximation of the quantile hedging price in a non-linear market. In a Markovian framework, we propose a numerical method based on a Piecewise Constant Policy Timestepping (PCPT) scheme coupled with a monotone…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-17 Cyril Bénézet , Jean-François Chassagneux , Christoph Reisinger

Designing controllers that are both safe and performant is inherently challenging. This co-optimization can be formulated as a constrained optimal control problem, where the cost function represents the performance criterion and safety is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-23 Javier Borquez , Luke Raus , Yusuf Umut Ciftci , Somil Bansal

We propose a new method for optimistic planning in infinite-horizon discounted Markov decision processes based on the idea of adding regularization to the updates of an otherwise standard approximate value iteration procedure. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-16 Antoine Moulin , Gergely Neu

Conformal prediction is a popular technique for constructing prediction intervals with distribution-free coverage guarantees. The coverage is marginal, meaning it only holds on average over the entire population but not necessarily for any…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-28 Yao Zhang , Emmanuel J. Candès

Markov chains play a key role in a vast number of areas, including life insurance mathematics. Standard actuarial quantities as the premium value can be interpreted as compressed, lossy information about the underlying Markov process. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-10 Mark Kiermayer , Christian Weiß

When executing their orders, investors are proposed different strategies by brokers and investment banks. Most orders are executed using VWAP algorithms. Other basic execution strategies include POV (also called PVol) -- for percentage of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-04 Olivier Guéant

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods have successfully been used in many applications in engineering, statistics and physics. However, these are seldom used in financial option pricing literature and practice. This paper presents SMC method…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-04 Pavel V. Shevchenko , Pierre Del Moral

This paper investigates the investment behaviour of a large unregulated financial institution (FI) with CARA risk preferences. It shows how the FI optimizes its trading to account for market illiquidity using an extension of the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-04 T. R. Hurd , Quentin H. Shao , Tuan Tran

This paper studies a continuous-time market {under stochastic environment} where an agent, having specified an investment horizon and a target terminal mean return, seeks to minimize the variance of the return with multiple stocks and a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-28 Wan-Kai Pang , Yuan-Hua Ni , Xun Li , Ka-Fai Cedric Yiu

Classical portfolio models degrade under structural breaks, whereas flexible machine-learning allocation methods often lack arbitrage consistency and interpretability. We propose Causal PDE-Control Models (CPCMs), a framework that…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-10 Alejandro Rodriguez Dominguez

Central clearing counterparty houses (CCPs) play a fundamental role in mitigating the counterparty risk for exchange traded options. CCPs cover for possible losses during the liquidation of a defaulting member's portfolio by collecting…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-29 Claude Martini , Arianna Mingone

In this paper we develop a very efficient approach to the Monte Carlo estimation of the expected value of partial perfect information (EVPPI) that measures the average benefit of knowing the value of a subset of uncertain parameters…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-12-09 Michael B. Giles , Takashi Goda

Sampling-based controllers, such as Model Predictive Path Integral (MPPI) methods, offer substantial flexibility but often suffer from high variance and low sample efficiency. To address these challenges, we introduce a hybrid…

Computation of extreme quantiles and tail-based risk measures using standard Monte Carlo simulation can be inefficient. A method to speed up computations is provided by importance sampling. We show that importance sampling algorithms,…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-21 Henrik Hult , Jens Svensson

Using daily returns of the S&P 500 stocks from 2001 to 2011, we perform a backtesting study of the portfolio optimization strategy based on the extreme risk index (ERI). This method uses multivariate extreme value theory to minimize the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-18 Georg Mainik , Georgi Mitov , Ludger Rüschendorf

We consider a nonlinear pricing environment with private information. We provide profit guarantees (and associated mechanisms) that the seller can achieve across all possible distributions of willingness to pay of the buyers. With a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-02-01 Dirk Bergemann , Tibor Heumann , Stephen Morris
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