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We introduce new quantile estimators with adaptive importance sampling. The adaptive estimators are based on weighted samples that are neither independent nor identically distributed. Using a new law of iterated logarithm for martingales,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-01 Daniel Egloff , Markus Leippold

Let $\alpha$ be a Steinhaus or a Rademacher random multiplicative function. For a wide class of multiplicative functions $f$ we show that the sum $\sum_{n \le x}\alpha(n) f(n)$, normalised to have mean square $1$, has a non-Gaussian…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-07 Ofir Gorodetsky , Mo Dick Wong

We discuss properties of random fractals by means of a set of numbers that characterize their universal properties. This set is the generalized singularity specturm that consists of the usual spectrum of mulitfractal dimensions and the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-30 Francisco J. Solis , Louis Tao

We derive and prove an explicit formula for the sum of the fractional parts of certain geometric series. Although the proof is straightforward, we have been unable to locate any reference to this result. This summation formula allows us to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-09-15 J. J. P. Veerman , L. S. Fox , P. J. Oberly

We consider a diffusion processes $\{ X_t \}$ on an interval in the natural scale. Some results are known under which $\{ X_t \}$ is a martingale, and we give simple and analytic proofs for them.

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-24 Yuuki Shimizu , Fumihiko Nakano

This paper presents some limit theorems for certain functionals of moving averages of semimartingales plus noise which are observed at high frequency. Our method generalizes the pre-averaging approach (see [Bernoulli 15 (2009) 634--658,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-05 Jean Jacod , Mark Podolskij , Mathias Vetter

In this article, we prove that in the Baire category sense, measures supported by the unit cube of $\R^d$ typically satisfy a multifractal formalism. To achieve this, we compute explicitly the multifractal spectrum of such typical measures…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-19 Zoltán Buczolich , Stéphane Seuret

This paper is concerned with the asymptotic behavior of sums of terms which are a test function f evaluated at successive increments of a discretely sampled semimartingale. Typically the test function is a power function (when the power is…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jean Jacod

General turbulent mean statistics are shown to be characterized by a variational principle. The variational functionals, or ``effective actions'', have experimental consequences for turbulence fluctuations and are subject to realizability…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-28 Gregory L. Eyink , Francis J. Alexander

We establish some uniform limit results in the setting of additive regression model estimation. Our results allow to give an asymptotic 100% confidence bands for these components. These results are stated in the framework of i.i.d random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-11 Mohammed Debbarh

In this paper, we have established a new framework of truncated inverse sampling for estimating mean values of non-negative random variables such as binomial, Poisson, hyper-geometrical, and bounded variables. We have derived explicit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-05 Xinjia Chen

Using martingale methods, we provide bounds for the entropy of a probability measure on $\mathbb {R}^d$ with the right-hand side given in a certain integral form. As a corollary, in the one-dimensional case, we obtain a weighted log-Sobolev…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Alexei Kulik , Taras Tymoshkevych

In [8], asymptotic expansion of the martingale with mixed normal limit was provided. The expansion formula is expressed by the adjoint of a random symbol with coefficients described by the Malliavin calculus, differently from the standard…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-27 Nakahiro Yoshida

We prove an elementary yet useful inequality bounding the maximal value of certain linear programs. This leads directly to a bound on the martingale difference for arbitrarily dependent random variables, providing a generalization of some…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Leonid Kontorovich

We consider Markov processes with generator of the form $\gamma \mathcal{L}_{1} + \mathcal{L}_{0}$, in which $\mathcal{L}_{1}$ generates a so-called dominant process that converges at large times towards a random point in a fixed subset…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-16 Dimitri Faure , Mathias Rousset

A tight upper bound is given on the distribution of the maximum of a supermartingale. Specifically, it is shown that if $Y$ is a semimartingale with initial value zero and quadratic variation process $[Y,Y]$ such that $Y + [Y,Y]$ is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-15 Bruce Hajek

This article proposes a novel test for the martingale difference hypothesis based on the martingale difference divergence function, a recently developed dependence measure suitable for measuring the degree of conditional mean dependence of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-10 Luca Mattia Rolla

We consider uniform random permutations of length $n$ conditioned to have no cycle longer than $n^\beta$ with $0<\beta<1$, in the limit of large $n$. Since in unconstrained uniform random permutations most of the indices are in cycles of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-21 Volker Betz , Helge Schäfer , Dirk Zeindler

A set of different conformal solutions corresponding to a constant flux of squared vorticity is considered. Requiring constant fluxes of all inviscid vorticity invariants (higher powers of the vorticity), we come to the conclusion that the…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2007-05-23 Gregory Falkovich , Amihay Hanany

This paper presents a method for constructing uniform confidence bands for the marginal treatment effect (MTE) function. The shape of the MTE function offers insight into how the unobserved propensity to receive treatment is related to the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-23 Toshiki Tsuda , Yanchun Jin , Ryo Okui