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We propose a semi-structured discrete-time multi-state model to analyse mortgage delinquency transitions. This model combines an easy-to-understand structured additive predictor, which includes linear effects and smooth functions of time…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-30 Victor Medina-Olivares , Wangzhen Xia , Stefan Lessmann , Nadja Klein

The intensity of a default time is obtained by assuming that the default indicator process has an absolutely continuous compensator. Here we drop the assumption of absolute continuity with respect to the Lebesgue measure and only assume…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-15 Frank Gehmlich , Thorsten Schmidt

This paper demonstrates the efficiency of using Edgeworth and Gram-Charlier expansions in the calibration of the Libor Market Model with Stochastic Volatility and Displaced Diffusion (DD-SV-LMM). Our approach brings together two research…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-02 Laurent Devineau , Pierre-Edouard Arrouy , Paul Bonnefoy , Alexandre Boumezoued

This paper presents a convenient framework for modeling default process and pricing derivative securities involving credit risk. The framework provides an integrated view of credit valuation adjustment by linking distance-to-default,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-08 David Xiao

Jumps and market microstructure noise are stylized features of high-frequency financial data. It is well known that they introduce bias in the estimation of volatility (including integrated and spot volatilities) of assets, and many methods…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-20 Qiang Liu , Zhi Liu

We consider option pricing using a discrete-time Markov switching stochastic volatility with co-jump model, which can model volatility clustering and varying mean-reversion speeds of volatility. For pricing European options, we develop a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-29 Michael C. Fu , Bingqing Li , Rongwen Wu , Tianqi Zhang

Sparse joint shift (SJS) was recently proposed as a tractable model for general dataset shift which may cause changes to the marginal distributions of features and labels as well as the posterior probabilities and the class-conditional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-25 Dirk Tasche

We develop a multi-curve term structure setup in which the modelling ingredients are expressed by rational functionals of Markov processes. We calibrate to LIBOR swaptions data and show that a rational two-factor lognormal multi-curve model…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-27 Stephane Crepey , Andrea Macrina , Tuyet Mai Nguyen , David Skovmand

We construct a sequence of functions that uniformly converge (on compact sets) to the price of Asian option, which is written on a stock whose dynamics follows a jump diffusion, exponentially fast. Each of the element in this sequence…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2008-10-29 Erhan Bayraktar , Hao Xing

The main purpose of this work is to examine the behavior of the implied volatility smiles around jumps, contributing to the literature with a high-frequency analysis of the smile dynamics based on intra-day option data. From our…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-14 Martin Magris , Perttu Barholm , Juho Kanniainen

In this paper, we derive a representation for the value process associated to the solutions of FBSDEs in a jump-diffusion setting under multiple probability measures. Motivated by concrete financial problems, the latter representations are…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-13 Luca Di Persio , Alessandro Gnoatto , Marco Patacca

We introduce a dynamic model of the default waterfall of derivatives CCPs and propose a risk sensitive method for sizing the initial margin (IM), and the default fund (DF) and its allocation among clearing members. Using a Markovian…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-07 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Igor Cialenco , Shibi Feng

Identifying the instances of jumps in a discrete-time-series sample of a jump diffusion model is a challenging task. We have developed a novel statistical technique for jump detection and volatility estimation in a return time series data…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-22 Milan Kumar Das , Anindya Goswami , Sharan Rajani

We study the approximation of certain stochastic integrals with respect to a d-dimensional diffusion by corresponding stochastic integrals with piece-wise constant integrands. In finance this corresponds to replacing a continuously adjusted…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mika Hujo

Rapidly decreasing tempered stable distributions are useful models for financial applications. However, there has been no exact method for simulation available in the literature. We remedy this by introducing an exact simulation method in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-09 Michael Grabchak

We perform a detailed comparison between a Markov Switching Jump Diffusion Model and a Markov Switching {\alpha}-Stable Distribution Model with respect to the analysis of non-stationary data. We show that the jump diffusion model is…

Applications · Statistics 2016-05-20 Luca Di Persio , Vukasin Jovic

In this paper we propose a copula contagion mixture model for correlated default times. The model includes the well known factor, copula, and contagion models as its special cases. The key advantage of such a model is that we can study the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-10-21 Harry Zheng

In this paper we want to exploit further the semi-discrete method appeared in Halidias and Stamatiou (2015). We are interested in the numerical solution of mean reverting CEV processes that appear in financial mathematics models and are…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-11 Nikolaos Halidias , Ioannis Stamatiou

We develop a multi-factor stochastic volatility Libor model with displacement, where each individual forward Libor is driven by its own square-root stochastic volatility process. The main advantage of this approach is that, maturity-wise,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-26 Marcel Ladkau , John G. M. Schoenmakers , Jianing Zhang

Classical solvable stochastic volatility models (SVM) use a CEV process for instantaneous variance where the CEV parameter $\gamma$ takes just few values: 0 - the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, 1/2 - the Heston (or square root) process, 1-…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-07-03 Andrey Itkin