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This paper derives non-asymptotic error bounds for nonlinear stochastic approximation algorithms in the Wasserstein-$p$ distance. To obtain explicit finite-sample guarantees for the last iterate, we develop a coupling argument that compares…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Seo Taek Kong , R. Srikant

We analyze the ordinal structure of long-range dependent time series. To this end, we use so called ordinal patterns which describe the relative position of consecutive data points. We provide two estimators for the probabilities of ordinal…

Let $\{X_n\}$ be a stationary and ergodic time series taking values from a finite or countably infinite set ${\cal X}$. Assume that the distribution of the process is otherwise unknown. We propose a sequence of stopping times $\lambda_n$…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-19 G. Morvai , B. Weiss

We introduce a general theory on stationary approximations for locally stationary continuous-time processes. Based on the stationary approximation, we use $\theta$-weak dependence to establish laws of large numbers and central limit type…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-01 Robert Stelzer , Bennet Ströh

We study the central limit theorem in the non-normal domain of attraction to symmetric $\alpha$-stable laws for $0<\alpha\leq2$. We show that for i.i.d. random variables $X_i$, the convergence rate in $L^\infty$ of both the densities and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-24 Christoph Börgers , Claude Greengard

This paper aims to establish a central limit theorem for Markov processes conditioned not to be absorbed under a very general assumption on quasi-stationarity for the underlying process. To do so, a central limit theorem has been…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-31 William Oçafrain

Let $X:=(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ be an ergodic Markov process on $\real^d$, and $p>0$. We derive upper bounds of the $p$-Wasserstein distance between the invariant measure and the empirical measures of the Markov process $X$. For this we assume,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-30 René L. Schilling , Jian Wang , Bingyao Wu , Jie-Xiang Zhu

The first motivation of this paper is to study stationarity and ergodic properties for a general class of time series models defined conditional on an exogenous covariates process. The dynamic of these models is given by an autoregressive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Paul Doukhan , Michael H. Neumann , Lionel Truquet

In the regression framework, the empirical measure based on the responses resulting from the nearest neighbors, among the covariates, to a given point $x$ is introduced and studied as a central statistical quantity. First, the associated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-11 François Portier

The central limit theorem (CLT) is one of the most fundamental results in probability; and establishing its rate of convergence has been a key question since the 1940s. For independent random variables, a series of recent works established…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-12 Tianle Liu , Morgane Austern

A functional limit theorem is established for the partial-sum process of a class of stationary sequences which exhibit both heavy tails and long-range dependence. The stationary sequence is constructed using multiple stochastic integrals…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-09 Shuyang Bai , Takashi Owada , Yizao Wang

We prove a central limit theorem for stationary multiple (random) fields of martingale differences $f\circ T_{\underline{i}}$, $\underline{i}\in \Bbb Z^d$, where $T_{\underline{i}}$ is a $\Bbb Z^d$ action. In most cases the multiple…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Dalibor Volny

We investigate the asymptotic properties of the integrated periodogram calculated from a sequence of indicator functions of dependent extremal events. An event in Euclidean space is extreme if it occurs far away from the origin. We use a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-16 Thomas Mikosch , Yuwei Zhao

The classic central limit theorem and $\alpha$-stable distributions play a key role in probability theory, and also in Boltzmann-Gibbs (BG) statistical mechanics. They both concern the paradigmatic case of probabilistic independence of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-05-04 Sabir Umarov , Constantino Tsallis , Murray Gell-Mann , Stanly Steinberg

The central limit theorem for Markov chains generated by iterated function systems consisting of orientation preserving homeomorphisms of the interval is proved. We study also ergodicity of such systems.

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-03-24 Klaudiusz Czudek , Tomasz Szarek

The empirical distribution function assigns mass $1/n$ to each of the $n$ observations in a sample. As these are highly variable, estimation error may be reduced by replacing them with estimated observations that are asymptotically less…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Tommaso Lando , Lorenzo Tedesco

We prove the Central Limit Theorem for finite-dimensional vectors of linear eigenvalue statistics of submatrices of Wigner random matrices under the assumption that test functions are sufficiently smooth. We connect the asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-06 Lingyun Li , Matthew Reed , Alexander Soshnikov

For martingales with a wide range of integrability, we will quantify the rate of convergence of the central limit theorem via Wasserstein distances of order $r$, $1\le r\le 3$. Our bounds are in terms of Lyapunov's coefficients and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-25 Xiaoqin Guo

We introduce a new basic model for independent and identical distributed sequence on the canonical space $(\mathbb{R}^\mathbb{N},\mathcal{B}(\mathbb{R}^\mathbb{N}))$ via probability kernels with model uncertainty. Thanks to the well-defined…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-02 Xinpeng Li

We consider a finite sequence of random points in a finite domain of a finite-dimensional Euclidean space. The points are sequentially allocated in the domain according to a model of cooperative sequential adsorption. The main peculiarity…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-11 V. Shcherbakov