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We study the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) and the Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIR) models of epidemics, with possibly time-varying rates, on a class of networks that are locally tree-like, which includes sparse…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-22 Juniper Cocomello , Kavita Ramanan

Most real networks are characterized by connectivity patterns that evolve in time following complex, non-Markovian, dynamics. Here we investigate the impact of this ubiquitous feature by studying the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-01-20 Kaiyuan Sun , Andrea Baronchelli , Nicola Perra

We consider multiple diseases spreading in a static Configuration Model network. We make standard assumptions that infection transmits from neighbor to neighbor at a disease-specific rate and infected individuals recover at a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-11 Joel C. Miller

In this paper, we are concerned with the stochastic SIS (susceptible-infected-susceptible) and SIR (susceptible-infected-recovered) models on high-dimensional lattices with random edge weights, where a susceptible vertex is infected by an…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-27 Xiaofeng Xue

We study the critical properties of a model of information spreading based on the SIS epidemic model. Spreading rates decay with time, as ruled by two parameters, $\epsilon$ and $l$, that can be either constant or randomly distributed in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-12-12 Marlon Ramos , Nuno Crokidakis , Celia Anteneodo

This paper focuses on and analyzes realistic SIR models that take stochasticity into account. The proposed systems are applicable to most incidence rates that are used in the literature including the bilinear incidence rate, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-10 Nguyen Du , Alexandru Hening , Nhu Nguyen , George Yin

We investigate the effects of modular and temporal connectivity patterns on epidemic spreading. To this end, we introduce and analytically characterise a model of time-varying networks with tunable modularity. Within this framework, we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-10-05 Matthieu Nadini , Kaiyuan Sun , Enrico Ubaldi , Michele Starnini , Alessandro Rizzo , Nicola Perra

We propose a network behavioral-feedback Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemic model in which the interaction matrix describing the infection rates across subpopulations depends in feedback on the current epidemic state. This model…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Martina Alutto , Leonardo Cianfanelli , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani

We define and study an open stochastic SIR (Susceptible -- Infected -- Removed) model on a graph in order to describe the spread of an epidemic on a cattle trade network with epidemiological and demographic dynamics occurring over the same…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-28 Pierre Montagnon

The spread of infectious diseases crucially depends on the pattern of contacts among individuals. Knowledge of these patterns is thus essential to inform models and computational efforts. Few empirical studies are however available that…

We propose a dynamical model for describing the spread of epidemics. This model is an extension of the SIQR (susceptible-infected-quarantined-recovered) and SIRP (susceptible-infected-recovered-pathogen) models used earlier to describe…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-08 S. P. Lukyanets , I. S. Gandzha , O. V. Kliushnichenko

We consider a standard \textit{susceptible-infected-susceptible} (SIS) model to study behaviors of steady states of epidemic spreading in small-world networks. Using analytical methods and large scale simulations, we recover the usual…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Xin-Jian Xu , Zhi-Xi Wu , Yong Chen , Ying-Hai Wang

Self-adaptive dynamics occurs in many physical systems such as socio-economics, neuroscience, or biophysics. We formalize a self-adaptive modeling approach, where adaptation takes place within a set of strategies based on the history of the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2022-04-01 Konstantin Clauß , Christian Kuehn

Epidemic propagation on complex networks has been widely investigated, mostly with invariant parameters. However, the process of epidemic propagation is not always constant. Epidemics can be affected by various perturbations, and may bounce…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-13 Dan Lu , Shunkun Yang , Jiaquan Zhang , Huijuan Wang , Daqing Li

The growing literature on the propagation of COVID-19 relies on various dynamic SIR-type models (Susceptible-Infected-Recovered) which yield model-dependent results. For transparency and ease of comparing the results, we introduce a common…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-19 Christian Gourieroux , Joann Jasiak

The susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model and its variants form the foundation of our understanding of the spread of diseases. Here, each agent can be in one of three states (susceptible, infected, or recovered), and transitions…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2023-12-25 Claudia Merger , Jasper Albers , Carsten Honerkamp , Moritz Helias

With the premise that social interactions are described by power-law distributions, we study a SIR stochastic dynamic on a static scale-free random network generated via configuration model. We verify our model with respect to deterministic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-10 Sara Sottile , Ozan Kahramanoğulları , Mattia Sensi

We derive an analytical expression for the critical infection rate r_c of the susceptible-infectious-susceptible (SIS) disease spreading model on random networks. To obtain r_c, we first calculate the probability of reinfection, pi, defined…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2010-07-16 Roni Parshani , Shai Carmi , Shlomo Havlin

We analyze the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Susceptible (SIRS) process, a continuous-time Markov chain frequently employed in epidemiology to model the spread of infections on networks. In this framework, infections spread as infected…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-21 Phuc Lam , Oanh Nguyen , Iris Yang

We consider an SIR epidemic model propagating on a configuration model network, where the degree distribution of the vertices is given and where the edges are randomly matched. The evolution of the epidemic is summed up into three…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-09 Laurent Decreusefond , Jean-Stéphane Dhersin , Pascal Moyal , Viet Chi Tran
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