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This paper proposes a fast and scalable method for uncertainty quantification of machine learning models' predictions. First, we show the principled way to measure the uncertainty of predictions for a classifier based on Nadaraya-Watson's…

Kernel techniques are among the most popular and flexible approaches in data science allowing to represent probability measures without loss of information under mild conditions. The resulting mapping called mean embedding gives rise to a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-27 Linda Chamakh , Zoltan Szabo

We propose a new method for construction of the absolute permeability map consistent with the interpreted results of well logging and well test measurements in oil reservoirs. Nadaraya-Watson kernel regression is used to approximate…

Learning a distribution conditional on a set of discrete-valued features is a commonly encountered task. This becomes more challenging with a high-dimensional feature set when there is the possibility of interaction between the features. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-05-01 David C. Kessler , Jack Taylor , David B. Dunson

This paper derives limit properties of nonparametric kernel regression estimators without requiring existence of density for regressors in $\mathbb{R}^{q}.$ In functional regression limit properties are established for multivariate…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-08 Marcia Schafgans , Victoria Zinde-Walsh

Consider a setting with multiple units (e.g., individuals, cohorts, geographic locations) and outcomes (e.g., treatments, times, items), where the goal is to learn a multivariate distribution for each unit-outcome entry, such as the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-21 Kyuseong Choi , Jacob Feitelberg , Caleb Chin , Anish Agarwal , Raaz Dwivedi

Kernel methods are powerful learning methodologies that allow to perform non-linear data analysis. Despite their popularity, they suffer from poor scalability in big data scenarios. Various approximation methods, including random feature…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-14 Bharath Sriperumbudur , Nicholas Sterge

We consider a class of conditional forward-backward diffusion models for conditional generative modeling, that is, generating new data given a covariate (or control variable). To formally study the theoretical properties of these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Rong Tang , Lizhen Lin , Yun Yang

Random Forest (Breiman, 2001) is a successful and widely used regression and classification algorithm. Part of its appeal and reason for its versatility is its (implicit) construction of a kernel-type weighting function on training data,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-13 Domagoj Ćevid , Loris Michel , Jeffrey Näf , Nicolai Meinshausen , Peter Bühlmann

Given additional distributional information in the form of moment restrictions, kernel density and distribution function estimators with implied generalised empirical likelihood probabilities as weights achieve a reduction in variance due…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-08 Vitaliy Oryshchenko , Richard J. Smith

Nonparametric density estimation for compositional data supported on the simplex is examined under a missing at random mechanism. Rather than imputing missing values and estimating the density from a completed data set, we adopt a strategy…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Hanen Daayeb , Wissem Jedidi , Salah Khardani , Guanjie Lyu , Frédéric Ouimet

In prescriptive analytics, the decision-maker observes historical samples of $(X, Y)$, where $Y$ is the uncertain problem parameter and $X$ is the concurrent covariate, without knowing the joint distribution. Given an additional covariate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-11 Tianyu Wang , Ningyuan Chen , Chun Wang

We present a Bayesian mixture model for estimating the joint distribution of mixed ordinal, nominal, and continuous data conditional on a set of fixed variables. The model uses multivariate normal and categorical mixture kernels for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-14 Maria DeYoreo , Jerome P. Reiter

Density regression provides a flexible strategy for modeling the distribution of a response variable $Y$ given predictors $\mathbf{X}=(X_1,\ldots,X_p)$ by letting that the conditional density of $Y$ given $\mathbf{X}$ as a completely…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-07 Weining Shen , Subhashis Ghosal

We consider deep multivariate models for heterogeneous collections of random variables. In the context of computer vision, such collections may e.g. consist of images, segmentations, image attributes, and latent variables. When developing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Dmitrij Schlesinger , Boris Flach , Alexander Shekhovtsov

In the context of estimating local modes of a conditional density based on kernel density estimators, we show that existing bandwidth selection methods developed for kernel density estimation are unsuitable for mode estimation. We propose…

Computation · Statistics 2017-11-02 Haiming Zhou , Xianzheng Huang

Machine learning techniques always aim to reduce the generalized prediction error. In order to reduce it, ensemble methods present a good approach combining several models that results in a greater forecasting capacity. The Random Machines…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-31 Anderson Ara , Mateus Maia , Samuel Macêdo , Francisco Louzada

As with classic statistics, functional regression models are invaluable in the analysis of functional data. While there are now extensive tools with accompanying theory available for linear models, there is still a great deal of work to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-25 Matthew Reimherr , Bharath Sriperumbudur , Bahaeddine Taoufik

A long-standing problem in the construction of asymptotically correct confidence bands for a regression function $m(x)=E[Y|X=x]$, where $Y$ is the response variable influenced by the covariate $X$, involves the situation where $Y$ values…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-10 Ali Al-Sharadqah , Majid Mojirsheibani

We propose a kernel mixture of polynomials prior for Bayesian nonparametric regression. The regression function is modeled by local averages of polynomials with kernel mixture weights. We obtain the minimax-optimal rate of contraction of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-17 Fangzheng Xie , Yanxun Xu