Related papers: Measure changes with extinction

We consider the stationary measure of the dissipative dynamical system in a finite volume. A finite dissipation, however small, generally makes the measure singular, while at zero dissipation the measure is constant. Thus dissipative part…

Gause's principle of competition between two species is studied when one of them is sterile. We study the condition for total extinction in the niche, namely, when the sterile population exterminates the native one by an optimal use of…

Termination is one of the basic liveness properties, and we study the termination problem for probabilistic programs with real-valued variables. Previous works focused on the qualitative problem that asks whether an input program terminates…

We introduce a new model for large scale evolution and extinction in which species are organized into food chains. The system evolves by two processes: origination/speciation and extinction. In the model, extinction of a given species can…

A strict local martingale is a local martingale that is not a martingale. We investigate how such a process might arise from a true martingale as a result of an enlargement of the filtration. We study and implement a particular type of…

In this paper, we consider a modified version of a well-known submartingale condition fortheweak convergence of probabilitymeasures, adapted to the semi-Markov case. In this setting, it is convenient to work with an embedded Markov chain…

Consider a discrete-time martingale $\{X_t\}$ taking values in a Hilbert space $\mathcal H$. We show that if for some $L \geq 1$, the bounds $\mathbb{E} \left[\|X_{t+1}-X_t\|_{\mathcal H}^2 \mid X_t\right]=1$ and $\|X_{t+1}-X_t\|_{\mathcal…

It is well known that a simple, supercritical Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson process turns into a subcritical such process, if conditioned to die out. We prove that the corresponding holds true for general, multi-type branching, where…

We present a new model for extinction in which species evolve in bursts or `avalanches', during which they become on average more susceptible to environmental stresses such as harsh climates and so are more easily rendered extinct. Results…

We offer a new proof of the classical law of large numbers for a general class of branching Markov processes based on the asymptotic behaviour of the moments developed in \cite{bmoments, gonzalez2022erratum}. Moreover, we show that the law…

Suppose that $(X,Y,Z)$ is a random walk in $\mathbb{Z}^3$ that moves in the following way: on the first visit to a vertex only $Z$ changes by $\pm 1$ equally likely, while on later visits to the same vertex $(X,Y)$ performs a…

Extinction appears ubiquitously in many fields, including chemical reactions, population biology, evolution, and epidemiology. Even though extinction as a random process is a rare event, its occurrence is observed in large finite…

We give a theory of sublinear expectations and martingales in discrete time. Without assuming the existence of a dominating probability measure, we derive the extensions of classical results on uniform integrability, optional stopping of…

This paper studies the loss of the semimartingale property of the process $g(Y)$ at the time a one-dimensional diffusion $Y$ hits a level, where $g$ is a difference of two convex functions. We show that the process $g(Y)$ can fail to be a…

We study the biodiversity problem for resource competition systems with extinctions and self-limitation effects. Our main result establishes estimates of biodiversity in terms of the fundamental parameters of the model. We also prove the…

A permutation sequence is said to be convergent if the density of occurrences of every fixed permutation in the elements of the sequence converges. We prove that such a convergent sequence has a natural limit object, namely a Lebesgue…

The computation of probabilities in an eternally inflating universe requires a regulator or "measure". The scale factor time measure truncates the universe when a congruence of timelike geodesics has expanded by a fixed volume factor. This…

We study the effect of adding a matter field to the Z2 gauge model in three dimensions at zero and finite temperature. Up to a given value of the parameter regulating the coupling, the matter field produces a slight shift of the transition…

Let $(W_{t}(\lambda))_{t\ge 0}$, parametrized by $\lambda\in\mathbb{R}$, be the additive martingale related to a supercritical super-Brownian motion on the real line and let $W_{\infty}(\lambda)$ be its limit. Under a natural condition for…

Working in a continuous time setting, we extend to the general case of dynamic risk measures continuous from above the characterization of time consistency in terms of ``cocycle condition'' of the minimal penalty function. We prove also the…