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Disordered systems present multifractal properties at criticality. In particular, as discovered by Ludwig (A.W.W. Ludwig, Nucl. Phys. B 330, 639 (1990)) on the case of diluted two-dimensional Potts model, the moments $\bar{\rho^q(r)}$ of…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-08-22 Cecile Monthus , Thomas Garel

We derive a nonparametric test for constant beta over a fixed time interval from high-frequency observations of a bivariate \Ito semimartingale. Beta is defined as the ratio of the spot continuous covariation between an asset and a risk…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-20 Markus Reiß , Viktor Todorov , George Tauchen

This paper is about vector autoregressive-moving average (VARMA) models with time-dependent coefficients to represent non-stationary time series. Contrarily to other papers in the univariate case, the coefficients depend on time but not on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-05 Abdelkamel Alj , Christophe Ley , Guy Mélard

Nonparametric estimation of the mean and covariance functions is ubiquitous in functional data analysis and local linear smoothing techniques are most frequently used. Zhang and Wang (2016) explored different types of asymptotic properties…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Shaojun Guo , Dong Li , Xinghao Qiao , Yizhu Wang

Locally stationary Hawkes processes have been introduced in order to generalise classical Hawkes processes away from stationarity by allowing for a time-varying second-order structure. This class of self-exciting point processes has…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-31 François Roueff , Rainer Von Sachs

We consider the estimation of the location of the pole and memory parameter, \lambda ^0 and \alpha, respectively, of covariance stationary linear processes whose spectral density function f(\lambda) satisfies f(\lambda)\sim C| \lambda…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Javier Hidalgo

We develop a timescale synthesis-based probabilistic approach for the modeling of locally stationary signals. Inspired by our previous work, the model involves zero-mean, complex Gaussian wavelet coefficients, whose distribution varies as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-10 Adrien Meynard , Bruno Torrésani

Taking a multidimensional time-homogeneous dynamical system and adding a randomly perturbed time-dependent deterministic signal to some of its components gives rise to a high-dimensional system of stochastic differential equations which is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-02 Simon Holbach

In this paper, we investigate time-varying nonlinear time series regression for a broad class of locally stationary time series. First, we propose sieve nonparametric estimators for the time-varying regression functions that achieve uniform…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

In many statistical signal processing applications, the estimation of nuisance parameters and parameters of interest is strongly linked to the resulting performance. Generally, these applications deal with complex data. This paper focuses…

Applications · Statistics 2016-08-24 Melanie Mahot , Philippe Forster , Frederic Pascal , Jean-Philippe Ovarlez

We consider a general class of statistical experiments, in which an $n$-dimensional centered Gaussian random variable is observed and its covariance matrix is the parameter of interest. The covariance matrix is assumed to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-17 Cristina Butucea , Alexander Meister , Angelika Rohde

Conditional copula models allow dependence structures to vary with observed covariates while preserving a separation between marginal behavior and association. We study the uniform asymptotic behavior of kernel-weighted local likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Mathias Nthiani Muia

In modern experimental science, there is a common problem of estimating the coefficients of a linear regression in a context where the variables of interest cannot be observed simultaneously. When there is a categorical variable that is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-10 Polina Arsenteva , Mohamed Amine Benadjaoud , Hervé Cardot

A \beta-skeleton is a proximity undirected graph whose connectivity is determined by the parameter \beta. We study \beta-skeleton automata where every node is a finite state machine taking two states, and updating its states depending on…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2012-12-14 Ramon Alonso-Sanz , Andrew Adamatzky

This paper develops an asymptotic likelihood theory for triangular arrays of stationary Gaussian time series depending on a multidimensional unknown parameter. We give sufficient conditions for the associated sequence of statistical models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Carsten H. Chong , Fabian Mies

We numerically study the dynamics of elementary 1D cellular automata (CA), where the binary state $\sigma_i(t) \in \{0,1\}$ of a cell $i$ does not only depend on the states in its local neighborhood at time $t-1$, but also on the memory of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Thimo Rohlf , Constantino Tsallis

Distinguishing long-memory behaviour from nonstationarity is challenging, as both produce slowly decaying sample autocovariances. Existing stationarity tests either fail to account for long-memory processes or exhibit poor empirical size,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Mohamedou Ould Haye , Anne Philippe

In the recent years, methods to estimate the memory parameter using wavelet analysis have gained popularity in many areas of science. Despite its widespread use, a rigorous semi-parametric asymptotic theory, comparable to the one developed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Eric Moulines , François Roueff , Murad Taqqu

The literature on time series of functional data has focused on processes of which the probabilistic law is either constant over time or constant up to its second-order structure. Especially for long stretches of data it is desirable to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-21 Anne van Delft , Michael Eichler

Time-series data with regular and/or seasonal long-memory are often aggregated before analysis. Often, the aggregation scale is large enough to remove any short-memory components of the underlying process but too short to eliminate seasonal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-26 Kung-Sik Chan , Henghsiu Tsai