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Many scientific areas, from computer science to the environmental sciences and finance, give rise to multivariate time series which exhibit long memory, or loosely put, a slow decay in their autocorrelation structure. Efficient modelling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-12 Chiara Boetti , Matthew A. Nunes , Marina I. Knight

We develop and implement a novel fast bootstrap for dependent data. Our scheme is based on the i.i.d. resampling of the smoothed moment indicators. We characterize the class of parametric and semi-parametric estimation problems for which…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-19 Davide La Vecchia , Alban Moor , Olivier Scaillet

A novel estimation approach for a general class of semi-parametric multivariate time series models is introduced where the conditional mean is modeled through parametric functions. The focus of the estimation is the conditional mean…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-21 Mirko Armillotta

An aggregated method of nonparametric estimators based on time-domain and state-domain estimators is proposed and studied. To attenuate the curse of dimensionality, we propose a factor modeling strategy. We first investigate the asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jianqing Fan , Yingying Fan , Jinchi Lv

Distribution shift between the training domain and the test domain poses a key challenge for modern machine learning. An extensively studied instance is the \emph{covariate shift}, where the marginal distribution of covariates differs…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-17 Jeonghwan Lee , Cong Ma

In this article, we introduce a system of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) consisting of time-dependent covariates and consider both fixed and random effects set-ups. We also allow the functional part associated with the drift…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-16 Trisha Maitra , Sourabh Bhattacharya

The local regularity of functional time series is studied under $L^p-m-$appro\-ximability assumptions. The sample paths are observed with error at possibly random design points. Non-asymptotic concentration bounds of the regularity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-21 Hassan Maissoro , Valentin Patilea , Myriam Vimond

In this paper we present the asymptotic analysis of the realised quadratic variation for multivariate symmetric $\beta$-stable L\'evy processes, $\beta \in (0,2)$, and certain pure jump semimartingales. The main focus is on derivation of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-07 Johannes Heiny , Mark Podolskij

This paper examines the asymptotic inference for AR(1) models with a possible structural break in the AR parameter $\beta $ near the unity at an unknown time $k_{0}$. Consider the model $y_{t}=\beta_{1}y_{t-1}I\{t\leq k_{0}\}+\beta…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-07 Pang Tianxiao , Zhang Danna , Chong Terence Tai-Leung

We present a functional data analysis approach for studying time-dependent, continuous glucose monitoring data with repeated measures for each individual in an experiment. After scaling the glucose concentration curves to the interval [0,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-04 Nihan Acar-Denizli , Pedro Delicado

Second-order characteristics including covariance and spectral density functions are fundamentally important for both statistical applications and theoretical analysis in functional time series. In the high-dimensional setting where the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Bufan Li , Xinghao Qiao , Weichi Wu , Holger Dette

A time-varying bivariate copula joint model, which models the repeatedly measured longitudinal outcome at each time point and the survival data jointly by both the random effects and time-varying bivariate copulas, is proposed in this…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-03 Zili Zhang , Christiana Charalambous , Peter Foster

A "mysterious" relation between the number variance and the variance of the $L$-th ordered eigenvalue, first suggested by French et al. [Ann. Phys. 113, 277 (1978)], is revisited and proven to be asymptotically exact for the $\beta=2$ Dyson…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2026-04-21 Peng Tian , Roman Riser , Eugene Kanzieper

Autocovariance of the error term in a time series model plays a key role in the estimation and inference for the model that it belongs to. Typically, some arbitrary parametric structure is assumed upon the error to simplify the estimation,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-17 Yoon Bae Jun , Chae Young Lim , Kun Ho Kim

Multivariate time series present many challenges, especially when they are high dimensional. The paper's focus is twofold. First, we address the subject of consistently estimating the autocovariance sequence; this is a sequence of matrices…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-03 Carsten Jentsch , Dimitris N. Politis

In this paper, we consider directly estimating the eigenvalues of precision matrix, without inverting the corresponding estimator for the eigenvalues of covariance matrix. We focus on a general asymptotic regime, i.e., the large dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-22 Jie Zhou , Junhao Xie , Jiaqi Chen

This note addresses issues raised by Cox and Reid in their seminal paper in 1987 regarding parameter orthogonality in statistical inference. We extend the orthogonality condition to cases with multiple parameters of interest and demonstrate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-17 Changle Shen , Dong Li , Howell Tong

In the traditional framework of spectral learning of stochastic time series models, model parameters are estimated based on trajectories of fully recorded observations. However, real-world time series data often contain missing values, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-22 Tianlin Liu

The problem of estimating the spectral density matrix $f(w)$ of a multivariate time series is revisited with special focus on the frequencies $w=0$ and $w=\pi$. Recognizing that the entries of the spectral density matrix at these two…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-07 Tucker S. McElroy , Dimitris N. Politis

An exact form of the local Whittle likelihood is studied with the intent of developing a general-purpose estimation procedure for the memory parameter (d) that does not rely on tapering or differencing prefilters. The resulting exact local…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Katsumi Shimotsu , Peter C. B. Phillips
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