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We describe and analyze a variance reduction approach for Monte Carlo (MC) sampling that accelerates the estimation of statistics of computationally expensive simulation models using an ensemble of models with lower cost. These lower cost…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-04 Alex A. Gorodetsky , Gianluca Geraci , Mike Eldred , John D. Jakeman

We consider the problem of estimating expectations with respect to a target distribution with an unknown normalizing constant, and where even the unnormalized target needs to be approximated at finite resolution. This setting is ubiquitous…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Kody J. H. Law , Neil Walton , Shangda Yang , Ajay Jasra

In this project we initiate an investigation of the applicability of Quasi-Monte Carlo methods to lattice field theories in order to improve the asymptotic error behavior of observables for such theories. In most cases the error of an…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2015-06-12 K. Jansen , H. Leovey , A. Nube , A. Griewank , M. Mueller-Preussker

Estimating failure probabilities of engineering systems is an important problem in many engineering fields. In this work we consider such problems where the failure probability is extremely small (e.g $\leq10^{-10}$). In this case, standard…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-05-24 Xinjuan Chen , Jinglai Li

In this paper, we consider a Monte Carlo simulation method (MinMC) that approximates prices and risk measures for a range $\Gamma$ of model parameters at once. The simulation method that we study has recently gained popularity [HS20, FPP22,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-01 Nils Detering , Nicole Hufnagel , Paul Krühner

Quasi-Monte Carlo methods have proven to be effective extensions of traditional Monte Carlo methods in, amongst others, problems of quadrature and the sample path simulation of stochastic differential equations. By replacing the random…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-12-12 Casper H. L. Beentjes , Ruth E. Baker

Statistical signal processing applications usually require the estimation of some parameters of interest given a set of observed data. These estimates are typically obtained either by solving a multi-variate optimization problem, as in the…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-27 D. Luengo , L. Martino , M. Bugallo , V. Elvira , S. Särkkä

Quasi-Monte Carlo methods are designed for integrands of bounded variation, and this excludes singular integrands. Several methods are known for integrands that become singular on the boundary of the unit cube $[0,1]^d$ or at isolated…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-04-13 Kinjal Basu , Art B. Owen

The Monte Carlo algorithm is increasingly utilized, with its central step involving computer-based random sampling from stochastic models. While both Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and Reject Monte Carlo serve as sampling methods, the…

Computation · Statistics 2024-02-28 Fengyu Li , Huijiao Yu , Jun Yan , Xianyong Meng

In the following article we consider approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) inference. We introduce a method for numerically approximating ABC posteriors using the multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC). A sequential Monte Carlo version of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-14 Ajay Jasra , Seongil Jo , David Nott , Christine Shoemaker , Raul Tempone

We propose a Monte Carlo sampler from the reverse diffusion process. Unlike the practice of diffusion models, where the intermediary updates -- the score functions -- are learned with a neural network, we transform the score matching…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-14 Xunpeng Huang , Hanze Dong , Yifan Hao , Yi-An Ma , Tong Zhang

In a random ray method of neutral particle transport simulation, each iteration begins by sampling a set of rays before proceeding to solve the characteristic transport equation along the linear paths the rays follow. Historically,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-01-13 Samuel Pasmann , John Tramm

Expectation values of physical quantities may accurately be obtained by the evaluation of integrals within Many-Body Quantum mechanics, and these multi-dimensional integrals may be estimated using Monte Carlo methods. In a previous…

Computational Physics · Physics 2009-10-01 J. R. Trail

Monte Carlo methods represent the "de facto" standard for approximating complicated integrals involving multidimensional target distributions. In order to generate random realizations from the target distribution, Monte Carlo techniques use…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-21 L. Martino , V. Elvira , D. Luengo , J. Corander

The fast computation of large kernel sums is a challenging task, which arises as a subproblem in any kernel method. We approach the problem by slicing, which relies on random projections to one-dimensional subspaces and fast Fourier…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-25 Johannes Hertrich , Tim Jahn , Michael Quellmalz

Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) integration over unbounded domains $\mathbb{R}^s$ remains challenging due to the high dimensionality of sampling space and the boundary growth of the integrand. In applications such as uncertainty quantification…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Zexin Pan , Du Ouyang , Zhijian He

We propose cube thinning, a novel method for compressing the output of a MCMC (Markov chain Monte Carlo) algorithm when control variates are available. It amounts to resampling the initial MCMC sample (according to weights derived from…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-01 Nicolas Chopin , Gabriel Ducrocq

We describe and analyze some Monte Carlo methods for manifolds in Euclidean space defined by equality and inequality constraints. First, we give an MCMC sampler for probability distributions defined by un-normalized densities on such…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-09-21 Emilio Zappa , Miranda Holmes-Cerfon , Jonathan Goodman

In a recent paper Beskos et al (2011), the Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) sampler introduced in Del Moral et al (2006), Neal (2001) has been shown to be asymptotically stable in the dimension of the state space d at a cost that is only…

Computation · Statistics 2011-12-08 Alexandros Beskos , Dan Crisan , Ajay Jasra , Nick Whiteley

We present a Bayesian sampling algorithm called adaptive importance sampling or Population Monte Carlo (PMC), whose computational workload is easily parallelizable and thus has the potential to considerably reduce the wall-clock time…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2009-09-02 Darren Wraith , Martin Kilbinger , Karim Benabed , Olivier Cappé , Jean-François Cardoso , Gersende Fort , Simon Prunet , Christian P. Robert