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It is shown that global climate exhibits chaotic response to solar forcing variability in a vast range of timescales: from annual to multi-millennium. Unlike linear systems, where periodic forcing leads to periodic response, nonlinear…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-01-05 A. Bershadskii

Two future scenarios that are not explicitly in the range of scenarios (the Representative Concentration Pathway scenarios) utilised by the IPCC. These two scenarios are the emissions trend under peak fossil fuel (for example, Mohr et al.,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-12-15 L. Mark W. Leggett , David. A. Ball

Rapid changes in climatic conditions threaten both socioeconomic and ecological systems, as these might not be able to adapt or to migrate at the same pace as that of global warming. In particular, an increase of weather and climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-06-14 Joan Rey , Guillaume Rohat , Marjorie Perroud , Stéphane Goyette , Jérôme Kasparian

Civilization produces knowledge, which acts as the driving force of its development. A macro-model of civilization that accounts for the effect of knowledge production on population, energy consumption and environmental conditions is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-25 Boris M. Dolgonosov

We first recall fundamentals of elementary climate physics: solar constant, radiative balance, greenhouse effect, astronomical parameters of the climate (theory of Milankovitch). Without disputing the analyzes of climatologists and the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-05-25 Daniel Parrochia

To assess the impact of potential future climate pledges after the first Global Stocktake, we propose a simple, transparent framework for developing emission and temperature scenarios by country. We show that current pledges with…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-29 Kushal Tibrewal , Katsumasa Tanaka , Philippe Ciais , Olivier Boucher

Using observational data and an elementary rigorous statistical fact it is easily shown that the distribution of Earth's climate is non-stationary. Examination of records of hundreds of local Industrial Era temperature histories in the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-01-21 Juan M. Restrepo , Michael E. Mann

Environmentally-powered computer systems operate on renewable energy harvested from their environment, such as solar or wind, and stored in batteries. While harvesting environmental energy has long been necessary for small-scale embedded…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2023-05-02 Noman Bashir , Yasra Chandio , David Irwin , Fatima M. Anwar , Jeremy Gummeson , Prashant Shenoy

Wind energy plays a critical role in mitigating climate change and meeting growing energy demands. However, the long-term impacts of anthropogenic warming on wind resources, particularly their seasonal variations and potential compounding…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-03 Gan Zhang

We analyze global surface temperature data obtained at 13472 weather stations from the year 1702 to 1990. The mean annual temperature of a station fluctuates from year to year by typically +-0.6oC (one standard deviation). Superimposed on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 E. X. Alban , B. Hoeneisen

Responses to the global climate crisis often focus on the largest current emitters of greenhouse gases. However, analysis shows that about a third of emissions come from a collection of small emitters, each contributing one- to two-percent…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-15 A. D. J. Haymet

Along with the accumulation of atmospheric carbon dioxide, the loss of primary forests and other natural ecosystems is a major disruption of the Earth system causing global concern. Quantifying planetary warming from carbon emissions,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-28 Anastassia M. Makarieva , Andrei V. Nefiodov , Anja Rammig , Antonio Donato Nobre

We assess evidence for changes in tail characteristics of wind, solar irradiance and temperature variables output from CMIP6 global climate models (GCMs) due to climate forcing. We estimate global and climate zone annual maximum and annual…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-06 Callum Leach , Kevin Ewans , Philip Jonathan

In our previous paper "No experimental evidence for the significant anthropogenic climate change" we had a reference to this paper. Thus, we have presented a new theory: how Henry's Law regulates the concentration of CO$_2$ in the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-15 Jyrki Kauppinen , Pekka Malmi

Thermal emission is typically associated with a blackbody at a temperature above absolute zero, which exchanges energy with its environment in the form of radiation. Blackbody thermal emission is largely incoherent both spatially and…

Promoting and increasing energy efficiency is a promising method of reducing CO2 emissions and avoiding the potentially devastating effects of climate change. The question is: How do we induce a cultural or behavioural change whereby people…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-09-29 Federico Gallo , Pierluigi Contucci , Adam Coutts , Ignacio Gallo

Assuming the state-of-the-science estimates for the remaining carbon budget of carbon dioxide emissions, our modeling study supports the conclusion that it is still possible to meet the 1.5 deg C warming target even with current wind/solar…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-12-08 Peter Schwartzman , David Schwartzman

A transition to a low-carbon electricity supply is crucial to limit the impacts of climate change. Reducing carbon emissions could help prevent the world from reaching a tipping point, where runaway emissions are likely. Runaway emissions…

General Economics · Economics 2021-11-02 Alexander Kell

Global warming is often framed in broad planetary numbers such as the 1.5C and 2C warming thresholds, creating the false impression that individual corporations efforts to reduce emissions are meaningless in the absence of collective…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Daniel Baldassare , Abby Lute , Hikari Murayama , Cora Kingdon , Christopher Schwalm

Climate models exhibit an approximately invariant surface warming pattern in typical end-of-century projections. This observation has been used extensively in climate impact assessments for fast calculations of local temperature anomalies,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-22 Paolo Giani , Arlene M. Fiore , Glenn Flierl , Raffaele Ferrari , Noelle E. Selin
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