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This article introduces a non-parametric information-theoretic approach to inference about the tail of a continuous or a discrete distribution. Leveraging a new concept named tail profile -- a set of information-theoretic quantities…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-19 Jialin Zhang , Zhiyi Zhang

The problem of estimating a linear functional based on observational data is canonical in both the causal inference and bandit literatures. We analyze a broad class of two-stage procedures that first estimate the treatment effect function,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-28 Wenlong Mou , Martin J. Wainwright , Peter L. Bartlett

We establish a uniform-in-scaling error estimate for the asymptotic preserving scheme proposed in \cite{XW21} for the L\'evy-Fokker-Planck (LFP) equation. The main difficulties stem from not only the interplay between the scaling and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-23 Weiran Sun , Li Wang

Projective measurements of a single two-level quantum mechanical system (a qubit) evolving under a time-independent Hamiltonian produce a probability distribution that is periodic in the evolution time. The period of this distribution is an…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-06-05 Christopher Ferrie , Christopher E. Granade , D. G. Cory

It is well known that if the power spectral density of a continuous time stationary stochastic process does not have a compact support, data sampled from that process at any uniform sampling rate leads to biased and inconsistent spectrum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-06-09 Radhendushka Srivastava , Debasis Sengupta

Fourier transform has become a basic tool for analyzing biological signals 1,2,3. Mostly a fast Fourier transform is computed for a finite sequence of data sample 4. This is the standard way apparatuses and modern computerized technology…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2008-04-01 Silvia Solis Ortiz , Rafael G. Campos , Julian Felix , Octavio Obregon

This paper investigates pooling strategies for tail index and extreme quantile estimation from heavy-tailed data. To fully exploit the information contained in several samples, we present general weighted pooled Hill estimators of the tail…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-08 Abdelaati Daouia , Simone A. Padoan , Gilles Stupfler

We provide optimal lower bounds for two well-known parameter estimation (also known as statistical estimation) tasks in high dimensions with approximate differential privacy. First, we prove that for any $\alpha \le O(1)$, estimating the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-05 Shyam Narayanan

In a number of applications, particularly in financial and actuarial mathematics, it is of interest to characterize the tail distribution of a random variable $V$ satisfying the distributional equation $V\stackrel{\mathcal{D}}{=}f(V)$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-04 Jeffrey F. Collamore , Guoqing Diao , Anand N. Vidyashankar

We present an algorithm for the forward propagation of intervals through the discrete Fourier transform. The algorithm yields best-possible bounds when computing the amplitude of the Fourier transform for real and complex valued sequences.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-01 Marco De Angelis , Marco Behrendt , Liam Comerford , Yuanjin Zhang , Michael Beer

Expectile bears some interesting properties in comparison to the industry wide expected shortfall in terms of assessment of tail risk. We study the relationship between expectile and expected shortfall using duality results and the link to…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-04 Samuel Drapeau , Mekonnen Tadese

We describe an efficient implementation of Bayesian quantum phase estimation in the presence of noise and multiple eigenstates. The main contribution of this work is the dynamic switching between different representations of the phase…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-06-09 Ewout van den Berg

We present a novel and easy-to-use method for calibrating error-rate based confidence intervals to evidence-based support intervals. Support intervals are obtained from inverting Bayes factors based on a parameter estimate and its standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-28 Samuel Pawel , Alexander Ly , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

We study the parameter estimation method for linear regression models with possibly skewed stable distributed errors. Our estimation procedure consists of two stages: first, for the regression coefficients, the Cauchy quasi-maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Eitaro Kawamo , Hiroki Masuda

The proposed approach extends the confidence posterior distribution to the semi-parametric empirical Bayes setting. Whereas the Bayesian posterior is defined in terms of a prior distribution conditional on the observed data, the confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-05-02 David R. Bickel

We address estimation of one-parameter qubit gates in the presence of phase diffusion. We evaluate the ultimate quantum limits to precision, seek for optimal probes and measurements, and demonstrate an optimal estimation scheme for…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2013-01-16 D. Brivio , S. Cialdi , S. Vezzoli , B. Teklu , M. G. Genoni , S. Olivares , M. G. A. Paris

Stable distributions provide a flexible framework for modeling heavy-tailed and skewed data, with the stability index $\alpha$ quantifying tail heaviness. We propose a new semiparametric estimator for $\alpha$ that leverages the two-sum…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-19 Cornelis J. Potgieter , Jacques van Appel , Sudharshan Samaratunga

In this paper, we obtain optimal uniform lower tail estimates for the probability distribution of the properly scaled length of the longest up/right path of the last passage site percolation model considered by Johansson in [12]. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jinho Baik , Percy Deift , Ken McLaughlin , Peter Miller , Xin Zhou

In risk management, tail risks are of crucial importance. The assessment of risks should be carried out in accordance with the regulatory authority's requirement at high quantiles. In general, the underlying distribution function is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-15 Ingo Hoffmann , Christoph J. Börner

We study split-conformal prediction for regression when the reported prediction set must be a single interval, at target marginal coverage $1-\alpha$, where $\alpha$ is the nominal miscoverage level. Under this reporting constraint, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-29 Tianying Wang