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In this paper, a first sample-based formulation of the recently considered population observers, or ensemble observers, which estimate the state distribution of dynamic populations from measurements of the output distribution is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-01 Shen Zeng

A problem of the equivalence of statistical ensembles is critically analyzed. It is shown, that although different probability distributions of statistical physics have the same behavior in the thermodynamic limit, there are physical…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2007-11-17 Ludwik Turko

Many classical models of collective behavior assume that emergent dynamics result from external and observable interactions among individuals. However, how collective dynamics in human populations depend on the internal psychological…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-09-27 Alice C Schwarze , Mari Kawakatsu , Sarah Iams , Nina H Fefferman , Tahra L Eissa

We study the long-term average evolution of the random ensemble along integrable Hamiltonian systems with time $T$-periodic transitions. More precisely, for any observable $G$, it is demonstrated that the ensemble under $G$ in long time…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-11-27 Xinyu Liu , Yong Li

We present a thermodynamic theory for a generic population of $M$ individuals distributed into $N$ groups (clusters). We construct the ensemble of all distributions with fixed $M$ and $N$, introduce a selection functional that embodies the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-19 Themis Matsoukas

In this paper we study collective decision making on a multi-population, represented by a regular network of groups of individuals. Each group consists of a collection of players and every player can choose between two options. A group is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-18 Wouter Baar , Dario Bauso

A broad set of empirical phenomenon in the study of social, economic and machine behaviour can be modelled as complex systems with averaging dynamics. However many of these models naturally result in consensus or consensus-like outcomes. In…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2020-07-03 Orowa Sikder

We review the observations and the basic laws describing the essential aspects of collective motion -- being one of the most common and spectacular manifestation of coordinated behavior. Our aim is to provide a balanced discussion of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-08-16 Tamás Vicsek , Anna Zafeiris

In panel experiments, we randomly assign units to different interventions, measuring their outcomes, and repeating the procedure in several periods. Using the potential outcomes framework, we define finite population dynamic causal effects…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-28 Iavor Bojinov , Ashesh Rambachan , Neil Shephard

Understanding the impact of collective social phenomena in epidemic dynamics is a crucial task to effectively contain the disease spread. In this work we build a mathematical description for assessing the interplay between opinion…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-10 Mattia Zanella

The dynamical evolution of many economic, sociological, biological and physical systems tends to be dominated by a relatively small number of unexpected, large changes (`extreme events'). We study the large, internal changes produced in a…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 D. Lamper , S. Howison , N. F. Johnson

Interactions among living organisms, from bacteria colonies to human societies, are inherently more complex than interactions among particles and nonliving matter. Group interactions are a particularly important and widespread class,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-01-11 Matjaz Perc , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes , Attila Szolnoki , Luis M. Floría , Yamir Moreno

In these notes we present a pedagogical account of the population dynamics methods recently introduced to simulate large deviation functions of dynamical observables in and out of equilibrium. After a brief introduction on large deviation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-02-23 J. Tailleur , V. Lecomte

We propose models describing the collective dynamics of two opposing groups of individuals with stochastic communication. Individuals from the same group are assumed to align in a stochastic manner, while individuals from different groups…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2019-07-15 Shi Jin , Ruiwen Shu

Groups coordinate more effectively when individuals are able to learn from others' successes. But acquiring such knowledge is not always easy, especially in real-world environments where success is hidden from public view. We suggest that…

Existing theoretical models of evolution focus on the relative fitness advantages of different mutants in a population while the dynamic behavior of the population size is mostly left unconsidered. We here present a generic stochastic model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-10-20 Anna Melbinger , Jonas Cremer , Erwin Frey

Suppose that we are interested in the comparison of two independent categorical variables. Suppose also that the population is divided into subpopulations or groups. Notice that the distribution of the target variable may vary across…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-08 M. V. Alba-Fernández , M. D. Jiménez--Gamero , F. J. Ariza-López

Statistical physics has proven to be a very fruitful framework to describe phenomena outside the realm of traditional physics. The last years have witnessed the attempt by physicists to study collective phenomena emerging from the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-05-11 Claudio Castellano , Santo Fortunato , Vittorio Loreto

There is growing interest in producing estimates of demographic and global health indicators in populations with limited data. Statistical models are needed to combine data from multiple data sources into estimates and projections with…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Herbert Susmann , Monica Alexander , Leontine Alkema

The appeal of thermodynamics to problems outside physics is undeniable, as is the growing recognition of its apparent universality, yet in the absence of a rigorous formalism divorced from the peculiarities of molecular systems all attempts…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-07-06 Themis Matsoukas
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