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We provide a criterion for establishing lower bounds on the rate of convergence in $f$-variation of a continuous-time ergodic Markov process to its invariant measure. The criterion consists of novel super- and submartingale conditions for…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-16 Miha Brešar , Aleksandar Mijatović

The Strassen's invariance principle for additive functionals of Markov chains with spectral gap in the Wasserstein metric is proved.

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-26 Bołt Witold , Majewski Adam Aleksander , Szarek Tomasz

According to a 1975 result of T. Kaijser, if some nonvanishing product of hidden Markov model (HMM) stepping matrices is subrectangular, and the underlying chain is aperiodic, the corresponding $\alpha$-chain has a unique invariant limiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Fred Kochman , Jim Reeds

In this paper, we give quantitative bounds on the $f$-total variation distance from convergence of an Harris recurrent Markov chain on an arbitrary under drift and minorisation conditions implying ergodicity at a sub-geometric rate. These…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Randal Douc , Eric Moulines , Philippe Soulier

Let $(X, \cal B, \nu)$ be a probability space and let $\Gamma$ be a countable group of $\nu$-preserving invertible maps of $X$ into itself. To a probability measure $\mu$ on $\Gamma$ corresponds a random walk on $X$ with Markov operator $P$…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-06-17 Jean-Pierre Conze , Yves Guivarc'h

We show that the minimax sample complexity for estimating the pseudo-spectral gap $\gamma_{\mathsf{ps}}$ of an ergodic Markov chain in constant multiplicative error is of the order of $$\tilde{\Theta}\left( \frac{1}{\gamma_{\mathsf{ps}}…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-07 Geoffrey Wolfer , Aryeh Kontorovich

We exhibit an efficient procedure for testing, based on a single long state sequence, whether an unknown Markov chain is identical to or $\varepsilon$-far from a given reference chain. We obtain nearly matching (up to logarithmic factors)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-26 Geoffrey Wolfer , Aryeh Kontorovich

In this paper we extend the results of the research started by the first author, in which Karlin-McGregor diagonalization of certain reversible Markov chains over countably infinite general state spaces by orthogonal polynomials was used to…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2012-02-15 Yevgeniy Kovchegov , Nicholas Michalowski

This paper presents an elementary proof of stochastic stability of a discrete-time reversible Markov chain starting from a Foster-Lyapunov drift condition. Besides its relative simplicity, there are two salient features of the proof: (i) it…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-19 Amirhossein Taghvaei , Prashant G. Mehta

Convergence rate analyses of random walk Metropolis-Hastings Markov chains on general state spaces have largely focused on establishing sufficient conditions for geometric ergodicity or on analysis of mixing times. Geometric ergodicity is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-24 Riddhiman Bhattacharya , Galin L. Jones

Consider a finite irreducible Markov chain with invariant distribution $\pi$. We use the inner product induced by $\pi$ and the associated heat operator to simplify and generalize some results related to graph partitioning and the small-set…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2013-11-05 Ryan O'Donnell , David Witmer

The ergodic decomposition theorem is a cornerstone result of dynamical systems and ergodic theory. It states that every invariant measure on a dynamical system is a mixture of ergodic ones. Here we formulate and prove the theorem in terms…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-02-16 Sean Moss , Paolo Perrone

We study a Markov process with two components: the first component evolves according to one of finitely many underlying Markovian dynamics, with a choice of dynamics that changes at the jump times of the second component. The second…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-14 Bertrand Cloez , Martin Hairer

This paper surveys the main results obtained during the period 1992-1999 on three aspects mentioned at the title. The first result is a new and general variational formula for the lower bound of spectral gap (i.e., the first non-trivial…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mu-Fa Chen

Bifurcating Markov chains (BMC) are Markov chains indexed by a full binary tree representing the evolution of a trait along a population where each individual has two children. Motivated by the functional estimation of the density of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-17 S. Valère Bitseki Penda , Jean-François Delmas

We prove that for a random walk on the real line whose increments have zero mean and are either integer-valued or spread out (i.e. the distributions of the steps of the walk are eventually non-singular), the Markov chain of overshoots above…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-14 Aleksandar Mijatović , Vladislav Vysotsky

The cutoff phenomenon describes a sharp transition in the convergence of an ergodic finite Markov chain to equilibrium. Of particular interest is understanding this convergence for the simple random walk on a bounded-degree expander graph.…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-19 Eyal Lubetzky , Allan Sly

We prove a new result on the spectral gap and mixing time of a Markov chain with Glauber dynamics on the space of Dyck paths (i.e., Catalan paths) and their generalization, which we call colored Dyck paths. The proof uses the comparison…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-09-17 Ramis Movassagh

Using the renewal approach we prove Bernstein-like inequalities for additive functionals of geometrically ergodic Markov chains, thus obtaining counterparts of inequalities for sums of independent random variables. The coefficient in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-18 Michał Lemańczyk

The main objective of this paper is to establish bootstrap uniform functional central limit theorem for Harris recurrent Markov chains over uniformly bounded classes of functions. We show that the result can be generalized also to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-08 Gabriela Ciołek