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We study convergence properties of pseudo-marginal Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms (Andrieu and Roberts [Ann. Statist. 37 (2009) 697-725]). We find that the asymptotic variance of the pseudo-marginal algorithm is always at least as…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-31 Christophe Andrieu , Matti Vihola

Motivated by robotic surveillance applications, this paper studies the novel problem of maximizing the return time entropy of a Markov chain, subject to a graph topology with travel times and stationary distribution. The return time entropy…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-05-29 Xiaoming Duan , Mishel George , Francesco Bullo

We study a simple Markov chain, the switch chain, on the set of all perfect matchings in a bipartite graph. This Markov chain was proposed by Diaconis, Graham and Holmes as a possible approach to a sampling problem arising in Statistics. We…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-01-27 Martin Dyer , Mark Jerrum , Haiko Müller

This article studies the convergence properties of trans-dimensional MCMC algorithms when the total number of models is finite. It is shown that, for reversible and some non-reversible trans-dimensional Markov chains, under mild conditions,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-18 Qian Qin

The spectral gap $\gamma$ of a finite, ergodic, and reversible Markov chain is an important parameter measuring the asymptotic rate of convergence. In applications, the transition matrix $P$ may be unknown, yet one sample of the chain up to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-25 Daniel Hsu , Aryeh Kontorovich , David A. Levin , Yuval Peres , Csaba Szepesvári

We prove ergodicity for random dynamics satisfying some expansion and irreducibility conditions. As a particular application, we show that if $R_1,R_2\in \mathrm{SO}(d+1)$, $d\ge 2$, generate a dense subgroup, then the random dynamics of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Jonathan DeWitt , Dmitry Dolgopyat , Zhiyuan Zhang

We give an example of a transient reversible Markov chain that almost surely has only a finite number of cutpoints. We explain how this is relevant to a conjecture of Diaconis and Freedman and a question of Kaimanovich. We also answer…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-19 Nicholas James , Russell Lyons , Yuval Peres

Improved rates of convergence for ergodic homogeneous Markov chains are studied. In comparison to the earlier papers the setting is also generalised to the case without a unique dominated measure. Examples are provided where the new bound…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-02 Alexander Veretennikov , Maria Veretennikova

This paper proposes a new type of recurrence where we divide the Markov chains into intervals that start when the chain enters into a subset A, then sample another subset B far away from A and end when the chain again return to A. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-24 Lars Holden

We have developed a steady state theory of complex transport networks used to model the flow of commodity, information, viruses, opinions, or traffic. Our approach is based on the use of the Markov chains defined on the graph…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 D. Volchenkov , Ph. Blanchard

The main purpose of this article is to establish moderate deviation principles for additive functionals of bifurcating Markov chains. Bifurcating Markov chains are a class of processes which are indexed by a regular binary tree. They can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-21 S. Valère Bitseki Penda , Gorgui Gackou

We prove mean and pointwise ergodic theorems for general families of averages on a semisimple algebraic (or S-algebraic) group G, together with an explicit rate of convergence when the action has a spectral gap. Given any lattice in G, we…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-12-04 Alexander Gorodnik , Amos Nevo

The Lyapounov exponent and sharp conditions for geometric ergodicity are determined of a time series model with both a threshold autoregression term and threshold autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (ARCH) errors. The conditions…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Daren B. H. Cline , Huay-min H. Pu

Let $(\Omega,\mathcal{F}, \mathbb{P})$ be a probability space and $E$ be a finite set. Assume that $X=(X_n)$ is an irreducible and aperiodic Markov chain, defined on $(\Omega,\mathcal{F}, \mathbb{P})$, with values in $E$ and with transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-05 Yinna Ye

We study the long-time behaviour of the first-moment semigroup of a non conservative piecewise deterministic measure-valued stochastic process with support on R 2 + driven by a deterministic flow between random jump times, with a transition…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-03-20 Ignacio Madrid

When sampling a multi-modal distribution $\pi(x)$, $x\in \rr^d$, a Markov chain with local proposals is often slowly mixing; while a Small-World sampler \citep{guankrone} -- a Markov chain that uses a mixture of local and long-range…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-21 Yongtao Guan , Matthew Stephens

In this manuscript, we consider finitely many maps, all of which are defined on a smooth compact measure space, with at least one map in the collection having degree strictly bigger than 1. Working with random dynamics generated by this…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Thirupathi Perumal , Shrihari Sridharan

Let $P$ be the transition matrix of a finite, irreducible and reversible Markov chain. We say the continuous time Markov chain $X$ has transition matrix $P$ and speed $\lambda$ if it jumps at rate $\lambda$ according to the matrix $P$. Fix…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-26 Louigi Addario-Berry , Roberto I. Oliveira , Yuval Peres , Perla Sousi

We study a one-parameter family of interval maps $\{T_\alpha\}_{\alpha\in[1,\beta]}$, with $\beta$ the golden mean, defined on $[-1,1]$ by $T_\alpha(x)=\beta^{1+|t|}x-t\beta\alpha$ where $t\in\{-1,0,1\}$. For each $T_\alpha,\ \alpha>1$, we…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-01-23 Karma Dajani , Slade Sanderson

We give a bound on the mixing time of a uniformly ergodic, reversible Markov chain in terms of the spectral radius of the transition operator. This bound has been established previously in finite state spaces, and is widely believed to hold…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-02 Dawn B. Woodard
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