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This paper introduces a statistical test inferring whether a variable allows separating two classes by means of a single critical value. Its test statistic is the prediction error of a nonparametric threshold classifier. While this approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-17 Fabian Schroeder

A recurring debate in the philosophy of statistics concerns what, exactly, should count as a measure of evidence for or against a given hypothesis. P-values, likelihood ratios, and Bayes factors all have their defenders. In this paper we…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Ben Chugg , Aaditya Ramdas , Peter Grünwald

Testing for causation, defined as the preceding impact of the past values of one variable on the current value of another one when all other pertinent information is accounted for, is increasingly utilized in empirical research of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-06-22 Abdulnasser Hatemi-J

Since its debut in the 18th century, the P-value has been an important part of hypothesis testing-based scientific discoveries. As the statistical engine accelerates, questions are beginning to be raised, asking to what extent scientific…

A definition for the statistical significance of a signal in an experiment is proposed by establishing a correlation between the observed p-value and the normal distribution integral probability, which is suitable for both counting…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-02-20 Yong-Sheng Zhu

We consider the conditional randomization test as a way to account for covariate imbalance in randomized experiments. The test accounts for covariate imbalance by comparing the observed test statistic to the null distribution of the test…

This paper contains two finite-sample results concerning the sign test. First, we show that the sign-test is unbiased with independent, non-identically distributed data for both one-sided and two-sided hypotheses. The proof for the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-13 Yong Cai

A/B tests are typically analyzed via frequentist p-values and confidence intervals; but these inferences are wholly unreliable if users endogenously choose samples sizes by *continuously monitoring* their tests. We define *always valid*…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-18 Ramesh Johari , Leo Pekelis , David J. Walsh

Attacks on the P-value are nothing new, but the recent attacks are increasingly more serious. They come from more mainstream sources, with widening targets such as a call to retire the significance testing altogether. While well meaning, I…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2022-01-11 Yudi Pawitan

So-called linear rank statistics provide a means for distribution-free (even in finite samples), yet highly flexible, two-sample testing in the setting of univariate random variables. Their flexibility derives from a choice of weights that…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-03 Dan D. Erdmann-Pham

Posterior predictive p-values are a common approach to Bayesian model-checking. This article analyses their frequency behaviour, that is, their distribution when the parameters and the data are drawn from the prior and the model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-31 Patrick Rubin-Delanchy , Daniel John Lawson

We propose two-stage and sequential procedures to estimate the unknown parameter N of a binomial distribution with unknown parameter p, when we reinforce data with an independent sample of a negative-binomial experiment having the same p.

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-14 Yaakov Malinovsky , Shelemyahu Zacks

We study sums of independent random variables that take values $0$, $1/2$, or $1$. We show that the probability mass function of the sum splits into two interleaved parts: one supported on the integers and the other supported on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Mark Broadie , Ina Petkova

Two-sample tests for multivariate data and especially for non-Euclidean data are not well explored. This paper presents a novel test statistic based on a similarity graph constructed on the pooled observations from the two samples. It can…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-12 Hao Chen , Jerome H. Friedman

The large-scale multiple testing inherent to high throughput biological data necessitates very high statistical stringency and thus true effects in data are difficult to detect unless they have high effect sizes. One solution to this…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-21 Mohamad S. Hasan

Consider two random variables contaminated by two unknown transformations. The aim of this paper is to test the equality of those transformations. Two cases are distinguished: first, the two random variables have known distributions.…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-11-01 Mohamed Boutahar , Denys Pommeret

One of the most popular class of tests for independence between two random variables is the general class of rank statistics which are invariant under permutations. This class contains Spearman's coefficient of rank correlation statistic,…

Computation · Statistics 2009-02-04 Ehab F. Abd-Elfattah

We introduce a new discrepancy score between two distributions that gives an indication on their similarity. While much research has been done to determine if two samples come from exactly the same distribution, much less research…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-10-16 Maayan Harel , Shie Mannor

A Poisson Binomial distribution over $n$ variables is the distribution of the sum of $n$ independent Bernoullis. We provide a sample near-optimal algorithm for testing whether a distribution $P$ supported on $\{0,...,n\}$ to which we have…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-10-15 Jayadev Acharya , Constantinos Daskalakis

This paper introduces a new discrete distribution suggested by curtailed sampling rules common in early-stage clinical trials. We derive the distribution of the smallest number of independent Bernoulli(p) trials needed in order to observe…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-16 Michelle DeVeaux , Michael J. Kane , Daniel Zelterman