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The stochastic dynamics of the multi-state voter model is investigated on a class of complex networks made of non-overlapping cliques, each hosting a political candidate and interacting with the others via Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi links. Numerical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-06-10 Filippo Palombi , Simona Toti

Understanding political phenomena requires measuring the political preferences of society. We introduce a model based on mixtures of spatial voting models that infers the underlying distribution of political preferences of voters with only…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2016-10-27 Alison Nahm , Alex Pentland , Peter Krafft

We introduce a stochastic geometry dynamics inspired by opinion dynamics that captures the essence of modern asymmetric social networks with leaders and followers. Points in the Euclidean space represent opinions, and the leader of an agent…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-29 Natasa Dragovic , Francois Baccelli

Consider an undirected graph G, representing a social network, where each node is blue or red, corresponding to positive or negative opinion on a topic. In the voter model, in discrete time rounds, each node picks a neighbour uniformly at…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Abhiram Manohara , Ahad N. Zehmakan

The Presidential Election in Mexico of July 2012 has been the third time that PREP, Previous Electoral Results Program works. PREP gives voting outcomes based in electoral certificates of each polling station that arrive to capture centers.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-03-05 H. Hernández-Saldaña

We survey the design of elections that are resilient to attempted interference by third parties. For example, suppose votes have been cast in an election between two candidates, and then each vote is randomly changed with a small…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-13 Steven Heilman

The Hotelling-Downs model considers parties changing policy to maximise their vote-share. Where policy position lies on a left-right axis, it describes a tendency for political parties to move towards centrist platforms. This is in contrast…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-12 Christopher Campbell , Graeme J. Ackland

We consider two-opinion voter models on dense dynamic random graphs. Our goal is to understand and describe the occurrence of consensus versus polarisation over long periods of time. The former means that all vertices have the same opinion,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-29 Simone Baldassarri , Peter Braunsteins , Frank den Hollander , Michel Mandjes

We explore the voter model dynamics on a directed random graph model ensemble (digraphs), given by the Directed Configuration Model. The voter model captures the evolution of opinions over time on a graph where each vertex represents an…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-10 Federico Capannoli

We analyze the evolution of political organizations using a model in which agents change their opinions via two competing mechanisms. Two agents may interact and reach consensus, and additionally, individual agents may spontaneously change…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 E. Ben-Naim

We investigate the ordering dynamics of the voter model with time-delayed interactions. The dynamical process in the $d$-dimensional lattice is shown to be equivalent to the first passage problem of a random walker in the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-04-19 Mina Kim , Jae Dong Noh

Epidemic models are used to analyze the progression or outcome of an epidemic under different control policies like vaccinations, quarantines, lockdowns, use of face-masks, pharmaceutical interventions, etc. When these models accurately…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-19 Carlos Hernandez-Suarez , Osval Montsinos Lopez , Ramon Solano-Barajas

Referring to a standard context of voting theory, and to the classic notion of voting situation, here we show that it is possible to observe any arbitrary set of elections' outcomes, no matter how paradoxical it may appear. On this purpose…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-01 Emilio De Santis , Fabio Spizzichino

Modelling and forecasting real-life human behaviour using online social media is an active endeavour of interest in politics, government, academia, and industry. Since its creation in 2006, Twitter has been proposed as a potential…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-08-15 Alejandro Vigna-Gómez , Javier Murillo , Manelik Ramirez , Alberto Borbolla , Ian Márquez , Prasun K. Ray

We study the poor-biased model for money exchange introduced in [2]: agents are being randomly picked at a rate proportional to their current wealth, and then the selected agent gives a dollar to another agent picked uniformly at random.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-15 Roberto Cortez , Fei Cao

Transmitting messages in the most efficient way as possible has always been one of politicians main concerns during electoral processes. Due to the rapidly growing number of users, online social networks have become ideal platforms for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-20 J. Borondo , A. J. Morales , J. C. Losada , R. M. Benito

In this paper we consider a single-server, cyclic polling system with switch-over times. A distinguishing feature of the model is that the rates of the Poisson arrival processes at the various queues depend on the server location. For this…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-04 Marko Boon , Sandra van Wijk , Ivo Adan , Onno Boxma

We study the Consensus problem among $n$ agents, defined as follows. Initially, each agent holds one of two possible opinions. The goal is to reach a consensus configuration in which every agent shares the same opinion. To this end, agents…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2022-05-18 Petra Berenbrink , Amin Coja-Oghlan , Oliver Gebhard , Max Hahn-Klimroth , Dominik Kaaser , Malin Rau

The paper considers the problem of finding the number of dominant voters in two-level voting procedures. At the first stage, voting is conducted among local groups of voters, and at the second stage, the results are aggregated to form a…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2025-06-11 N. I. Shushko , D. V. Lemtyuzhnikova

We introduce a voting model that is similar to a Keynesian beauty contest and analyze it from a mathematical point of view. There are two types of voters-copycat and independent-and two candidates. Our voting model is a binomial…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-13 Masato Hisakado , Shintaro Mori