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Analysis of vote distributions using current tools from statistical physics is of increasing interest. While data considered for physics studies are subject to a careful understanding of error sources, such analysis are almost absent in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-06-14 G. Báez , H. Hernández-Saldaña , R. A. Méndez-Sánchez

The availability of electoral data in electronic format allowed to physicist and mathematicians their own analysis. Beyond theoretical models for electoral processes, new regularities had been found in the data analysis of many countries…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-06-26 I. Ibarra López , H. Hernández-Saldaña

Vote processes are the results of several complex interactions which are hard to separate in order to understand its role in the final result. The revocatory exercise performed in Mexico in 2022 allows an approximation to the Mexican…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-07 Hugo Hernández-Saldaña

Solutions to Traveling salesman problem have been obtained with several algorithms. However, few of them has discussed about the statistical distribution of lengths for the quasi-optimal path obtained. For a random set of cities such a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-03-28 H. Hernández-Saldaña , M. Gómez-Quezada , E. Hernández-Zapata

Electoral systems are subject of study for physicist and mathematicians in last years given place to a new area: sociophysics. Based on previous works of the author on the Mexican electoral processes in the new millennium, he found three…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-07-03 H. Hernández-Saldaña

Inspired by the spread of discontent as in the 2016 presidential election, we consider a voter model in which 0's are ordinary voters and 1's are zealots. Thinking of a social network, but desiring the simplicity of an infinite object that…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-23 Ran Huo , Rick Durrett

In elections, the vote shares or turnout rates show a strong spatial correlation. The logarithmic decay with distance suggests that a 2D noisy diffusive equation describes the system. Based on the study of U.S. presidential elections data,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-29 Shintaro Mori , Masato Hisakado , Kazuaki Nakayama

Competition between varying ideas, people and institutions fuels the dynamics of socio-economic systems. Numerous analyses of the empirical data extracted from different financial markets have established a consistent set of stylized facts…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-10-17 A. Kononovicius

The voter model has been studied extensively as a paradigmatic opinion dynamics' model. However, its ability for modeling real opinion dynamics has not been addressed. We introduce a noisy voter model (accounting for social influence) with…

Semi-Poisson statistics are shown to be obtained by removing every other number from a random sequence. Retaining every (r+1)th level we obtain a family of secuences which we call daisy models. Their statistical properties coincide with…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 H. Hernandez-Saldaña , J. Flores , T. H. Seligman

A most debated topic of the last years is whether simple statistical physics models can explain collective features of social dynamics. A necessary step in this line of endeavour is to find regularities in data referring to large scale…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Santo Fortunato , Claudio Castellano

How often will elections end in landslides? What is the probability for a head-to-head race? Analyzing ballot results from several large countries rather anomalous and yet unexplained distributions have been observed. We identify tactical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-09-17 Nuno A. M. Araújo , José S. Andrade , Hans J. Herrmann

A random walk-like model is considered to discuss statistical aspects of tournaments. The model is applied to soccer leagues with emphasis on the scores. This competitive system was computationally simulated and the results are compared…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2010-04-30 H. V. Ribeiro , R. S. Mendes , L. C. Malacarne , S. Picoli , P. A. Santoro

There are many factors that can influence the outcome of an election. We here identify two dominant effects that can affect the votes obtained by a candidate, namely, the Majority Effect and the Media Effect. We mimic these two effects in a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-10 Chung-I Chou , Sai-Ping Li

Voting can abstractly model any decision-making scenario and as such it has been extensively studied over the decades. Recently, the related literature has focused on quantifying the impact of utilizing only limited information in the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-01-07 Aris Filos-Ratsikas , Evi Micha , Alexandros A. Voudouris

Opinion dynamics of random-walking agents on finite two-dimensional lattices is studied. In the model, the opinion is continuous, and both the lattice and the opinion can be either periodic or non-periodic. At each time step, all agents…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-04-27 Suhan Ree

We introduce the evolving categories multinomial (ECM) distribution for multivariate count data taken over time. This distribution models the counts of individuals following iid stochastic dynamics among categories, with the number and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-05-27 Ricardo Carrizo Vergara , Marc Kéry , Trevor Hefley

Spatial voting models of legislators' preferences are used in political science to test theories about their voting behavior. These models posit that legislators' ideologies as well as the ideologies reflected in votes for and against a…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-27 Erin Lipman , Scott Moser , Abel Rodriguez

In this contribution we analyze a parties' vote share distribution across the polling stations during the Lithuanian parliamentary elections of 1992, 2008 and 2012. We find that the distribution is rather well fitted by the Beta…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-12-01 A. Kononovicius

The proportional elections held in Brazil in 1998 and 2002 display identical statistical signatures. In particular, the distribution of votes among candidates includes a power-law regimen. We suggest that the rationale behind this robust…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 R. N. Costa Filho , M. P. Almeida , J. E. Moreira , J. S. Andrade
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