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We obtain quantitative Four Moments Theorems establishing convergence of the laws of elements of a Markov chaos to a Pearson distribution, where the only assumption we make on the Pearson distribution is that it admits four moments. While…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-20 Solesne Bourguin , Simon Campese , Nikolai Leonenko , Murad S. Taqqu

We obtain optimal Gaussian concentration bounds (GCBs) for stochastic chains of unbounded memory (SCUMs) on countable alphabets. These stochastic processes are also known as "chains with complete connections" or "$g$-measures". We consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-24 J. -R. Chazottes , S. Gallo , D. Takahashi

We establish a sprinkled decoupling inequality for increasing events of Gaussian vectors with an error that depends only on the maximum pairwise correlation. As an application we prove the non-triviality of the percolation phase transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-18 Stephen Muirhead

The switch chain is a well-known Markov chain for sampling directed graphs with a given degree sequence. While not ergodic in general, we show that it is ergodic for regular degree sequences. We then prove that the switch chain is rapidly…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2011-10-17 Catherine Greenhill

We consider a Markov chain on invertible $n\times n$ matrices with entries in $\mathbb{Z}_2$ which moves by picking an ordered pair of distinct rows and add the first one to the other, modulo $2$. We establish a logarithmic Sobolev…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-29 Anna Ben-Hamou

Concentration inequalities, a major tool in probability theory, quantify how much a random variable deviates from a certain quantity. This paper proposes a systematic convex optimization approach to studying and generating concentration…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-30 Celine Moucer , Adrien Taylor , Francis Bach

Let $X$ be a finite set and let $G$ be a finite group acting on $X$. The group action splits $X$ into disjoint orbits. The Burnside process is a Markov chain on $X$ which has a uniform stationary distribution when the chain is lumped to…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-23 J. E. Paguyo

We propose a method to approximate continuous-time, continuous-state stochastic processes by a discrete-time Markov chain defined on a nonuniform grid. Our method provides exact moment matching for processes whose first and second moments…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Do Hyun Kim , Ahmet Cetinkaya

This paper studies Hoeffding's inequality for Markov chains under the generalized concentrability condition defined via integral probability metric (IPM). The generalized concentrability condition establishes a framework that interpolates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-06 Hao Chen , Abhishek Gupta , Yin Sun , Ness Shroff

Comparing concentration properties of uniform sampling with and without replacement has a long history which can be traced back to the pioneer work of Hoeffding (1963). The goal of this short note is to extend this comparison to the case of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-22 Anna Ben-Hamou , Yuval Peres , Justin Salez

We consider in this work a model for aggregation, where the coalescing particles initially have a certain number of potential links (called arms) which are used to perform coagulations. There are two types of arms, male and female, and two…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-09 Raoul Normand

This review paper provides an introduction of Markov chains and their convergence rates which is an important and interesting mathematical topic which also has important applications for very widely used Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-03 Yu Hang Jiang , Tong Liu , Zhiya Lou , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal , Shanshan Shangguan , Fei Wang , Zixuan Wu

Conditions on the generator of a Markov process to control the fluctuations of its bridges are found. In particular, continuous time random walks on graphs and gradient diffusions are considered. Under these conditions, a concentration of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-08 Giovanni Conforti

We investigate the problem of quantifying contraction coefficients of Markov transition kernels in Kantorovich ($L^1$ Wasserstein) distances. For diffusion processes, relatively precise quantitative bounds on contraction rates have recently…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-22 Andreas Eberle , Mateusz B. Majka

Time series datasets often contain heterogeneous signals, composed of both continuously changing quantities and discretely occurring events. The coupling between these measurements may provide insights into key underlying mechanisms of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-11 Shervin Safavi , Nikos K. Logothetis , Michel Besserve

One-shot coupling is a method of bounding the convergence rate between two copies of a Markov chain in total variation distance, which was first introduced by Roberts and Rosenthal and generalized by Madras and Sezer. The method is divided…

Computation · Statistics 2022-07-04 Sabrina Sixta , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

We consider the behavior of the Gaussian concentration bound (GCB) under stochastic time evolution. More precisely, we consider a Markovian diffusion process on $\mathbb{R}^d$ and start the process from an initial distribution $\mu$ that…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-02 J. -R. Chazottes , P. Collet , F. Redig

This paper derives exponential tail bounds and polynomial moment inequalities for the spectral norm deviation of a random matrix from its mean value. The argument depends on a matrix extension of Stein's method of exchangeable pairs for…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-06 Daniel Paulin , Lester Mackey , Joel A. Tropp

First-passage properties are central to the kinetics of target-search processes. Theoretical approaches so far primarily focused on predicting first-passage statistics for a given process or model. In practice, however, one faces the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-01-08 Rick Bebon , Aljaz Godec

The method of 'coupling from the past' permits exact sampling from the invariant distribution of a Markov chain on a finite state space. The coupling is successful whenever the stochastic dynamics are such that there is coalescence of all…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-17 Geoffrey R. Grimmett , Mark Holmes
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