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It is well known that, under broad assumptions, the time-scaled point process of exceedances of a high level by a stationary sequence converges to a compound Poisson process as the level grows. The purpose of this note is to demonstrate…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Konstantin Borovkov , Serguei Novak

We study time-changed Markov processes to speed up the convergence of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms. The time-changed process is defined by adjusting the speed of time of a base process via a user-chosen, state-dependent…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-08 Andrea Bertazzi , Giorgos Vasdekis

We consider Markov processes in continuous time with state space $\posint^N$ and provide two sufficient conditions and one necessary condition for the existence of moments $E(\|X(t)\|^r)$ of all orders $r \in \nat$ for all $t \geq 0$. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-02 Muruhan Rathinam

We show that Markov couplings can be used to improve the accuracy of Markov chain Monte Carlo calculations in some situations where the steady-state probability distribution is not explicitly known. The technique generalizes the notion of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-13 Jonathan B. Goodman , Kevin K. Lin

We propose a novel coupling inequality of the min-max type for two random matrices with finite absolute third moments, which generalizes the quantitative versions of the well-known inequalities by Gordon. Previous results have calculated…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-14 Zijun Chen , Yiming Chen , Chengfu Wei

We investigate moment sequences of probability measures on $E\subset\mathbb{R}$ under constraints of certain moments being fixed. This corresponds to studying sections of $n$-th moment spaces, i.e. the spaces of moment sequences of order…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-12 Holger Dette , Dominik Tomecki , Martin Venker

We consider continuous-time Markov chain on a finite state space X. We assume X can be clustered into several subsets such that the intra-transition rates within these subsets are of order $\mathcal{O}(\frac{1}{\epsilon})$ comparing to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-28 Wei Zhang

The problem of missing mass in statistical inference (posed by McAllester and Ortiz, NIPS'02; most recently revisited by Changa and Thangaraj, ISIT'2019) seeks to estimate the weight of symbols that have not been sampled yet from a source.…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-15 Maciej Skorski

We present a general method to derive the metastable behavior of weakly mixing Markov chains. This approach is based on properties of the resolvent equations and can be applied to metastable dynamics which do not satisfy the mixing…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Claudio Landim , Diego Marcondes , Insuk Seo

We establish concentration inequalities for Lipschitz functions of dependent random variables, whose dependencies are specified by forests. We also give concentration results for decomposable functions, improving Janson's Hoeffding-type…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-01 Rui-Ray Zhang

This note is concerned with concentration inequalities for extrema of stationary Gaussian processes. It provides non-asymptotic tail inequalities which fully reflect the fluctuation rate, and as such improve upon standard Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-24 Kevin Tanguy

We study Markov processes where the "time" parameter is replaced by paths in a directed graph from an initial vertex to a terminal one. Along each directed path the process is Markov and has the same distribution as the one along any other…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-16 Krzysztof Burdzy , Soumik Pal

We study various generalizations of concentration of measure on the unit sphere, in particular by means of log-Sobolev inequalities. First, we show Sudakov-type concentration results and local semicircular laws for weighted random matrices.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-09 Friedrich Götze , Holger Sambale

Let $X_n, n \ge 0$ be a Markov chain with finite state space $M$. If $x,y \in M$ such that $x$ is transient we have $P^y(X_n = x) \to 0$ for $n \to \infty$, and under mild aperiodicity conditions this convergence is monotone in that for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Philipp König , Thomas Richthammer

We have studied Markov processes on denumerable state space and continuous time. We found that all these processes are connected via gauge transformations. We have used this result before as a method for resolution of equations, included…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-09-12 M. Caruso , C. Jarne

In this paper we show an alternative approach to the concentration of truncated variation for stochastic processes on a real line. Our method is based on the moments control and can be used to generalize the results to the case of processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-28 Witold Bednorz , Rafal Lochowski

We show that any probability measure satisfying a Matrix Poincar\'e inequality with respect to some reversible Markov generator satisfies an exponential matrix concentration inequality depending on the associated matrix carr\'e du champ…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-02 Richard Aoun , Marwa Banna , Pierre Youssef

We investigate the stability of quantum Markov processes with respect to perturbations of their transition maps. In the first part, we introduce a condition number that measures the sensitivity of fixed points of a quantum channel to…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2013-03-25 Oleg Szehr , Michael M. Wolf

We study the self-normalized concentration of vector-valued stochastic processes. We focus on bounds for "sub-$\psi$" processes, a well-known and quite general class of process that encompasses a wide variety of well-known tail conditions…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Ben Chugg , Aaditya Ramdas

A long-standing gap exists between the theoretical analysis of Markov chain Monte Carlo convergence, which is often based on statistical divergences, and the diagnostics used in practice. We introduce the first general convergence…

Computation · Statistics 2025-10-16 Adrien Corenflos , Hai-Dang Dau
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