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Likelihood-based inference in stochastic non-linear dynamical systems, such as those found in chemical reaction networks and biological clock systems, is inherently complex and has largely been limited to small and unrealistically simple…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-08 Ben Swallow , David A. Rand , Giorgos Minas

We examine the sensitivity properties of backward stochastic differential equations and reflected backward stochastic differential equations, which naturally arise in the context of optimal control and optimal stopping problems. Motivated…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-05 Compoint Arthur , Sauldubois Nathan , Touzi Nizar

For controlled discrete-time stochastic processes we introduce a new class of dynamic risk measures, which we call process-based. Their main features are that they measure risk of processes that are functions of the history of a base…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-30 Jingnan Fan , Andrzej Ruszczynski

Parameter inference for stochastic differential equations is challenging due to the presence of a latent diffusion process. Working with an Euler-Maruyama discretisation for the diffusion, we use variational inference to jointly learn the…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-15 Thomas Ryder , Andrew Golightly , A. Stephen McGough , Dennis Prangle

This paper introduces a new approach to generating sample paths of unknown Markovian stochastic differential equations (SDEs) using diffusion models, a class of generative AI methods commonly employed in image and video applications. Unlike…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Xuefeng Gao , Jiale Zha , Xun Yu Zhou

We study the limit behaviour of a generally non-linear ordinary differential equation whose solution is a superadditive generalisation of a stochastic matrix, and provide necessary and sufficient conditions for this solution to be ergodic,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-21 Jasper De Bock

In this paper, we deal with a new type of differential equations called anticipated backward doubly stochastic differential equations (anticipated BDSDEs). The coefficients of these BDSDEs depend on the future value of the solution $(Y,…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-10 Xiaoming Xu

Using equilibrium fluctuations to understand the response of a physical system to an externally imposed perturbation is the basis for linear response theory, which is widely used to interpret experiments and shed light on microscopic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-06-24 Jérémie Klinger , Grant M. Rotskoff

We consider nonlinear multistage stochastic optimization problems in the spaces of integrable functions. We allow for nonlinear dynamics and general objective functionals, including dynamic risk measures. We study causal operators…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Darinka Dentcheva , Andrzej Ruszczynski

(Working Paper) Using a purely probabilistic argument, we prove the global well-posedness of multidimensional superquadratic backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) without Markovian assumption. The key technique is the interplay…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-21 Kihun Nam

We are interested in stochastic control problems coming from mathematical finance and, in particular, related to model uncertainty, where the uncertainty affects both volatility and intensity. This kind of stochastic control problems is…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-15 Sébastien Choukroun , Andrea Cosso

Switching dynamical systems provide a powerful, interpretable modeling framework for inference in time-series data in, e.g., the natural sciences or engineering applications. Since many areas, such as biology or discrete-event systems, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

We consider the diffusion process and its approximation by Markov chain with nonlinear increasing trends. The usual parametrix method is not appliable because these models have unbounded trends. We describe a procedure that allows to…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-02 V. Konakov , A. Markova

Based on the classical probability, the stability criteria for stochastic differential delay equations (SDDEs) where their coefficients are either linear or nonlinear but bounded by linear functions have been investigated intensively.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-29 Chen Fei , Weiyin Fei , Xuerong Mao , Litan Yan

This paper concerns the stability of analytical and numerical solutions of nonlinear stochastic delay differential equations (SDDEs). We derive sufficient conditions for the stability, contractivity and asymptotic contractivity in mean…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-01-21 Siqing Gan , Aiguo Xiao , Desheng Wang

Two discretizations of a class of locally Lipschitz Markovian backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) are studied. The first is the classical Euler scheme which approximates a projection of the processes Z, and the second a novel…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-21 Plamen Turkedjiev

We consider the problem of statistical inference in a parametric finite Markov chain model and develop a robust estimator of the parameters defining the transition probabilities via minimization of a suitable (empirical) version of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-23 Abhik Ghosh

In this paper, we investigate a class of nonlinear backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) arising from financial economics, and give specific information about the nodal sets of the related solutions. As applications, we are…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-01 Zengjing Chen , Shuhui Liu , Zhongmin Qian , Xingcheng Xu

Filyokov and Karpov [Inzhenerno-Fizicheskii Zhurnal 13, 624 (1967)] have proposed a theory of non-equilibrium steady states in direct analogy with the theory of equilibrium states : the principle is to maximize the Shannon entropy…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-03-07 Cecile Monthus

Estimation of solution norms and stability for time-dependent nonlinear systems is ubiquitous in numerous applied and control problems. Yet, practically valuable results are rare in this area. This paper develops a novel approach, which…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-08-29 Mark A. Pinsky , Steve Koblik