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Discovering the underlying relationships among variables from temporal observations has been a longstanding challenge in numerous scientific disciplines, including biology, finance, and climate science. The dynamics of such systems are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Benjie Wang , Joel Jennings , Wenbo Gong

We present a Bayesian non-parametric way of inferring stochastic differential equations for both regression tasks and continuous-time dynamical modelling. The work has high emphasis on the stochastic part of the differential equation, also…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-29 Martin Jørgensen , Marc Peter Deisenroth , Hugh Salimbeni

Generalizing response theory of open systems far from equilibrium is a central quest of nonequilibrium statistical physics. Using stochastic thermodynamics, we develop an algebraic method to study the response of nonequilibrium steady state…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-08-09 Timur Aslyamov , Massimiliano Esposito

Backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) appear in numeruous applications. Classical approximation methods suffer from the curse of dimensionality and deep learning-based approximation methods are not known to converge to the BSDE…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-20 Martin Hutzenthaler , Tuan Anh Nguyen

We provide a stochastic representation for a general class of viscous Hamilton-Jacobi (HJ) equations, which has convexity and superlinear nonlinearity in its gradient term, via a type of backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE) with…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-09 Andrea Cosso , Huyên Pham , Hao Xing

The paper provides an overview of the theory and applications of risk-sensitive Markov decision processes. The term 'risk-sensitive' refers here to the use of the Optimized Certainty Equivalent as a means to measure expectation and risk.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-23 Nicole Bäuerle , Anna Jaśkiewicz

This paper (alongside its companion, Part II \cite{BSDEYoung-II}) investigates backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) involving a nonlinear Young integral of the form $\int_{t}^{T}g(Y_{r})\eta(dr,X_{r})$, where the driver…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-01 Jian Song , Huilin Zhang , Kuan Zhang

We give an axiomatic framework for conditional generalized deviation measures. Under financially reasonable assumptions, we give the correspondence between conditional coherent risk measures and generalized deviation measures. Moreover, we…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-21 Guangyan Jia , Mengjin Zhao

The connection between forward backward doubly stochastic differential equations and the optimal filtering problem is established without using the Zakai's equation. The solutions of forward backward doubly stochastic differential equations…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-05-29 Richard Archibald , Feng Bao , Peter Maksymovych

In this article, we consider computing expectations w.r.t. probability measures which are subject to discretization error. Examples include partially observed diffusion processes or inverse problems, where one may have to discretize time…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-25 Jeremy Heng , Ajay Jasra , Kody J. H. Law , Alexander Tarakanov

In this paper, we study reflected backward stochastic differential equation (reflected BSDE in abbreviation) with rank-based data in a Markovian framework; that is, the solution to the reflected BSDE is above a prescribed boundary process…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Zhen-Qing Chen , Xinwei Feng

We discuss the problem of parameter estimation in nonlinear stochastic differential equations based on sampled time series. A central message from the theory of integrating stochastic differential equations is that there exists in general…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-06-26 J. Timmer

In deep latent Gaussian models, the latent variable is generated by a time-inhomogeneous Markov chain, where at each time step we pass the current state through a parametric nonlinear map, such as a feedforward neural net, and add a small…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Belinda Tzen , Maxim Raginsky

In this paper, we introduce a class of backward stochastic equations (BSEs) that extend classical BSDEs and include many interesting examples of generalized BSDEs as well as semimartingale backward equations. We show that a BSE can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-28 Patrick Cheridito , Kihun Nam

We propose a new multistep deep learning-based algorithm for the resolution of moderate to high dimensional nonlinear backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) and their corresponding parabolic partial differential equations (PDE).…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-08-29 Daniel Bussell , Camilo Andrés García-Trillos

A new approach is developed for evaluating the convergence rate for nonlinear Markov chains (MC) based on the recently developed spectral radius technique of markovian coupling for linear MC and the idea of small nonlinear perturbations of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-27 Alexander Shchegolev , Alexander Veretennikov

The existence and uniqueness of measure-valued solutions to stochastic nonlinear, non-local Fokker-Planck equations is proven. This type of stochastic PDE is shown to arise in the mean field limit of weakly interacting diffusions with…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-30 Michele Coghi , Benjamin Gess

Motivated by an equilibrium problem, we establish the existence of a solution for a family of Markovian backward stochastic differential equations with quadratic nonlinearity and discontinuity in $Z$. Using unique continuation and backward…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-07 Luis Escauriaza , Daniel C. Schwarz , Hao Xing

In this paper, we propose a method for bounding the probability that a stochastic differential equation (SDE) system violates a safety specification over the infinite time horizon. SDEs are mathematical models of stochastic processes that…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-06-04 Shenghua Feng , Mingshuai Chen , Bai Xue , Sriram Sankaranarayanan , Naijun Zhan

Accurate risk assessment is essential for safety-critical autonomous and control systems under uncertainty. In many real-world settings, stochastic dynamics exhibit asymmetric jumps and long-range memory, making long-term risk probabilities…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-07 Yimeng Sun , Zhuoyuan Wang , Xiaole Zhang , Heng Ping , Jintang Xue , Paul Bogdan , Yorie Nakahira
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