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Recently, neuronal avalanches have been observed to display oscillations, a phenomenon regarded as the co-existence of a scale-free behaviour (the avalanches close to criticality) and scale-dependent dynamics (the oscillations). Ordinary…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2020-03-09 Johannes Pausch , Rosalba Garcia-Millan , Gunnar Pruessner

Following on from our recent work, we investigate a stochastic approach to non-equilibrium quantum spin systems. We show how the method can be applied to a variety of physical observables and for different initial conditions. We provide…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-24 S. De Nicola , B. Doyon , M. J. Bhaseen

Monitoring downside risk and upside risk to the key macroeconomic indicators is critical for effective policymaking aimed at maintaining economic stability. In this paper I propose a parametric framework for modelling and forecasting…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-21 Andrea Renzetti

We show that a scaling approach successfully characterizes clustering and intermittency in space and time, in systems of noninteracting particles driven by fluctuating surfaces. We study both the steady state and the approach to it, for…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2019-01-15 Tapas Singha , Mustansir Barma

We illustrate the efficacy of a discrete wavelet based approach to characterize fluctuations in non-stationary time series. The present approach complements the multi-fractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MF-DFA) method and is quite…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2008-04-16 P. Manimaran , Prasanta K. Panigrahi , Jitendra C. Parikh

We introduce circulance, a scalar measure for classifying time series of dynamical systems. Circulance captures the extent of temporal regularity or irregularity that is encoded in the topology of a directed ordinal pattern transition…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-05 Max Potratzki , Manuel Adams , Timo Bröhl , Klaus Lehnertz

This paper proposes a flexible framework for inferring large-scale time-varying and time-lagged correlation networks from multivariate or high-dimensional non-stationary time series with piecewise smooth trends. Built on a novel and unified…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-13 Lujia Bai , Weichi Wu

We propose a node clustering method for time-varying graphs based on the assumption that the cluster labels are changed smoothly over time. Clustering is one of the fundamental tasks in many science and engineering fields including signal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-12 Katsuki Fukumoto , Koki Yamada , Yuichi Tanaka , Hoi-To Wai

We describe a novel method for modeling non-stationary multivariate time series, with time-varying conditional dependencies represented through dynamic networks. Our proposed approach combines traditional multi-scale modeling and network…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-25 Xinyu Kang , Apratim Ganguly , Eric D. Kolaczyk

The paper introduces a general framework for statistical analysis of functional time series from a Bayesian perspective. The proposed approach, based on an extension of the popular dynamic linear model to Banach-space valued observations…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-02 Giovanni Petris

For a long time, many methods are developed to make temporal signal analyses based on time series. However, for geographical systems, spatial signal analyses are as important as temporal signal analyses. Nonstationary spatial and temporal…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-29 Yanguang Chen , Yuqing Long

This paper considers a structural-factor approach to modeling high-dimensional time series and space-time data by decomposing individual series into trend, seasonal, and irregular components. For ease in analyzing many time series, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-19 Zhaoxing Gao , Ruey S Tsay

We develop a method for the multifractal characterization of nonstationary time series, which is based on a generalization of the detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA). We relate our multifractal DFA method to the standard partition…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-07 Jan W. Kantelhardt , Stephan A. Zschiegner , Eva Koscielny-Bunde , Armin Bunde , Shlomo Havlin , H. Eugene Stanley

The behavior of interacting populations typically displays irregular temporal and spatial patterns that are difficult to reconcile with an underlying deterministic dynamics. A classical example is the heterogeneous distribution of plankton…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 M. H. Vainstein , J. M. Rubi , J. M. G. Vilar

Switching dynamical systems are an expressive model class for the analysis of time-series data. As in many fields within the natural and engineering sciences, the systems under study typically evolve continuously in time, it is natural to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

For many externally driven complex systems neither the noisy driving force, nor the internal dynamics are a priori known. Here we focus on systems for which the time dependent activity of a large number of components can be monitored,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Zoltan Eisler , Janos Kertesz , Soon-Hyung Yook , Albert-Laszlo Barabasi

We explore a combinatorial framework which efficiently quantifies the asymmetries between minima and maxima in local fluctuations of time series. We firstly showcase its performance by applying it to a battery of synthetic cases. We find…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-10-16 Uri Hasson , Jacopo Iacovacci , Ben Davis , Ryan Flanagan , Enzo Tagliazucchi , Helmut Laufs , Lucas Lacasa

Long-range temporal and spatial correlations have been reported in a remarkable number of studies. In particular power-law scaling in neural activity raised considerable interest. We here provide a straightforward algorithm not only to…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-12-09 Robert Ton , Andreas Daffertshofer

Most time series observed in practice exhibit time-varying trend (first-order) and autocovariance (second-order) behaviour. Differencing is a commonly-used technique to remove the trend in such series, in order to estimate the time-varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Euan T. McGonigle , Rebecca Killick , Matthew A. Nunes

Samples of dynamic or time-varying networks and other random object data such as time-varying probability distributions are increasingly encountered in modern data analysis. Common methods for time-varying data such as functional data…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-23 Paromita Dubey , Hans-Georg Müller
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